Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Settsu City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥22.0M
¥367k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥18.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥160k/m²
0.0% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
160
#27 of 68 areas in Osaka by price per m²

What the data says

Price growth is speeding up

Condo values per m² have risen about 3.4% a year over the past five years, faster than the 1.9% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.

Lagging Osaka

Per m², condos here are 35% below the Osaka average. Ten years ago the gap was 6%, so Settsu City has been falling behind the rest of Osaka.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 94% more per m² than those 16–29 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

52% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥14.0M and ¥39.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 1.1% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 1.6% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

11.4% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 3.7% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 32.8 years of the area's median rent (¥56k a month), compared with 31.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 58% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +3% in the year to January 2026 and +7% over five years. They are still 62% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Significant flood risk

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 74% are inside the worst-case flood zone (53% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Settsu City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
86,462
-1.1% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+164
+1.9 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
11.4%
3.7% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥56k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
58.2%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Official land price 2026
¥161k/m²
+2.9% in a year · +6.7% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
73.7%
of 19 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (52.6% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 19 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Settsu City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥14.0M

¥187k/m²

  • Shinzaike
  • Minami Settsu · 6 min walk
  • 3LDK · 75 m²
  • Built 1981 (45 yrs) · SRC
Typical2026 Q1

¥32.0M

¥492k/m²

  • Senriokahigashi
  • Settsu Shi · 2 min walk
  • 3LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1984 (42 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥48.0M

¥738k/m²

  • Senriokahigashi
  • Senrioka · 4 min walk
  • 2LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 2021 (4 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥9.7M

¥108k/m²

  • Torikaishimmachi
  • Sawaragi
  • Land 55 m² · floor 90 m²
  • Built 2007 (18 yrs) · Steel
Typical2025 Q4

¥22.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Tsuruno
  • Settsu · 9 min walk
  • Land 135 m² · floor 110 m²
  • Built 1983 (42 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥58.0M

¥430k/m²

  • Sakuramachi
  • Sawaragi · 9 min walk
  • Land 130 m² · floor 135 m²
  • Built 2011 (15 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 50% above 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 37 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007–¥28.0M
2008–¥25.0M
2009–¥23.0M
2010–¥24.5M
2011¥13.0M¥23.0M
2012–¥20.5M
2013–¥21.0M
2014¥13.5M¥20.0M
2015¥18.0M¥22.0M
2016¥17.0M¥23.0M
2017¥17.0M¥27.0M
2018¥16.5M¥31.0M
2019¥17.0M¥25.5M
2020¥20.0M¥24.0M
2021¥25.5M¥21.0M
2022¥27.0M¥24.0M
2023¥24.0M¥20.0M
2024¥21.0M¥30.0M
2025¥22.0M¥18.0M
2026 (partial)–¥27.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 40% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007–¥247k/m²¥140k/m²
2008–¥210k/m²¥175k/m²
2009–¥209k/m²¥175k/m²
2010–¥222k/m²¥155k/m²
2011¥173k/m²¥200k/m²¥125k/m²
2012–¥205k/m²¥130k/m²
2013–¥170k/m²¥120k/m²
2014¥200k/m²¥175k/m²¥120k/m²
2015¥325k/m²¥200k/m²¥115k/m²
2016¥311k/m²¥182k/m²¥120k/m²
2017¥286k/m²¥158k/m²¥120k/m²
2018¥218k/m²¥216k/m²¥130k/m²
2019¥259k/m²¥169k/m²¥125k/m²
2020¥317k/m²¥221k/m²¥160k/m²
2021¥402k/m²¥217k/m²¥120k/m²
2022¥417k/m²¥224k/m²¥190k/m²
2023¥383k/m²¥187k/m²¥210k/m²
2024¥315k/m²¥220k/m²¥190k/m²
2025¥367k/m²¥189k/m²¥160k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥171k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥388k/m²
1¥669k/m²–
10¥529k/m²–
11¥450k/m²–
12¥400k/m²–
13¥290k/m²–
14¥246k/m²–
30–¥187k/m²
43–¥118k/m²
46–¥86k/m²
47–¥103k/m²
48–¥131k/m²
49–¥89k/m²
50–¥124k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007––¥336k/m²–
2008¥140k/m²¥173k/m²¥305k/m²–
2009–¥187k/m²¥337k/m²–
2010–¥131k/m²¥293k/m²–
2011–¥145k/m²–¥282k/m²
2012–¥146k/m²–¥333k/m²
2013–¥145k/m²–¥328k/m²
2014–¥141k/m²–¥327k/m²
2015¥108k/m²––¥305k/m²
2016–¥139k/m²–¥307k/m²
2017¥104k/m²¥127k/m²–¥353k/m²
2018–¥200k/m²––
2019–¥123k/m²––
2020¥98k/m²¥150k/m²–¥371k/m²
2021¥92k/m²¥172k/m²––
2022¥112k/m²¥133k/m²––
2023¥90k/m²¥162k/m²––
2024–¥200k/m²––
2025¥106k/m²¥153k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Settsu City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Minami Settsu (南摂津)¥16.0M¥229k/m²¥14.0M19135
Shojaku (正雀)––¥26.5M1179
Settsu Shi (摂津市)¥29.0M¥400k/m²¥35.5M577
Senrioka (千里丘)¥17.0M¥270k/m²¥31.5M850
Settsu (摂津)––¥25.0M819
Itakano (井高野)––¥24.0M1111

Used condo prices by layout in Settsu City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥33.0M70 m²44
2LDK¥24.5M62.5 m²24

How much does an apartment cost in Settsu City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Settsu City sold for ¥22.0M in 2025, about ¥367k/m², based on 33 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Settsu City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥18.0M in 2025 across 99 sales.

Are property prices in Settsu City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +15.8% and residential land prices changed 0.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.