Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Naka Ward, Sakai City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥16.0M
¥217k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥19.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥110k/m²
+10.0% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
215
#47 of 68 areas in Osaka by price per m²

What the data says

A long, slow decline

House prices per m² have been falling for a decade, by about 2% a year recently. Prices are low, but resale values are likely to keep easing, so buy here to live, not as an investment.

Lagging Osaka

Per m², houses here are 28% below the Osaka average. Ten years ago the gap was 10%, so Naka Ward, Sakai City has been falling behind the rest of Osaka.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥6.5M and ¥29.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 4.5% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 0.9% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Few abandoned homes

9.6% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 3.4% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 61% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are rising fast

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +3% in the year to January 2026 and +10% over five years. They are still 69% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Little exposure to flooding

Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.

Living in Naka Ward, Sakai City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
115,765
-4.5% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
-199
-1.72 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
9.6%
3.4% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥55k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
61.3%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Official land price 2026
¥113k/m²
+3.4% in a year · +10.0% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
0.0%
of 20 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 20 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Naka Ward, Sakai City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q3

¥8.8M

¥126k/m²

  • Fukaihigashimachi
  • Fukai · 8 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1987 (38 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q1

¥19.0M

¥238k/m²

  • Fukaihatayamacho
  • Fukai · 16 min walk
  • 3LDK · 80 m²
  • Built 1998 (28 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥26.0M

¥347k/m²

  • Fukaishimizucho
  • Fukai · 1 min walk
  • 3LDK · 75 m²
  • Built 1998 (27 yrs) · SRC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥5.0M

¥91k/m²

  • Fukaikitamachi
  • Uenoshiba · 20 min walk
  • Land 85 m² · floor 55 m²
  • Built 1973 (53 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q3

¥14.0M

¥122k/m²

  • Fukaishimizucho
  • Fukai · 12 min walk
  • Land 120 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 1979 (46 yrs) · Light steel
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥28.0M

¥175k/m²

  • Dotocho
  • Fukai · 20 min walk
  • Land 105 m² · floor 160 m²
  • Built 2000 (26 yrs) · SRC
Median transaction price by yearA jump driven by what sold — The median house price rose 73% between 2023 and 2025. Per m², prices rose only 32%, so most of the jump comes from larger or higher-end properties changing hands, not from the same homes getting that much more expensive. With only 137 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 47% below 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 38 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2006–¥23.0M
2007¥10.5M¥21.0M
2008–¥23.0M
2009¥9.9M¥21.0M
2010¥10.0M¥19.0M
2011¥11.5M¥22.0M
2012¥10.4M¥17.5M
2013¥9.4M¥23.0M
2014¥11.0M¥22.0M
2015–¥19.0M
2016–¥21.0M
2017¥13.0M¥20.0M
2018¥12.0M¥20.0M
2019–¥18.5M
2020–¥22.0M
2021¥12.0M¥15.5M
2022¥16.0M¥14.0M
2023–¥11.0M
2024¥13.5M¥19.0M
2025¥16.0M¥19.0M
2026 (partial)–¥10.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 20% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2006–¥242k/m²¥90k/m²
2007¥145k/m²¥212k/m²¥91k/m²
2008–¥220k/m²¥110k/m²
2009¥148k/m²¥200k/m²¥86k/m²
2010¥143k/m²¥189k/m²¥80k/m²
2011¥166k/m²¥200k/m²¥68k/m²
2012¥145k/m²¥158k/m²¥81k/m²
2013¥135k/m²¥211k/m²¥83k/m²
2014¥164k/m²¥210k/m²¥81k/m²
2015–¥167k/m²¥78k/m²
2016–¥182k/m²¥70k/m²
2017¥200k/m²¥179k/m²¥110k/m²
2018¥169k/m²¥167k/m²¥99k/m²
2019–¥162k/m²¥98k/m²
2020–¥200k/m²¥100k/m²
2021¥185k/m²¥151k/m²¥100k/m²
2022¥206k/m²¥120k/m²¥115k/m²
2023–¥120k/m²¥110k/m²
2024¥193k/m²¥168k/m²¥110k/m²
2025¥217k/m²¥158k/m²¥110k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥103k/m²¥100k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥350k/m²
1–¥432k/m²
19–¥210k/m²
22–¥204k/m²
24¥215k/m²–
25–¥168k/m²
27¥246k/m²¥145k/m²
28–¥148k/m²
31¥207k/m²–
36–¥87k/m²
39–¥105k/m²
41–¥78k/m²
42–¥80k/m²
43–¥67k/m²
44–¥71k/m²
45–¥55k/m²
46–¥72k/m²
47–¥63k/m²
48–¥69k/m²
49–¥68k/m²
50–¥79k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2006200820102012201420162018202020222024

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006¥107k/m²¥139k/m²¥298k/m²–
2007¥105k/m²¥152k/m²¥300k/m²–
2008¥106k/m²¥164k/m²¥300k/m²–
2009¥81k/m²¥152k/m²¥288k/m²–
2010¥74k/m²¥123k/m²¥283k/m²–
2011¥80k/m²¥129k/m²–¥284k/m²
2012¥86k/m²¥114k/m²¥220k/m²¥268k/m²
2013¥76k/m²¥121k/m²–¥267k/m²
2014¥71k/m²¥145k/m²–¥274k/m²
2015¥58k/m²¥141k/m²–¥290k/m²
2016¥67k/m²¥107k/m²–¥285k/m²
2017¥77k/m²––¥310k/m²
2018¥74k/m²¥133k/m²–¥326k/m²
2019¥55k/m²¥151k/m²–¥326k/m²
2020¥64k/m²––¥293k/m²
2021¥62k/m²¥130k/m²––
2022¥72k/m²¥116k/m²––
2023¥67k/m²¥100k/m²––
2024¥67k/m²¥123k/m²––
2025¥82k/m²¥143k/m²¥218k/m²–

Prices near train stations in Naka Ward, Sakai City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Fukai (深井)¥16.0M¥227k/m²¥20.0M18267
Izumigaoka (泉ケ丘)––¥8.5M2451
Kitanoda (北野田)––¥13.0M2548
Hatsushiba (初芝)––¥15.0M1921
Tsukuno (津久野)––¥8.8M2214
Shirasagi (白鷺)–––1012

Used condo prices by layout in Naka Ward, Sakai City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥16.0M70 m²32

How much does an apartment cost in Naka Ward, Sakai City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Naka Ward, Sakai City sold for ¥16.0M in 2025, about ¥217k/m², based on 23 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Naka Ward, Sakai City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥19.0M in 2025 across 137 sales.

Are property prices in Naka Ward, Sakai City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +10.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.