Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Joto Ward, Osaka City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥24.0M
¥460k/m² · +2.2% vs 2024
Median house price (land + building)
¥45.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥370k/m²
+23.3% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
412
#16 of 68 areas in Osaka by price per m²

What the data says

Prices are still rising, but more slowly

Growth has cooled to about 5.3% a year, down from 6.9% a year in the previous five years. This looks more like a maturing market than a turning point, and it gives buyers a bit more room to negotiate.

Moving with Osaka

Per m², condos here are 13% below the Osaka average. That position has barely changed in ten years, so it moves with the wider market.

A modest station premium

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 5% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. The penalty for a longer walk is mild, so it is worth widening your search radius.

A family market

56% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are picking up

There were about 10% more transactions in the last three years than the three before, so the market is liquid and selling later should be easier.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥18.0M and ¥35.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A stable population

The population was roughly stable between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). More people moved in than out in 2025, a net gain of about 5.1 per 1,000 residents, so demand for homes is being topped up by newcomers.

Typical vacancy

12.7% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 4.6% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 33.1 years of the area's median rent (¥60k a month), compared with 31.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 68% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are rising fast

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +8% in the year to January 2026 and +31% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Significant flood risk

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 100% are inside the worst-case flood zone (11% with expected depths of 3 m or more), 50% are in a tsunami inundation zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Joto Ward, Osaka City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
169,504
+0.3% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+869
+5.13 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
12.7%
4.6% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥60k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
67.7%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Official land price 2026
¥316k/m²
+8.4% in a year · +31.0% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
100.0%
of 18 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (11.1% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Tsunami exposure
50.0%
of 18 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Osaka: 10.2%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 18 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Joto Ward, Osaka City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥13.0M

¥236k/m²

  • Chuo
  • Gamo 4 Chome · 5 min walk
  • 2LDK · 55 m²
  • Built 1974 (52 yrs) · SRC
Typical2026 Q2

¥22.0M

¥440k/m²

  • Sekime
  • Sekime · 10 min walk
  • 2LDK · 50 m²
  • Built 1978 (48 yrs) · SRC、RC
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥39.0M

¥557k/m²

  • Nagata
  • Fukaebashi · 8 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 2012 (13 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥22.0M

¥142k/m²

  • Sekime
  • Noe · 7 min walk
  • Land 60 m² · floor 155 m²
  • Built 1991 (34 yrs) · RC、木造
Typical2026 Q2

¥47.0M

¥224k/m²

  • Higashinakahama
  • Fukaebashi · 11 min walk
  • Land 175 m² · floor 210 m²
  • Built 1983 (43 yrs) · Steel
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥110M

¥629k/m²

  • Shiginonishi
  • Kyobashi(Osaka) · 10 min walk
  • Land 230 m² · floor 175 m²
  • Built 2015 (11 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by yearA sharp recent rise — The median house price rose 29% between 2023 and 2025. Prices per m² rose 31% too, so this is a genuine like-for-like increase, not just bigger homes selling. With only 112 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥16.0M¥35.5M
2006¥14.0M¥35.0M
2007¥15.0M¥32.0M
2008¥17.0M¥34.0M
2009¥17.0M¥25.0M
2010¥14.0M¥32.0M
2011¥15.0M¥30.0M
2012¥16.0M¥30.0M
2013¥15.0M¥32.0M
2014¥16.0M¥30.0M
2015¥16.0M¥32.0M
2016¥17.0M¥35.0M
2017¥20.0M¥34.5M
2018¥21.0M¥33.0M
2019¥23.0M¥33.0M
2020¥21.0M¥30.0M
2021¥21.0M¥35.0M
2022¥21.5M¥33.0M
2023¥23.0M¥35.0M
2024¥24.0M¥40.0M
2025¥24.0M¥45.0M
2026 (partial)¥28.0M¥47.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 24% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥240k/m²¥270k/m²¥240k/m²
2006¥225k/m²¥237k/m²¥250k/m²
2007¥236k/m²¥250k/m²¥270k/m²
2008¥257k/m²¥256k/m²¥250k/m²
2009¥245k/m²¥214k/m²¥230k/m²
2010¥223k/m²¥230k/m²¥230k/m²
2011¥250k/m²¥254k/m²¥230k/m²
2012¥250k/m²¥245k/m²¥200k/m²
2013¥235k/m²¥272k/m²¥215k/m²
2014¥240k/m²¥249k/m²¥220k/m²
2015¥264k/m²¥240k/m²¥205k/m²
2016¥283k/m²¥286k/m²¥220k/m²
2017¥318k/m²¥283k/m²¥230k/m²
2018¥336k/m²¥283k/m²¥270k/m²
2019¥354k/m²¥250k/m²¥275k/m²
2020¥350k/m²¥276k/m²¥300k/m²
2021¥400k/m²¥326k/m²¥325k/m²
2022¥417k/m²¥279k/m²¥305k/m²
2023¥471k/m²¥273k/m²¥350k/m²
2024¥450k/m²¥336k/m²¥380k/m²
2025¥460k/m²¥359k/m²¥370k/m²
2026 (partial)¥486k/m²¥261k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 9 years old and half by around 26. Prices keep falling by roughly 2% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥880k/m²¥453k/m²
1¥960k/m²¥467k/m²
2¥900k/m²–
3¥744k/m²–
5¥780k/m²–
6¥754k/m²–
7¥850k/m²–
8¥607k/m²–
9¥571k/m²–
13¥563k/m²–
14¥520k/m²–
15¥483k/m²–
16¥577k/m²–
17¥538k/m²¥338k/m²
18¥503k/m²–
19¥546k/m²–
20¥475k/m²–
21¥509k/m²¥312k/m²
22¥514k/m²–
23¥528k/m²¥314k/m²
24¥500k/m²–
25¥493k/m²–
26¥446k/m²–
27¥443k/m²–
28¥435k/m²–
29¥456k/m²–
30¥417k/m²–
32¥353k/m²–
33¥355k/m²–
34¥385k/m²–
35¥364k/m²¥173k/m²
37¥317k/m²–
38¥345k/m²–
40¥364k/m²–
41¥373k/m²–
42¥365k/m²–
43¥292k/m²–
44¥292k/m²¥142k/m²
45¥283k/m²–
46¥296k/m²–
47¥278k/m²–
48¥261k/m²¥200k/m²
49¥243k/m²–
50¥235k/m²¥160k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 3.5% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 37% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005–¥282k/m²––
2006¥183k/m²¥249k/m²––
2007¥176k/m²¥286k/m²––
2008¥192k/m²¥285k/m²––
2009¥200k/m²¥261k/m²¥369k/m²–
2010¥169k/m²¥244k/m²¥364k/m²–
2011¥183k/m²¥267k/m²¥364k/m²–
2012¥165k/m²¥252k/m²¥383k/m²–
2013¥182k/m²¥253k/m²¥371k/m²–
2014¥174k/m²¥271k/m²¥369k/m²–
2015¥200k/m²¥294k/m²¥400k/m²–
2016¥221k/m²¥291k/m²¥415k/m²–
2017¥236k/m²¥333k/m²¥414k/m²–
2018¥197k/m²¥333k/m²¥415k/m²–
2019¥243k/m²¥356k/m²¥437k/m²–
2020¥257k/m²¥336k/m²¥447k/m²¥615k/m²
2021¥270k/m²¥383k/m²¥462k/m²¥750k/m²
2022¥292k/m²¥400k/m²¥500k/m²¥780k/m²
2023¥260k/m²¥400k/m²¥527k/m²¥615k/m²
2024¥278k/m²¥453k/m²¥525k/m²–
2025¥282k/m²¥450k/m²¥564k/m²¥846k/m²
2026 (partial)¥322k/m²¥492k/m²––
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2006200820102012201420162018202020222024

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006–¥218k/m²¥370k/m²–
2007–¥200k/m²¥358k/m²–
2008–¥185k/m²¥377k/m²–
2009–¥143k/m²¥332k/m²–
2010–¥151k/m²¥324k/m²–
2011–¥151k/m²–¥327k/m²
2012–¥181k/m²–¥318k/m²
2013–¥177k/m²–¥337k/m²
2014¥114k/m²¥176k/m²–¥345k/m²
2015–¥162k/m²–¥340k/m²
2016–¥209k/m²–¥335k/m²
2017–¥218k/m²–¥360k/m²
2018–––¥355k/m²
2019–¥196k/m²–¥372k/m²
2020–¥211k/m²–¥380k/m²
2021–¥200k/m²––
2022¥133k/m²¥216k/m²––
2024–¥238k/m²––
2025–¥233k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Joto Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Gamo 4 Chome (蒲生四丁目)¥21.0M¥562k/m²¥37.5M5182
Shigino (鴫野)¥29.0M¥464k/m²¥32.0M7141
Sekime (関目)¥24.0M¥400k/m²¥55.0M7130
Kyobashi(Osaka) (京橋(大阪))¥30.0M¥565k/m²¥25.0M6115
Noe (野江)¥29.0M¥460k/m²¥36.5M5111
Fukaebashi (深江橋)¥21.0M¥493k/m²¥42.0M980
Midoribashi (緑橋)¥22.0M¥450k/m²¥39.5M876
Imafuku Tsurumi (今福鶴見)¥21.5M¥366k/m²¥39.0M572
JR Noe (JR野江)¥19.0M¥400k/m²¥58.0M543
Hanaten (放出)––¥46.0M931
Shimmori Furuichi (新森古市)¥28.5M¥400k/m²–422
Sekime Takadono (関目高殿)¥14.0M¥250k/m²–317
Noe Uchindai (野江内代)––¥38.0M514
Morinomiya (森ノ宮)¥24.0M¥489k/m²–713
Osakajokoen (大阪城公園)–––712

Used condo prices by layout in Joto Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥33.0M65 m²264
2LDK¥22.0M55 m²105
1K¥20.0M20 m²102
4LDK¥37.5M80 m²40
1LDK¥17.5M42.5 m²18
3DK¥8.4M55 m²13
2DK¥9.2M45 m²12
1DK¥19.0M27.5 m²12

How much does an apartment cost in Joto Ward, Osaka City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Joto Ward, Osaka City sold for ¥24.0M in 2025, about ¥460k/m², based on 264 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Joto Ward, Osaka City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥45.0M in 2025 across 112 sales.

Are property prices in Joto Ward, Osaka City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +31.4% and residential land prices changed +23.3%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.