Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥32.5M
¥456k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥36.5M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥375k/m²
Transactions in 2025
156
#17 of 68 areas in Osaka by price per m²

What the data says

Steady, predictable growth

Condo prices per m² have climbed about 4.7% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.

Lagging Osaka

Per m², condos here are 17% below the Osaka average. Ten years ago the gap was 3%, so Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City has been falling behind the rest of Osaka.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 24% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

78% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are picking up

There were about 14% more transactions in the last three years than the three before, so the market is liquid and selling later should be easier.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥21.8M and ¥38.3M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 2.5% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 2.8% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Few abandoned homes

11.3% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 2.3% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 46 years of the area's median rent (¥59k a month), compared with 31.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 67% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are rising fast

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +9% in the year to January 2026 and +27% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 100% are inside the worst-case flood zone, 8% are in a tsunami inundation zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
109,900
-2.5% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+57
+0.52 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
11.3%
2.3% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥59k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
66.5%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Official land price 2026
¥290k/m²
+8.8% in a year · +26.9% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
100.0%
of 12 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Tsunami exposure
8.3%
of 12 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Osaka: 10.2%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 12 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥21.0M

¥280k/m²

  • Tsurumi
  • Imafuku Tsurumi · 5 min walk
  • 4LDK · 75 m²
  • Built 1982 (43 yrs) · SRC
Typical2025 Q4

¥33.0M

¥508k/m²

  • Imazukita
  • Hanaten · 10 min walk
  • 3LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1994 (31 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥43.0M

¥538k/m²

  • Tsurumi
  • Imafuku Tsurumi · 8 min walk
  • 3LDK · 80 m²
  • Built 1988 (38 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥16.0M

¥320k/m²

  • Yokozutsumi
  • Yokozutsumi · 8 min walk
  • Land 60 m² · floor 50 m²
  • Built 1970 (56 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥33.0M

¥330k/m²

  • Imazukita
  • Tokuan · 3 min walk
  • Land 65 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2005 (21 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥55.0M

¥458k/m²

  • Midori
  • Shimmori Furuichi · 12 min walk
  • Land 65 m² · floor 120 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥15.0M¥36.5M
2006¥21.0M¥34.5M
2007¥16.0M¥28.0M
2008¥17.5M¥28.0M
2009¥18.0M¥30.5M
2010¥19.0M¥33.0M
2011¥19.0M¥33.5M
2012¥24.0M¥31.0M
2013¥21.0M¥34.0M
2014¥20.0M¥32.0M
2015¥20.0M¥32.0M
2016¥24.0M¥31.0M
2017¥20.0M¥32.0M
2018¥24.0M¥37.0M
2019¥24.0M¥32.0M
2020¥24.0M¥38.0M
2021¥29.5M¥32.5M
2022¥28.5M¥39.0M
2023¥29.5M¥36.0M
2024¥25.0M¥41.0M
2025¥32.5M¥36.5M
2026 (partial)¥31.0M¥35.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 22% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥230k/m²¥253k/m²–
2006¥283k/m²¥296k/m²–
2007¥267k/m²¥248k/m²¥270k/m²
2008¥267k/m²¥252k/m²¥240k/m²
2009¥260k/m²¥305k/m²–
2010¥257k/m²¥284k/m²¥160k/m²
2011¥273k/m²¥300k/m²¥160k/m²
2012¥296k/m²¥278k/m²–
2013¥300k/m²¥279k/m²¥210k/m²
2014¥280k/m²¥274k/m²¥190k/m²
2015¥292k/m²¥250k/m²–
2016¥354k/m²¥254k/m²–
2017¥328k/m²¥270k/m²–
2018¥348k/m²¥324k/m²–
2019¥338k/m²¥275k/m²¥210k/m²
2020¥354k/m²¥339k/m²–
2021¥400k/m²¥282k/m²–
2022¥424k/m²¥288k/m²¥275k/m²
2023¥406k/m²¥337k/m²¥290k/m²
2024¥417k/m²¥381k/m²–
2025¥456k/m²¥300k/m²¥375k/m²
2026 (partial)¥477k/m²¥320k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥411k/m²
14¥466k/m²–
16¥538k/m²–
17¥519k/m²–
18¥521k/m²–
20¥467k/m²–
22¥433k/m²–
23–¥270k/m²
34¥369k/m²–
36¥333k/m²–
37¥324k/m²–
40¥331k/m²–
41¥267k/m²–
50–¥175k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2006200820102012201420162018202020222024

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-2010
2006¥309k/m²–
2007¥267k/m²–
2008¥256k/m²–
2009¥233k/m²¥388k/m²
2010¥231k/m²¥407k/m²
2011¥236k/m²¥372k/m²
2012¥250k/m²¥371k/m²
2013¥250k/m²¥371k/m²
2014¥267k/m²–
2015¥275k/m²–
2016¥294k/m²¥400k/m²
2017¥278k/m²¥428k/m²
2018¥328k/m²¥400k/m²
2019¥309k/m²¥400k/m²
2020¥324k/m²¥446k/m²
2021¥356k/m²¥471k/m²
2022¥369k/m²–
2023¥371k/m²¥500k/m²
2024¥333k/m²¥508k/m²
2025¥416k/m²¥513k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k20062008201020122014201620182020

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006–¥358k/m²–
2007¥190k/m²¥384k/m²–
2008¥176k/m²¥325k/m²–
2009–¥342k/m²–
2010–¥328k/m²–
2011––¥337k/m²
2012––¥332k/m²
2013––¥337k/m²
2014––¥345k/m²
2015¥162k/m²–¥340k/m²
2016¥162k/m²–¥330k/m²
2017––¥348k/m²
2018––¥371k/m²
2019––¥370k/m²
2020––¥372k/m²

Prices near train stations in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Yokozutsumi (横堤)¥24.0M¥400k/m²¥44.0M6134
Hanaten (放出)¥31.0M¥508k/m²¥43.0M894
Imafuku Tsurumi (今福鶴見)¥31.0M¥433k/m²¥36.0M771
Tokuan (徳庵)¥18.5M¥296k/m²¥29.0M955
Tsurumi Ryokuchi (鶴見緑地)¥39.0M¥600k/m²¥43.5M837
Kadoma Minami (門真南)––¥35.0M1334
Shimmori Furuichi (新森古市)––¥38.0M1218

Used condo prices by layout in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥30.0M65 m²122
2LDK¥25.0M60 m²33
4LDK¥40.0M80 m²24

How much does an apartment cost in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City sold for ¥32.5M in 2025, about ¥456k/m², based on 72 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥36.5M in 2025 across 64 sales.

Are property prices in Tsurumi Ward, Osaka City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +28.8%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.