Roppongi, Minato, Tokyo
Photo: Roppongi, Minato, Tokyo · Takashi Miyazaki / Unsplash

Tokyo Housing Market 2025: Still Growing, Still Rising, and Getting Expensive to Rent

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥37.0M
¥1.1M/m² · +7.5% vs 2024
Median house price (land + building)
¥63.0M
+3.8% vs 2024
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥520k/m²
+33.3% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
32,806
#1 of 47 areas in Japan by price per m²

The only big prefecture still gaining people

Tokyo added about 200,000 residents between 2020 and 2025 (+1.4%) while Japan as a whole lost 2.5%. In 2025 alone, about 65,000 more people moved in from the rest of Japan than left. Households grew even faster (+4.7%) because most newcomers are single. This steady inflow is the foundation under Tokyo's prices.

Condos doubled in a decade, and the pace is steady

The median price per m² of a used condo roughly doubled between 2013 and 2025, growing about 5% a year with no sign of a sharp slowdown. Houses rose much less, so a m² of house now costs around 40% less than a m² of condo even with its land. On the government's fixed benchmark sites, residential land rose 6.3% in the past year and about 22% over five years, while commercial land rose 12% in a year. Business districts are leading.

A one-room market

The most traded condo in Tokyo is a 20 m² 1K unit, not a family flat. Almost 40% of condo sales are studios or 1K/1DK units, bought to rent to the city's huge single-person population. A median condo costs about 39 years of Tokyo's median rent, so yields are thin and investors are relying on price growth.

Old buildings hold value because land is the asset

Pre-1981 condos have actually appreciated slightly faster than 2000s ones over the last decade, but they still sell about 20% below 1980s and 90s buildings. Condos keep their value well for 20 years, then drop sharply between 25 and 30 years old, the generation of small units built around the bubble.

Risks: earthquakes and the east-side lowlands

Tokyo's population-weighted chance of strong shaking (6-lower or more) in the next 30 years is about 53%, higher than the national average. Flood risk is concentrated in the low-lying eastern wards along the Arakawa and Edogawa rivers. In Edogawa almost every benchmark site is inside the worst-case flood zone, more than half of them 3 m or deeper, while the western wards and Tama area are much safer.

Redevelopment

Eight of the government's Urgent Urban Renewal Areas are in Tokyo, around Marunouchi and the bay, Shinagawa, Shinjuku, Shibuya, Ikebukuro, Akihabara, Osaki and Haneda. They are why the skyline keeps changing and why commercial land prices are rising faster than residential.

Living in Tokyo: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
14,246,219
+1.4% since 2020
Japan: -2.5%
Net moves in 2025
+65,219
+4.58 per 1,000 residents
Vacant homes (2023)
10.9%
2.6% empty and not for rent or sale
Japan: 13.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥78k
per month, all rented homes
Japan: ¥57k
Strong earthquake risk
52.8%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Japan: 38.4%
Official land price 2026
¥407k/m²
+6.3% in a year · +21.9% in 5 years
Japan: ¥74k/m²
Flood exposure
42.5%
of 2512 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (10.9% 3 m or deeper)
Japan: 42.6%
Tsunami exposure
0.2%
of 2512 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Japan: 7.8%
Landslide exposure
0.8%
of 2512 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Japan: 2.6%

Urban renewal zones

Areas designated by the national government for priority redevelopment, with relaxed planning rules and financial support for large projects.

  • Central Tokyo and Waterfront · 2043 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Akihabara and Kanda · 157 ha · designated 2002
  • Shinagawa and Tamachi Station area · 184 ha · designated 2012 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Shinjuku Station area · 221 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Osaki Station area · 61 ha · designated 2002
  • Shibuya Station area · 139 ha · designated 2005 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Ikebukuro Station area · 143 ha · designated 2015 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Haneda Airport South, Kawasaki Tonomachi and Daishigawara · 339 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Tokyo

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥23.0M

¥1.1M/m²

  • Nihombashihamacho, Chuo Ward
  • Hamacho · 2 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2002 (24 yrs) · SRC
Typical2026 Q2

¥37.0M

¥1.9M/m²

  • Akasaka, Minato Ward
  • Nogizaka · 7 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 1983 (43 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥75.0M

¥1.5M/m²

  • Harumi, Chuo Ward
  • Kachidoki · 8 min walk
  • 3LDK · 50 m²
  • Built 1983 (43 yrs) · SRC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥38.0M

¥475k/m²

  • Arakawa, Arakawa Ward
  • Machiya · 2 min walk
  • Land 55 m² · floor 80 m²
  • Built 1978 (48 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥64.0M

¥533k/m²

  • Higashitamagawa, Setagaya Ward
  • Den en Chofu · 7 min walk
  • Land 70 m² · floor 120 m²
  • Built 1995 (31 yrs) · RC、木造
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥140M

¥1.2M/m²

  • Sendagi, Bunkyo Ward
  • Nishi Nippori · 8 min walk
  • Land 95 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 1970 (56 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M¥80.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥21.0M¥52.0M
2006¥22.0M¥53.0M
2007¥24.0M¥49.0M
2008¥25.0M¥45.0M
2009¥25.0M¥42.0M
2010¥25.0M¥42.0M
2011¥25.0M¥42.0M
2012¥24.0M¥42.0M
2013¥24.0M¥43.0M
2014¥25.0M¥43.0M
2015¥26.0M¥44.0M
2016¥27.0M¥46.0M
2017¥28.0M¥48.0M
2018¥28.0M¥48.0M
2019¥29.0M¥48.0M
2020¥30.0M¥48.0M
2021¥31.0M¥50.0M
2022¥31.0M¥56.0M
2023¥33.0M¥59.0M
2024¥35.0M¥60.0M
2025¥37.0M¥63.0M
2026 (partial)¥37.0M¥67.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 42% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥550k/m²¥480k/m²¥410k/m²
2006¥578k/m²¥495k/m²¥450k/m²
2007¥600k/m²¥478k/m²¥390k/m²
2008¥569k/m²¥450k/m²¥330k/m²
2009¥544k/m²¥422k/m²¥300k/m²
2010¥571k/m²¥420k/m²¥310k/m²
2011¥560k/m²¥421k/m²¥310k/m²
2012¥533k/m²¥411k/m²¥300k/m²
2013¥556k/m²¥421k/m²¥310k/m²
2014¥600k/m²¥420k/m²¥320k/m²
2015¥655k/m²¥433k/m²¥340k/m²
2016¥727k/m²¥450k/m²¥330k/m²
2017¥750k/m²¥463k/m²¥350k/m²
2018¥775k/m²¥474k/m²¥360k/m²
2019¥800k/m²¥486k/m²¥390k/m²
2020¥850k/m²¥489k/m²¥390k/m²
2021¥892k/m²¥511k/m²¥400k/m²
2022¥920k/m²¥547k/m²¥420k/m²
2023¥960k/m²¥568k/m²¥450k/m²
2024¥1.0M/m²¥589k/m²¥480k/m²
2025¥1.1M/m²¥611k/m²¥520k/m²
2026 (partial)¥1.1M/m²¥643k/m²¥560k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 26 years old and half by around 47. Prices keep falling by roughly 2.1% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.Houses bottom out at around 25 years — House prices per m² drop about 39% from new by age 25, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥1.4M/m²¥618k/m²
1¥1.4M/m²¥627k/m²
2¥1.3M/m²¥753k/m²
3¥1.2M/m²¥750k/m²
4¥1.2M/m²¥704k/m²
5¥1.2M/m²¥661k/m²
6¥1.2M/m²¥678k/m²
7¥1.1M/m²¥631k/m²
8¥1.1M/m²¥647k/m²
9¥1.1M/m²¥600k/m²
10¥1.1M/m²¥557k/m²
11¥1.1M/m²¥630k/m²
12¥1.1M/m²¥556k/m²
13¥1.1M/m²¥600k/m²
14¥1.1M/m²¥544k/m²
15¥1.0M/m²¥545k/m²
16¥1.0M/m²¥480k/m²
17¥1.1M/m²¥525k/m²
18¥1.1M/m²¥518k/m²
19¥1.1M/m²¥524k/m²
20¥1.1M/m²¥486k/m²
21¥1.0M/m²¥478k/m²
22¥1.0M/m²¥444k/m²
23¥964k/m²¥500k/m²
24¥967k/m²¥441k/m²
25¥919k/m²¥430k/m²
26¥846k/m²¥430k/m²
27¥783k/m²¥418k/m²
28¥760k/m²¥406k/m²
29¥733k/m²¥371k/m²
30¥672k/m²¥464k/m²
31¥667k/m²¥392k/m²
32¥653k/m²¥393k/m²
33¥613k/m²¥386k/m²
34¥600k/m²¥413k/m²
35¥600k/m²¥373k/m²
36¥625k/m²¥414k/m²
37¥631k/m²¥410k/m²
38¥650k/m²¥400k/m²
39¥667k/m²¥409k/m²
40¥700k/m²¥365k/m²
41¥675k/m²¥365k/m²
42¥625k/m²¥367k/m²
43¥650k/m²¥387k/m²
44¥640k/m²¥392k/m²
45¥640k/m²¥379k/m²
46¥638k/m²¥340k/m²
47¥567k/m²¥354k/m²
48¥527k/m²¥360k/m²
49¥525k/m²¥400k/m²
50¥583k/m²¥447k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 3.6% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 20% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥362k/m²¥473k/m²¥950k/m²–
2006¥400k/m²¥480k/m²¥950k/m²–
2007¥400k/m²¥500k/m²¥925k/m²–
2008¥400k/m²¥487k/m²¥800k/m²–
2009¥375k/m²¥450k/m²¥750k/m²–
2010¥400k/m²¥475k/m²¥785k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2011¥385k/m²¥467k/m²¥733k/m²¥960k/m²
2012¥363k/m²¥450k/m²¥673k/m²¥900k/m²
2013¥400k/m²¥460k/m²¥700k/m²¥925k/m²
2014¥400k/m²¥495k/m²¥754k/m²¥960k/m²
2015¥429k/m²¥533k/m²¥830k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2016¥491k/m²¥574k/m²¥850k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2017¥489k/m²¥600k/m²¥889k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2018¥500k/m²¥600k/m²¥906k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2019¥500k/m²¥600k/m²¥950k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2020¥538k/m²¥627k/m²¥960k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2021¥556k/m²¥667k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.1M/m²
2022¥585k/m²¥705k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.1M/m²
2023¥600k/m²¥727k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.1M/m²
2024¥618k/m²¥750k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2025¥640k/m²¥800k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2026 (partial)¥680k/m²¥855k/m²¥1.2M/m²¥1.3M/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥347k/m²¥406k/m²¥544k/m²–
2006¥362k/m²¥435k/m²¥550k/m²–
2007¥371k/m²¥406k/m²¥519k/m²–
2008¥320k/m²¥382k/m²¥490k/m²–
2009¥286k/m²¥322k/m²¥470k/m²–
2010¥283k/m²¥326k/m²¥463k/m²¥516k/m²
2011¥290k/m²¥324k/m²¥465k/m²¥467k/m²
2012¥267k/m²¥310k/m²¥419k/m²¥459k/m²
2013¥284k/m²¥320k/m²¥432k/m²¥463k/m²
2014¥285k/m²¥331k/m²¥435k/m²¥467k/m²
2015¥300k/m²¥340k/m²¥453k/m²¥480k/m²
2016¥308k/m²¥341k/m²¥471k/m²¥500k/m²
2017¥317k/m²¥368k/m²¥470k/m²¥510k/m²
2018¥340k/m²¥365k/m²¥464k/m²¥526k/m²
2019¥323k/m²¥372k/m²¥481k/m²¥541k/m²
2020¥300k/m²¥352k/m²¥443k/m²¥529k/m²
2021¥325k/m²¥367k/m²¥480k/m²¥575k/m²
2022¥365k/m²¥400k/m²¥505k/m²¥617k/m²
2023¥376k/m²¥410k/m²¥543k/m²¥663k/m²
2024¥385k/m²¥425k/m²¥529k/m²¥647k/m²
2025¥442k/m²¥433k/m²¥529k/m²¥677k/m²
2026 (partial)¥394k/m²¥435k/m²¥600k/m²¥720k/m²

Prices by area in Tokyo

Median prices for 2025. Sorted by condo price per m² (or house price per m² where there are few condo sales).

AreaCondo price per m²Median used condo priceMedian house price (land + building)Residential land per m² (sales)Condo 5-yr change
Minato Ward¥2.0M/m²¥90.0M¥640M¥3.5M/m²+54.1%
Chiyoda Ward¥1.6M/m²¥50.0M¥530M–+33.3%
Chuo Ward¥1.6M/m²¥72.5M¥400M–+50.0%
Shibuya Ward¥1.6M/m²¥63.0M¥400M¥1.9M/m²+33.3%
Meguro Ward¥1.4M/m²¥58.0M¥170M¥1.3M/m²+33.3%
Shinjuku Ward¥1.4M/m²¥43.0M¥180M¥1.3M/m²+27.3%
Shinagawa Ward¥1.4M/m²¥40.0M¥110M¥1.1M/m²+29.9%
Bunkyo Ward¥1.3M/m²¥49.0M¥155M¥1.5M/m²+26.0%
Toshima Ward¥1.3M/m²¥34.0M¥105M¥920k/m²+25.0%
Taito Ward¥1.2M/m²¥40.0M¥180M¥1.8M/m²+29.2%
Koto Ward¥1.2M/m²¥40.0M¥68.5M¥965k/m²+40.0%
Nakano Ward¥1.1M/m²¥37.0M¥92.0M¥820k/m²+22.4%
Sumida Ward¥1.1M/m²¥32.0M¥95.0M¥940k/m²+27.3%
Setagaya Ward¥1.1M/m²¥53.0M¥110M¥920k/m²+27.7%
Suginami Ward¥1.1M/m²¥37.0M¥90.0M¥760k/m²+21.4%
Musashino City¥1.1M/m²¥66.0M¥89.0M¥690k/m²+39.9%
Kita Ward¥1.0M/m²¥36.0M¥64.0M¥650k/m²+38.7%
Ota Ward¥1.0M/m²¥31.0M¥80.0M¥700k/m²+21.0%
Mitaka City¥933k/m²¥55.0M¥70.0M¥495k/m²+41.7%
Arakawa Ward¥923k/m²¥45.0M¥65.0M¥640k/m²+37.2%
Nerima Ward¥920k/m²¥29.0M¥70.0M¥520k/m²+28.8%
Itabashi Ward¥882k/m²¥28.0M¥69.0M¥580k/m²+34.8%
Koganei City¥861k/m²¥48.5M¥73.0M¥510k/m²+46.5%
Kokubunji City¥821k/m²¥48.0M¥60.0M¥380k/m²+44.2%
Chofu City¥786k/m²¥45.0M¥57.0M¥410k/m²+45.9%
Komae City¥754k/m²¥39.0M¥62.0M¥350k/m²+33.8%
Edogawa Ward¥696k/m²¥43.0M¥55.0M¥455k/m²+37.1%
Katsushika Ward¥692k/m²¥29.0M¥50.0M¥430k/m²+42.5%
Fuchu City¥677k/m²¥37.0M¥50.0M¥335k/m²+38.9%
Kunitachi City¥667k/m²¥40.0M¥60.0M¥385k/m²+17.6%
Adachi Ward¥625k/m²¥29.0M¥50.0M¥360k/m²+30.8%
Nishitokyo City¥600k/m²¥37.0M¥55.0M¥325k/m²+29.9%
Tachikawa City¥550k/m²¥23.0M¥45.0M¥240k/m²+46.7%
Kodaira City¥510k/m²¥35.0M¥48.5M¥280k/m²+27.5%
Machida City¥482k/m²¥31.0M¥43.0M¥190k/m²+28.0%
Higashimurayama City¥439k/m²¥27.5M¥40.0M¥210k/m²+33.5%
Kiyose City¥437k/m²¥27.5M¥49.5M¥230k/m²+3.4%
Akishima City¥433k/m²¥29.0M¥39.0M¥210k/m²+41.2%
Inagi City¥389k/m²¥29.0M¥49.0M¥250k/m²+11.1%
Hino City¥386k/m²¥25.0M¥46.5M¥240k/m²+22.6%
Higashiyamato City¥383k/m²¥28.0M¥35.0M¥180k/m²+21.1%
Hachioji City¥380k/m²¥23.0M¥34.0M¥130k/m²+30.0%
Tama City¥371k/m²¥26.0M¥49.0M¥205k/m²+34.7%
Higashikurume City¥311k/m²¥19.0M¥44.0M¥240k/m²+40.8%
Fussa City¥292k/m²¥15.0M¥37.0M¥150k/m²+13.7%
Musashimurayama City––¥29.5M¥130k/m²–
Mizuho Town, Nishitama County––¥27.0M¥91k/m²–
Hamura City¥239k/m²¥13.5M¥30.0M¥150k/m²–
Akiruno City––¥26.0M¥96k/m²–
Oume City¥200k/m²¥9.9M¥24.0M¥92k/m²+31.6%

Prices near train stations in Tokyo

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Hachioji (八王子)¥27.0M¥538k/m²¥28.0M11762
Shin Koiwa (新小岩)¥34.0M¥667k/m²¥48.0M15585
Kachidoki (勝どき)¥96.5M¥1.6M/m²–6538
Mitaka (三鷹)¥57.0M¥971k/m²¥80.0M13527
Omori(Tokyo) (大森(東京))¥32.0M¥1.0M/m²¥89.0M8522
Oizumi Gakuen (大泉学園)¥33.0M¥742k/m²¥56.0M14510
Kameido (亀戸)¥29.0M¥1.0M/m²¥69.0M8499
Ogikubo (荻窪)¥32.0M¥1.0M/m²¥90.0M10471
Ryogoku (両国)¥29.0M¥1.1M/m²¥215M6471
Musashi Koganei (武蔵小金井)¥42.0M¥748k/m²¥61.0M13449
Kanamachi (金町)¥30.0M¥600k/m²¥42.0M12439
Machida (町田)¥30.0M¥586k/m²¥44.5M12416
Kamata(Tokyo) (蒲田)¥28.0M¥1.0M/m²¥68.0M7410
Musashi Seki (武蔵関)¥25.0M¥800k/m²¥67.0M8406
Tachikawa (立川)¥26.0M¥950k/m²¥55.0M10402

Used condo prices by layout in Tokyo

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥24.0M20 m²14917
3LDK¥53.0M70 m²12096
2LDK¥57.0M55 m²8629
1LDK¥45.0M40 m²4926
1DK¥31.0M30 m²2206
2DK¥31.0M45 m²1468
4LDK¥53.0M85 m²1039
1R¥14.0M15 m²699

How much does an apartment cost in Tokyo?

The median used condo (mansion) in Tokyo sold for ¥37.0M in 2025, about ¥1.1M/m², based on 16915 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Tokyo?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥63.0M in 2025 across 10954 sales.

Are property prices in Tokyo going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +26.5% and residential land prices changed +33.3%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.