Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi
Photo: Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi · Shuken Nakamura / Unsplash

Aichi Housing Market 2025: Stable Incomes, Slowing Condos, Real Earthquake Risk

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥20.0M
¥323k/m² · -2.5% vs 2024
Median house price (land + building)
¥35.0M
-0.8% vs 2024
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥96k/m²
+12.9% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
14,524
#13 of 47 areas in Japan by price per m²

A new-house market

Aichi's housing market is unlike most of Japan's. Detached houses dominate, and the median house sold here is only about nine years old, compared with 28 nationally. Toyota and its suppliers support stable incomes, many families buy brand-new houses from large builders, and a car-based lifestyle makes detached homes practical. The median house price (about 35 million yen) has barely changed in a decade.

Condo growth is slowing

Condo prices per m² rose about 3.8% a year over the last five years, slower than the 5.5% a year before, and the 2025 median dipped slightly. Aichi's condos remain much cheaper than the national average. The exception is central Nagoya: Nakamura Ward (Nagoya Station) has roughly doubled in five years and Naka Ward (Sakae, Fushimi) is up about 60%, both inside the government's priority renewal zone around Nagoya Station, Fushimi and Sakae. Aichi's most expensive residential benchmark site is in Sakae.

Quiet population, steady land

Aichi's population fell 1.2% between 2020 and 2025, and slightly more people moved out than in during 2025. On the government's fixed benchmark sites, residential land rose 1.7% in the last year and about 11% over five years, close to the transaction data.

Houses used to cost more per m² than condos

Ten years ago a m² of house cost about 20% more than a m² of condo, which is very unusual. That has reversed as condos rose and houses stayed flat, and houses now cost slightly less per m².

Earthquake and flood risk are real

Aichi faces a 56% chance of 6-lower shaking and a 20% chance of 6-upper shaking within 30 years for the average resident, among the highest of any big prefecture, because of the expected Nankai Trough earthquake. About 10% of benchmark sites are in tsunami zones and 40% in worst-case flood zones, concentrated in western Aichi's below-sea-level areas near Ise Bay. Post-2000 houses and good ground make a real difference here.

Station distance matters for condos

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for more than double the per-m² price of those 16 to 29 minutes away. For houses, distance barely matters.

Living in Aichi: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
7,449,403
-1.2% since 2020
Japan: -2.5%
Net moves in 2025
-2,181
-0.29 per 1,000 residents
Vacant homes (2023)
11.8%
4.3% empty and not for rent or sale
Japan: 13.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥55k
per month, all rented homes
Japan: ¥57k
Strong earthquake risk
56.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Japan: 38.4%
Official land price 2026
¥109k/m²
+1.7% in a year · +11.0% in 5 years
Japan: ¥74k/m²
Flood exposure
40.5%
of 1766 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (9.6% 3 m or deeper)
Japan: 42.6%
Tsunami exposure
10.0%
of 1766 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Japan: 7.8%
Landslide exposure
0.4%
of 1766 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Japan: 2.6%

Urban renewal zones

Areas designated by the national government for priority redevelopment, with relaxed planning rules and financial support for large projects.

  • Nagoya Station, Fushimi and Sakae · 401 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)
  • Nagoya Waterfront · 145 ha · designated 2002
  • Chubu Airport East and Tokoname Rinku · 378 ha · designated 2017

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Aichi

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥11.0M

¥169k/m²

  • Sasaharacho, Tenpaku Ward, Nagoya City
  • Nonami · 16 min walk
  • 3LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1985 (41 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥20.0M

¥800k/m²

  • Imaike, Chikusa Ward, Nagoya City
  • Imaike(Aichi) · 3 min walk
  • 1K · 25 m²
  • Built 2014 (12 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥35.0M

¥700k/m²

  • Uchiyama, Chikusa Ward, Nagoya City
  • Imaike(Aichi) · 2 min walk
  • 2LDK · 50 m²
  • Built 2017 (9 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥19.0M

¥181k/m²

  • Koraku, Minato Ward, Nagoya City
  • Minato Kuyakusho · 4 min walk
  • Land 70 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 2007 (19 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥35.0M

¥350k/m²

  • Hosoguchi, Midori Ward, Nagoya City
  • Tokushige · 20 min walk
  • Land 130 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 1994 (32 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥54.0M

¥470k/m²

  • Hachimae, Meito Ward, Nagoya City
  • Issha · 24 min walk
  • Land 170 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 2009 (17 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥14.0M¥38.0M
2006¥14.0M¥38.0M
2007¥14.0M¥34.0M
2008¥14.0M¥33.0M
2009¥14.0M¥32.0M
2010¥14.0M¥31.0M
2011¥14.0M¥31.0M
2012¥13.0M¥31.0M
2013¥14.0M¥31.0M
2014¥14.0M¥30.0M
2015¥15.0M¥32.0M
2016¥16.0M¥33.0M
2017¥16.0M¥33.0M
2018¥16.0M¥33.0M
2019¥17.0M¥33.0M
2020¥18.0M¥33.0M
2021¥18.0M¥34.0M
2022¥18.0M¥35.0M
2023¥18.0M¥35.0M
2024¥19.0M¥35.0M
2025¥20.0M¥35.0M
2026 (partial)¥22.0M¥35.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 12% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥200k/m²¥300k/m²¥140k/m²
2006¥215k/m²¥304k/m²¥150k/m²
2007¥200k/m²¥278k/m²¥91k/m²
2008¥200k/m²¥273k/m²¥85k/m²
2009¥200k/m²¥258k/m²¥85k/m²
2010¥200k/m²¥257k/m²¥85k/m²
2011¥200k/m²¥253k/m²¥85k/m²
2012¥187k/m²¥252k/m²¥85k/m²
2013¥200k/m²¥255k/m²¥85k/m²
2014¥200k/m²¥250k/m²¥85k/m²
2015¥215k/m²¥261k/m²¥87k/m²
2016¥233k/m²¥270k/m²¥85k/m²
2017¥238k/m²¥276k/m²¥85k/m²
2018¥243k/m²¥280k/m²¥86k/m²
2019¥271k/m²¥286k/m²¥84k/m²
2020¥271k/m²¥286k/m²¥85k/m²
2021¥292k/m²¥296k/m²¥85k/m²
2022¥300k/m²¥291k/m²¥87k/m²
2023¥307k/m²¥292k/m²¥90k/m²
2024¥331k/m²¥290k/m²¥92k/m²
2025¥323k/m²¥288k/m²¥96k/m²
2026 (partial)¥357k/m²¥274k/m²¥94k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 13 years old and half by around 21. Prices keep falling by roughly 2.7% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥880k/m²¥358k/m²
1¥880k/m²¥340k/m²
2¥760k/m²¥383k/m²
3¥686k/m²¥348k/m²
4¥680k/m²¥337k/m²
5¥669k/m²¥317k/m²
6¥625k/m²¥317k/m²
7¥600k/m²¥320k/m²
8¥615k/m²¥326k/m²
9¥533k/m²¥303k/m²
10¥576k/m²¥273k/m²
11¥535k/m²¥270k/m²
12¥522k/m²¥261k/m²
13¥484k/m²¥259k/m²
14¥477k/m²¥236k/m²
15¥457k/m²¥227k/m²
16¥440k/m²¥229k/m²
17¥389k/m²¥246k/m²
18¥370k/m²¥225k/m²
19¥376k/m²¥233k/m²
20¥347k/m²¥210k/m²
21¥329k/m²¥218k/m²
22¥313k/m²¥200k/m²
23¥280k/m²¥183k/m²
24¥293k/m²¥183k/m²
25¥284k/m²¥169k/m²
26¥250k/m²¥181k/m²
27¥245k/m²¥175k/m²
28¥231k/m²¥161k/m²
29¥229k/m²¥164k/m²
30¥200k/m²¥170k/m²
31¥187k/m²¥154k/m²
32¥176k/m²¥143k/m²
33¥185k/m²¥133k/m²
34¥167k/m²¥152k/m²
35¥187k/m²¥150k/m²
36¥185k/m²¥143k/m²
37¥180k/m²¥142k/m²
38¥200k/m²¥133k/m²
39¥187k/m²¥127k/m²
40¥210k/m²¥111k/m²
41¥166k/m²¥132k/m²
42¥178k/m²¥108k/m²
43¥173k/m²¥105k/m²
44¥173k/m²¥95k/m²
45¥173k/m²¥105k/m²
46¥183k/m²¥116k/m²
47¥130k/m²¥106k/m²
48¥121k/m²¥114k/m²
49¥142k/m²¥104k/m²
50¥104k/m²¥97k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 2.8% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 30% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥144k/m²¥200k/m²¥311k/m²–
2006¥138k/m²¥213k/m²¥322k/m²–
2007¥131k/m²¥200k/m²¥323k/m²–
2008¥115k/m²¥187k/m²¥307k/m²–
2009¥112k/m²¥175k/m²¥325k/m²–
2010¥113k/m²¥179k/m²¥307k/m²–
2011¥109k/m²¥180k/m²¥311k/m²–
2012¥95k/m²¥171k/m²¥288k/m²¥388k/m²
2013¥100k/m²¥171k/m²¥307k/m²¥514k/m²
2014¥113k/m²¥173k/m²¥305k/m²¥486k/m²
2015¥117k/m²¥186k/m²¥313k/m²¥467k/m²
2016¥118k/m²¥188k/m²¥329k/m²¥455k/m²
2017¥140k/m²¥200k/m²¥333k/m²¥475k/m²
2018¥120k/m²¥200k/m²¥360k/m²¥471k/m²
2019¥141k/m²¥213k/m²¥374k/m²¥494k/m²
2020¥138k/m²¥213k/m²¥363k/m²¥493k/m²
2021¥133k/m²¥213k/m²¥389k/m²¥571k/m²
2022¥155k/m²¥217k/m²¥387k/m²¥600k/m²
2023¥143k/m²¥214k/m²¥400k/m²¥600k/m²
2024¥142k/m²¥213k/m²¥414k/m²¥646k/m²
2025¥140k/m²¥200k/m²¥400k/m²¥633k/m²
2026 (partial)¥144k/m²¥215k/m²¥411k/m²¥655k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥188k/m²¥223k/m²¥350k/m²–
2006¥186k/m²¥221k/m²¥344k/m²–
2007¥165k/m²¥200k/m²¥320k/m²–
2008¥160k/m²¥186k/m²¥317k/m²–
2009¥150k/m²¥168k/m²¥308k/m²–
2010¥142k/m²¥168k/m²¥296k/m²¥350k/m²
2011¥131k/m²¥163k/m²¥260k/m²¥305k/m²
2012¥129k/m²¥155k/m²¥228k/m²¥305k/m²
2013¥128k/m²¥150k/m²¥229k/m²¥304k/m²
2014¥120k/m²¥159k/m²¥233k/m²¥300k/m²
2015¥122k/m²¥154k/m²¥235k/m²¥309k/m²
2016¥118k/m²¥156k/m²¥231k/m²¥318k/m²
2017¥122k/m²¥156k/m²¥239k/m²¥320k/m²
2018¥121k/m²¥155k/m²¥222k/m²¥320k/m²
2019¥111k/m²¥155k/m²¥225k/m²¥330k/m²
2020¥97k/m²¥148k/m²¥229k/m²¥324k/m²
2021¥100k/m²¥150k/m²¥219k/m²¥322k/m²
2022¥105k/m²¥158k/m²¥233k/m²¥315k/m²
2023¥105k/m²¥157k/m²¥229k/m²¥318k/m²
2024¥106k/m²¥152k/m²¥227k/m²¥318k/m²
2025¥104k/m²¥152k/m²¥235k/m²¥300k/m²
2026 (partial)¥100k/m²¥153k/m²¥219k/m²¥293k/m²

Prices by area in Aichi

Median prices for 2025. Sorted by condo price per m² (or house price per m² where there are few condo sales).

AreaCondo price per m²Median used condo priceMedian house price (land + building)Residential land per m² (sales)Condo 5-yr change
Naka Ward, Nagoya City¥767k/m²¥21.0M¥170M¥800k/m²+59.7%
Nakamura Ward, Nagoya City¥750k/m²¥22.0M¥45.5M¥220k/m²+102.7%
Higashi Ward, Nagoya City¥646k/m²¥30.0M¥97.0M¥500k/m²+41.6%
Chikusa Ward, Nagoya City¥510k/m²¥27.0M¥62.0M¥325k/m²+34.3%
Nishi Ward, Nagoya City¥477k/m²¥24.0M¥50.0M¥190k/m²+30.5%
Meito Ward, Nagoya City¥400k/m²¥24.0M¥51.0M¥225k/m²+26.6%
Nagakute City¥391k/m²¥31.0M¥49.0M¥205k/m²+12.8%
Chiryu City––¥42.0M¥140k/m²–
Kita Ward, Nagoya City¥385k/m²¥22.0M¥43.0M¥210k/m²+17.1%
Mizuho Ward, Nagoya City¥384k/m²¥29.0M¥58.0M¥290k/m²+5.4%
Atsuta Ward, Nagoya City¥360k/m²¥22.5M¥39.0M¥250k/m²+12.6%
Obu City––¥43.5M¥150k/m²–
Showa Ward, Nagoya City¥333k/m²¥22.0M¥59.0M¥350k/m²-8.0%
Nakagawa Ward, Nagoya City¥330k/m²¥22.0M¥35.0M¥160k/m²+41.6%
Tokai City––¥38.0M¥96k/m²–
Togo Town, Aichi County––¥32.0M¥110k/m²–
Kota Town, Nukata County––¥39.0M¥78k/m²–
Toyoake City––¥35.0M¥130k/m²–
Miyoshi City––¥36.0M¥91k/m²–
Kitanagoya City––¥34.0M¥100k/m²–
Kariya City¥297k/m²¥19.5M¥46.0M¥160k/m²+4.8%
Nisshin City¥293k/m²¥22.5M¥40.0M¥130k/m²+14.6%
Iwakura City––¥32.0M¥100k/m²–
Higashiura Town, Chita County––¥30.0M¥84k/m²–
Anjo City¥263k/m²¥20.0M¥43.0M¥130k/m²+6.6%
Toyota City¥259k/m²¥19.0M¥39.0M¥110k/m²-5.9%
Takahama City––¥31.0M¥100k/m²–
Kanie Town, Ama County––¥29.5M¥84k/m²–
Tenpaku Ward, Nagoya City¥250k/m²¥16.0M¥50.0M¥170k/m²-23.4%
Midori Ward, Nagoya City¥248k/m²¥19.0M¥45.0M¥170k/m²+9.4%
Okazaki City¥233k/m²¥16.0M¥37.0M¥110k/m²-2.8%
Inuyama City––¥26.0M¥56k/m²–
Moriyama Ward, Nagoya City¥226k/m²¥17.0M¥40.0M¥140k/m²+12.9%
Kiyosu City––¥31.0M¥83k/m²–
Oharu Town, Ama County––¥24.0M¥61k/m²–
Chita City––¥29.0M¥76k/m²–
Kasugai City¥215k/m²¥15.0M¥35.0M¥110k/m²-4.3%
Tsushima City––¥24.0M¥46k/m²–
Toyokawa City––¥25.0M¥67k/m²–
Hekinan City––¥22.0M¥77k/m²–
Nishio City––¥25.0M¥53k/m²–
Ichinomiya City¥200k/m²¥13.5M¥26.0M¥57k/m²-6.7%
Taketoyo Town, Chita County––¥24.5M¥48k/m²–
Fuso Town, Niwa County––¥26.5M¥71k/m²–
Inazawa City¥188k/m²¥14.5M¥24.5M¥39k/m²+0.9%
Minato Ward, Nagoya City¥187k/m²¥13.0M¥32.0M¥110k/m²-0.8%
Toyohashi City¥186k/m²¥15.0M¥24.0M¥79k/m²-0.5%
Minami Ward, Nagoya City¥183k/m²¥12.0M¥36.5M¥160k/m²-18.2%
Mihama Town, Chita County––¥18.5M––
Handa City¥175k/m²¥14.0M¥21.0M¥65k/m²+24.0%
Komaki City¥173k/m²¥13.0M¥29.0M¥89k/m²+8.3%
Tokoname City––¥18.0M¥37k/m²–
Gamagori City––¥21.0M¥55k/m²–
Seto City¥162k/m²¥11.0M¥23.0M¥60k/m²+18.3%
Ama City––¥24.0M¥66k/m²–
Yatomi City––¥23.0M¥42k/m²–
Konan City¥140k/m²¥9.8M¥27.0M¥57k/m²–
Owariasahi City¥123k/m²¥8.0M¥37.0M¥120k/m²-32.1%
Tahara City––¥15.0M¥8k/m²–
Aisai City––¥13.0M¥38k/m²–
Shinshiro City––¥6.0M¥15k/m²–
Toyoyama Town, Nishikasugai County–––¥90k/m²–
Oguchi Town, Niwa County–––¥58k/m²–
Agui Town, Chita County–––¥76k/m²–

Prices near train stations in Aichi

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Toyohashi (豊橋)¥16.0M¥212k/m²¥28.0M19630
Higashi Okazaki (東岡崎)¥18.0M¥236k/m²¥35.0M19445
Okazaki (岡崎)¥17.0M¥240k/m²¥40.0M20312
Kozoji (高蔵寺)¥9.0M¥125k/m²¥31.0M19288
Fujigaoka(Aichi) (藤が丘(愛知))¥20.0M¥267k/m²¥41.0M14279
Konan(Aichi) (江南(愛知))¥11.5M¥166k/m²¥27.0M14264
Hoshigaoka(Aichi) (星ケ丘(愛知))¥34.0M¥432k/m²¥44.0M16234
Nisshin(Aichi) (日進(愛知))¥17.0M¥227k/m²¥37.0M16227
Kasugai(JR) (春日井(JR))¥18.5M¥241k/m²¥37.0M15212
Nakamura Koen (中村公園)¥13.0M¥220k/m²¥35.0M10198
Owari Ichinomiya (尾張一宮)¥19.0M¥267k/m²¥33.0M14191
Jinryo (神領)¥17.0M¥223k/m²¥35.5M18190
Shinsakae Machi(Aichi) (新栄町(愛知))¥20.0M¥786k/m²¥60.5M6188
Tokushige (徳重)¥25.0M¥311k/m²¥49.0M18177
Issha (一社)¥23.0M¥355k/m²¥50.0M11174

Used condo prices by layout in Aichi

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥22.0M70 m²3150
4LDK¥23.0M85 m²1108
1K¥16.0M20 m²1001
2LDK¥23.0M65 m²965
1LDK¥25.0M40 m²330
1R¥2.4M15 m²234
1DK¥18.0M30 m²123
2DK¥12.0M50 m²102

How much does an apartment cost in Aichi?

The median used condo (mansion) in Aichi sold for ¥20.0M in 2025, about ¥323k/m², based on 2563 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Aichi?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥35.0M in 2025 across 5897 sales.

Are property prices in Aichi going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +19.0% and residential land prices changed +12.9%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.