Oarai coast, Ibaraki
Photo: Oarai coast, Ibaraki · Hong Ki Tang / Unsplash

Ibaraki Housing Market 2025: Tsukuba Booms, the Rest Stands Still

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥18.0M
¥254k/m² · -12.4% vs 2024
Median house price (land + building)
¥14.0M
+0.3% vs 2024
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥15k/m²
+7.1% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
5,662
#24 of 47 areas in Japan by price per m²

A two-speed prefecture

Ibaraki's condo prices per m² accelerated to about 3.4% a year over the last five years, but nearly all of that is Tsukuba and the towns along the Joban Line. Tsukuba's condo prices per m² are up about 53% in five years and Tsuchiura's about 48%. Tsukuba, a science city linked to Akihabara by the Tsukuba Express, is by far the most expensive place in the prefecture.

Land is flat

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, residential land in Ibaraki has barely moved in five years (up about 1%) and is 57% below its 1991 level. Outside the Tsukuba Express and Joban corridors, demand is weak and houses sell close to land value.

Fewer people, more households

Ibaraki's population fell 2.6% between 2020 and 2025 and about 6,000 more people left than arrived in 2025. Households still grew 3%. 6.7% of homes are abandoned. Transactions are down about 15% in three years.

Condos depreciate fast

Ibaraki condos lose about half their per-m² value by 20 years old and keep losing about 5% a year after that, faster than most areas. Buy for location and plan to hold.

Hazards

The average Ibaraki resident faces a 56% chance of 6-lower shaking within 30 years, among the highest in Japan. About 8% of benchmark sites face worst-case flooding of 3 m or deeper, mostly along the Kinu and Tone rivers. The 2015 Kinugawa flood in Joso showed how serious this can be.

Living in Ibaraki: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
2,791,207
-2.6% since 2020
Japan: -2.5%
Net moves in 2025
-5,960
-2.14 per 1,000 residents
Vacant homes (2023)
14.1%
6.7% empty and not for rent or sale
Japan: 13.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥50k
per month, all rented homes
Japan: ¥57k
Strong earthquake risk
56.2%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Japan: 38.4%
Official land price 2026
¥27k/m²
+1.0% in a year · +1.3% in 5 years
Japan: ¥74k/m²
Flood exposure
26.5%
of 649 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (7.7% 3 m or deeper)
Japan: 42.6%
Tsunami exposure
1.7%
of 649 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Japan: 7.8%
Landslide exposure
0.3%
of 649 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Japan: 2.6%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Ibaraki

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥6.5M

¥118k/m²

  • Aoyanagi, Toride City
  • Toride · 20 min walk
  • 2DK+S · 55 m²
  • Built 1989 (36 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q1

¥19.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Tonoyamacho, Hitachinaka City
  • Tonoyama · 8 min walk
  • 3LDK · 95 m²
  • Built 1991 (35 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥39.0M

¥557k/m²

  • Yamatocho, Tsuchiura City
  • Tsuchiura · 4 min walk
  • 2LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 2023 (2 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥3.5M

¥41k/m²

  • Koibuchicho, Mito City
  • Uchihara
  • Land 550 m² · floor 85 m²
  • Built 1981 (45 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥14.0M

¥54k/m²

  • Arakawaoki, Tsuchiura City
  • Arakawaoki · 13 min walk
  • Land 330 m² · floor 260 m²
  • Built 1969 (57 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥31.0M

¥107k/m²

  • Namiki, Tsuchiura City
  • Tsuchiura
  • Land 540 m² · floor 290 m²
  • Built 1990 (36 yrs) · Light steel
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2006––
2007¥17.0M¥16.0M
2008¥15.0M¥15.0M
2009¥17.0M¥13.0M
2010¥14.0M¥13.0M
2011¥13.0M¥13.0M
2012¥15.0M¥13.0M
2013¥13.0M¥14.0M
2014¥15.0M¥15.0M
2015¥17.0M¥16.0M
2016¥16.0M¥17.0M
2017¥14.0M¥16.0M
2018¥13.0M¥16.0M
2019¥16.0M¥15.0M
2020¥17.0M¥17.0M
2021¥19.0M¥17.0M
2022¥17.0M¥16.0M
2023¥19.0M¥15.0M
2024¥22.0M¥14.0M
2025¥18.0M¥14.0M
2026 (partial)¥20.0M¥14.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 62% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2006––¥28k/m²
2007¥240k/m²¥140k/m²¥21k/m²
2008¥225k/m²¥122k/m²¥18k/m²
2009¥231k/m²¥100k/m²¥18k/m²
2010¥187k/m²¥109k/m²¥20k/m²
2011¥167k/m²¥100k/m²¥17k/m²
2012¥200k/m²¥100k/m²¥17k/m²
2013¥185k/m²¥107k/m²¥16k/m²
2014¥206k/m²¥116k/m²¥15k/m²
2015¥234k/m²¥120k/m²¥17k/m²
2016¥229k/m²¥130k/m²¥16k/m²
2017¥200k/m²¥131k/m²¥15k/m²
2018¥200k/m²¥130k/m²¥13k/m²
2019¥229k/m²¥116k/m²¥14k/m²
2020¥232k/m²¥139k/m²¥14k/m²
2021¥259k/m²¥133k/m²¥14k/m²
2022¥246k/m²¥118k/m²¥14k/m²
2023¥257k/m²¥111k/m²¥13k/m²
2024¥290k/m²¥104k/m²¥14k/m²
2025¥254k/m²¥104k/m²¥15k/m²
2026 (partial)¥274k/m²¥103k/m²¥13k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 12 years old and half by around 20. Prices keep falling by roughly 5.1% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥260k/m²
1–¥239k/m²
2¥587k/m²¥261k/m²
3¥527k/m²¥238k/m²
4¥547k/m²¥231k/m²
5¥438k/m²¥227k/m²
6¥459k/m²¥239k/m²
7¥455k/m²¥200k/m²
8¥420k/m²¥190k/m²
9¥440k/m²¥191k/m²
10¥507k/m²¥183k/m²
11–¥200k/m²
12¥355k/m²¥171k/m²
13¥277k/m²¥191k/m²
14¥327k/m²¥160k/m²
15¥305k/m²¥150k/m²
16¥341k/m²¥144k/m²
17¥338k/m²¥141k/m²
18¥311k/m²¥143k/m²
19¥274k/m²¥127k/m²
20¥260k/m²¥121k/m²
21¥268k/m²¥116k/m²
22¥244k/m²¥115k/m²
23¥194k/m²¥109k/m²
24¥213k/m²¥88k/m²
25¥200k/m²¥89k/m²
26¥131k/m²¥80k/m²
27¥143k/m²¥80k/m²
28¥153k/m²¥70k/m²
29¥153k/m²¥71k/m²
30¥163k/m²¥72k/m²
31¥147k/m²¥63k/m²
32¥108k/m²¥67k/m²
33¥138k/m²¥55k/m²
34¥124k/m²¥67k/m²
35–¥60k/m²
36–¥57k/m²
37¥59k/m²¥50k/m²
38–¥53k/m²
39¥76k/m²¥49k/m²
40¥88k/m²¥47k/m²
41–¥44k/m²
42–¥47k/m²
43–¥43k/m²
44¥73k/m²¥47k/m²
45¥55k/m²¥39k/m²
46¥61k/m²¥36k/m²
47¥51k/m²¥37k/m²
48¥51k/m²¥40k/m²
49¥49k/m²¥30k/m²
50–¥33k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥136k/m²¥341k/m²–
2008¥72k/m²¥129k/m²¥308k/m²–
2009–¥111k/m²¥260k/m²–
2010¥65k/m²¥126k/m²¥273k/m²–
2011–¥105k/m²¥296k/m²–
2012–¥109k/m²¥250k/m²–
2013–¥116k/m²¥283k/m²–
2014–¥116k/m²¥283k/m²–
2015¥56k/m²¥155k/m²¥288k/m²–
2016¥48k/m²¥114k/m²¥280k/m²¥388k/m²
2017–¥109k/m²¥284k/m²–
2018–¥113k/m²¥277k/m²¥387k/m²
2019¥55k/m²¥126k/m²¥283k/m²¥394k/m²
2020¥67k/m²¥109k/m²¥289k/m²¥388k/m²
2021–¥114k/m²¥294k/m²¥388k/m²
2022–¥133k/m²¥302k/m²¥450k/m²
2023–¥164k/m²¥317k/m²¥457k/m²
2024–¥151k/m²¥338k/m²¥485k/m²
2025–¥117k/m²¥320k/m²¥507k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥125k/m²¥314k/m²–
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥76k/m²¥102k/m²¥233k/m²–
2008¥65k/m²¥90k/m²¥231k/m²–
2009¥59k/m²¥76k/m²¥222k/m²–
2010¥60k/m²¥82k/m²¥214k/m²¥259k/m²
2011¥61k/m²¥76k/m²¥170k/m²¥227k/m²
2012¥54k/m²¥74k/m²¥147k/m²¥235k/m²
2013¥57k/m²¥77k/m²¥145k/m²¥236k/m²
2014¥50k/m²¥76k/m²¥143k/m²¥238k/m²
2015¥52k/m²¥74k/m²¥139k/m²¥232k/m²
2016¥48k/m²¥71k/m²¥132k/m²¥233k/m²
2017¥50k/m²¥68k/m²¥140k/m²¥235k/m²
2018¥47k/m²¥68k/m²¥136k/m²¥235k/m²
2019¥39k/m²¥63k/m²¥127k/m²¥236k/m²
2020¥38k/m²¥65k/m²¥136k/m²¥219k/m²
2021¥39k/m²¥67k/m²¥128k/m²¥214k/m²
2022¥39k/m²¥65k/m²¥141k/m²¥210k/m²
2023¥38k/m²¥62k/m²¥133k/m²¥214k/m²
2024¥36k/m²¥63k/m²¥146k/m²¥222k/m²
2025¥38k/m²¥65k/m²¥135k/m²¥200k/m²
2026 (partial)¥40k/m²¥66k/m²¥137k/m²¥200k/m²

Prices by area in Ibaraki

Median prices for 2025. Sorted by condo price per m² (or house price per m² where there are few condo sales).

AreaCondo price per m²Median used condo priceMedian house price (land + building)Residential land per m² (sales)Condo 5-yr change
Tsukuba City¥504k/m²¥40.0M¥39.5M¥32k/m²+53.0%
Ushiku City¥274k/m²¥18.5M¥17.0M¥39k/m²–
Mito City¥255k/m²¥17.5M¥24.0M¥28k/m²+5.0%
Moriya City––¥30.0M¥88k/m²–
Tsuchiura City¥200k/m²¥15.0M¥17.5M¥20k/m²+48.1%
Tsukubamirai City––¥20.0M¥16k/m²–
Hitachinaka City––¥21.0M¥30k/m²–
Tokai Village, Naka County––¥26.0M¥19k/m²–
Naka City––¥12.5M¥5k/m²–
Ami Town, Inashiki County––¥20.0M¥19k/m²–
Toride City¥108k/m²¥6.5M¥20.0M¥45k/m²+36.0%
Kasumigaura City––¥14.5M¥3k/m²–
Joso City––¥12.0M¥13k/m²–
Ryugasaki City––¥13.0M¥16k/m²–
Kasama City––¥12.0M¥11k/m²–
Yuki City––¥19.0M¥15k/m²–
Kashima City––¥6.8M¥21k/m²–
Koga City––¥8.5M¥18k/m²–
Kamisu City––¥10.0M¥15k/m²–
Hitachi City––¥11.0M¥25k/m²–
Bando City––¥6.0M¥4k/m²–
Ishioka City––¥10.4M¥10k/m²–
Sakuragawa City––¥7.2M¥2k/m²–
Tone Town, Kitasoma County––¥5.2M––
Inashiki City––¥3.1M¥3k/m²–
Omitama City––¥6.7M¥3k/m²–
Shimotsuma City––¥9.5M¥8k/m²–
Chikusei City––¥9.8M¥6k/m²–
Kitaibaraki City––¥5.8M¥5k/m²–
Ibaraki Town, Higashiibaraki County––¥5.0M¥3k/m²–
Hitachiota City––¥5.1M¥510/m²–
Hokota City––¥2.0M¥3k/m²–
Takahagi City–––¥7k/m²–
Itako City–––¥9k/m²–
Oarai Town, Higashiibaraki County–––¥23k/m²–
Miho Village, Inashiki County–––¥760/m²–

Prices near train stations in Ibaraki

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Mito(Ibaraki) (水戸)¥17.0M¥256k/m²¥24.0M19616
Tsuchiura (土浦)¥15.0M¥217k/m²¥12.0M15453
Tsukuba (つくば)¥35.0M¥421k/m²¥42.0M14448
Akatsuka(Ibaraki) (赤塚)¥16.5M¥250k/m²¥23.0M18388
Koga(Ibaraki) (古河)––¥14.0M19383
Arakawaoki (荒川沖)¥18.0M¥262k/m²¥19.0M20381
Ushiku (牛久)¥15.0M¥200k/m²¥14.0M19323
Moriya (守谷)¥37.5M¥503k/m²¥21.0M13277
Katsuta (勝田)¥30.0M¥375k/m²¥26.0M20250
Ryugasaki Shi (龍ケ崎市)¥7.5M¥110k/m²¥13.0M14206
Kandatsu (神立)––¥19.5M16175
Kashimajingu (鹿島神宮)––¥14.0M20175
Toride (取手)¥8.6M¥147k/m²¥24.0M15172
Ishioka (石岡)––¥12.0M20157
Midorino (みどりの)––¥37.0M15144

Used condo prices by layout in Ibaraki

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥21.0M70 m²415
2LDK¥17.0M65 m²103
4LDK¥24.0M85 m²95
1LDK¥13.0M50 m²19
2DK¥4.0M50 m²12
3DK¥2.8M55 m²12

How much does an apartment cost in Ibaraki?

The median used condo (mansion) in Ibaraki sold for ¥18.0M in 2025, about ¥254k/m², based on 224 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Ibaraki?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥14.0M in 2025 across 2641 sales.

Are property prices in Ibaraki going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +9.4% and residential land prices changed +7.1%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.