Shinsekai, Osaka
Photo: Shinsekai, Osaka · Nomadic Julien / Unsplash

Minato Ward, Osaka City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥20.0M
¥680k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥38.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥400k/m²
Transactions in 2025
269
#10 of 68 areas in Osaka by price per m²

What the data says

Prices are still rising, but more slowly

Growth has cooled to about 3.4% a year, down from 12.4% a year in the previous five years. This looks more like a maturing market than a turning point, and it gives buyers a bit more room to negotiate.

Outperforming Osaka

Per m², condos here are 17% above the Osaka average. The premium has grown from 4% ten years ago, so Minato Ward, Osaka City has been outperforming its surroundings.

Station distance barely matters

Condos 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.

A market for singles and investors

50% of recent condo sales are studios or 1K/1DK units, typical of rental investment and single workers. Small units are easy to rent but sensitive to new supply. Families will find fewer options.

Sales are picking up

There were about 25% more transactions in the last three years than the three before, so the market is liquid and selling later should be easier.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥16.0M and ¥27.8M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A stable population

The population was roughly stable between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.

Typical vacancy

18% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.2% for the wider area), and 4% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 30.5 years of the area's median rent (¥55k a month), compared with 31.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 56% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (43% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are rising fast

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +5% in the year to January 2026 and +14% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Significant flood risk

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 8% are inside the worst-case flood zone, 100% are in a tsunami inundation zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Minato Ward, Osaka City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
80,734
-0.3% since 2020
Osaka: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+155
+1.92 per 1,000 residents
Osaka: +1.79
Vacant homes (2023)
18.0%
4.0% empty and not for rent or sale
Osaka: 14.2%
Median rent (2023)
¥55k
per month, all rented homes
Osaka: ¥58k
Strong earthquake risk
55.8%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Osaka: 43.3%
Official land price 2026
¥256k/m²
+5.1% in a year · +14.2% in 5 years
Osaka: ¥145k/m²
Flood exposure
8.3%
of 12 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Osaka: 42.5%
Tsunami exposure
100.0%
of 12 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Osaka: 10.2%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 12 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Osaka: 1.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Minato Ward, Osaka City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥16.0M

¥800k/m²

  • Namiyoke
  • Bentencho · 1 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2011 (15 yrs) · RC
Typical2025 Q4

¥20.0M

¥1.0M/m²

  • Yuunagi
  • Asashiobashi · 8 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥31.0M

¥443k/m²

  • Yuunagi
  • Asashiobashi · 1 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1993 (32 yrs) · SRC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥21.0M

¥280k/m²

  • Ichioka
  • Bentencho · 14 min walk
  • Land 55 m² · floor 75 m²
  • Built 1977 (49 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥37.0M

¥352k/m²

  • Ichioka
  • Bentencho · 12 min walk
  • Land 60 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 2009 (17 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥52.0M

¥650k/m²

  • Namiyoke
  • Bentencho · 4 min walk
  • Land 50 m² · floor 80 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by yearA jump driven by what sold — The median house price rose 41% between 2023 and 2025. Per m², prices rose only 16%, so most of the jump comes from larger or higher-end properties changing hands, not from the same homes getting that much more expensive. With only 80 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005–¥34.0M
2006¥16.0M¥32.0M
2007¥17.0M¥38.5M
2008¥19.0M¥30.0M
2009¥16.0M¥35.5M
2010¥15.0M¥30.0M
2011¥16.0M¥29.0M
2012¥12.0M¥28.0M
2013¥18.0M¥27.0M
2014¥14.5M¥28.5M
2015¥13.0M¥25.0M
2016¥15.5M¥30.0M
2017¥15.5M¥27.0M
2018¥18.0M¥30.0M
2019¥15.0M¥30.0M
2020¥17.0M¥21.0M
2021¥18.0M¥32.0M
2022¥17.0M¥34.0M
2023¥18.0M¥27.0M
2024¥19.0M¥32.0M
2025¥20.0M¥38.0M
2026 (partial)¥20.0M¥35.5M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 62% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005–¥213k/m²–
2006¥213k/m²¥203k/m²¥320k/m²
2007¥250k/m²¥200k/m²–
2008¥293k/m²¥188k/m²¥250k/m²
2009¥231k/m²¥210k/m²–
2010¥233k/m²¥228k/m²¥210k/m²
2011¥246k/m²¥178k/m²–
2012¥240k/m²¥200k/m²¥220k/m²
2013¥284k/m²¥208k/m²¥220k/m²
2014¥306k/m²¥238k/m²–
2015¥273k/m²¥226k/m²–
2016¥408k/m²¥233k/m²¥250k/m²
2017¥378k/m²¥200k/m²–
2018¥373k/m²¥200k/m²¥250k/m²
2019¥400k/m²¥255k/m²¥225k/m²
2020¥640k/m²¥200k/m²–
2021¥560k/m²¥250k/m²¥240k/m²
2022¥587k/m²¥237k/m²¥330k/m²
2023¥639k/m²¥216k/m²¥350k/m²
2024¥552k/m²¥215k/m²¥330k/m²
2025¥680k/m²¥251k/m²¥400k/m²
2026 (partial)¥677k/m²¥304k/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 11 years old and half by around 32.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥1.0M/m²¥420k/m²
1¥800k/m²–
5¥825k/m²–
6¥800k/m²–
7¥850k/m²–
9¥755k/m²–
11¥750k/m²–
13¥634k/m²–
14¥690k/m²–
15¥600k/m²–
16¥600k/m²–
17¥639k/m²–
18¥628k/m²–
19¥614k/m²–
32¥373k/m²–
38¥327k/m²–
41–¥160k/m²
45¥267k/m²–
48¥223k/m²–
50¥109k/m²¥168k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥500k¥1.0M2006200820102012201420162018202020222024

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006–¥213k/m²––
2007–¥249k/m²––
2008––¥820k/m²–
2010–¥232k/m²––
2013–¥262k/m²––
2014––¥435k/m²–
2015¥200k/m²–¥408k/m²–
2016–¥267k/m²¥500k/m²¥850k/m²
2017––¥435k/m²–
2018–¥270k/m²¥440k/m²–
2019–¥300k/m²¥573k/m²–
2020–¥314k/m²¥523k/m²¥850k/m²
2021––¥631k/m²¥760k/m²
2022––¥600k/m²–
2023––¥626k/m²¥775k/m²
2024–¥377k/m²¥587k/m²–
2025–¥367k/m²¥640k/m²¥845k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2006200820102012201420162018202020222024

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006–¥356k/m²–
2007¥186k/m²––
2009¥180k/m²––
2011––¥345k/m²
2012––¥343k/m²
2013––¥333k/m²
2019––¥362k/m²
2024¥180k/m²––
2025¥232k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Minato Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Bentencho (弁天町)¥19.0M¥700k/m²¥34.5M8413
Asashiobashi (朝潮橋)¥22.0M¥415k/m²¥30.0M8175
Osakako (大阪港)¥9.4M¥149k/m²–336

Used condo prices by layout in Minato Ward, Osaka City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥17.0M20 m²158
3LDK¥32.0M70 m²88
2LDK¥32.5M65 m²44
3DK¥6.0M55 m²11

How much does an apartment cost in Minato Ward, Osaka City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Minato Ward, Osaka City sold for ¥20.0M in 2025, about ¥680k/m², based on 158 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Minato Ward, Osaka City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥38.0M in 2025 across 80 sales.

Are property prices in Minato Ward, Osaka City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +6.3%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.