Kariya City Housing Market Report 2025
Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2
Key figures for 2025
- Median used condo price
- ¥19.5M
- ¥297k/m²
- Median house price (land + building)
- ¥46.0M
- Residential land per m² (sales)
- ¥160k/m²
- +3.2% over 5 years
- Transactions in 2025
- 294
- #21 of 61 areas in Aichi by price per m²
What the data says
Prices are still rising, but more slowly
Growth has cooled to about 2.7% a year, down from 4.6% a year in the previous five years. This looks more like a maturing market than a turning point, and it gives buyers a bit more room to negotiate.
Lagging Aichi
Per m², condos here are 9% below the Aichi average. Ten years ago the gap was 1%, so Kariya City has been falling behind the rest of Aichi.
A modest station premium
Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 6% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. The penalty for a longer walk is mild, so it is worth widening your search radius.
A family market
90% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.
Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 9% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥14.5M and ¥29.5M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 0.7% between 2020 and 2025 (−1.2% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 2.2 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand. Households still grew 1.8% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.
Typical vacancy
10.6% of homes were empty in 2023 (11.8% for the wider area), and 6.2% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.
Buying vs renting
A median used condo costs about 28 years of the area's median rent (¥58k a month), compared with 30 years for the wider area. That is a middle-of-the-road ratio for Japan. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.
High earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 60% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (56% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.
Official land prices are edging up
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +2% in the year to January 2026 and +23% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Little exposure to flooding
Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.
Living in Kariya City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 152,807
- -0.7% since 2020
- Aichi: -1.2%
- Net moves in 2025
- -339
- -2.22 per 1,000 residents
- Aichi: -0.29
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 10.6%
- 6.2% empty and not for rent or sale
- Aichi: 11.8%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥58k
- per month, all rented homes
- Aichi: ¥55k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 60.2%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Aichi: 56.0%
- Official land price 2026
- ¥182k/m²
- +2.4% in a year · +22.8% in 5 years
- Aichi: ¥109k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 2.8%
- of 36 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Aichi: 40.5%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 36 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Aichi: 0.4%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Kariya City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
Condo
¥13.0M
¥186k/m²
- Inabacho
- Aizuma · 19 min walk
- 3LDK · 70 m²
- Built 1995 (30 yrs) · RC
¥19.0M
¥317k/m²
- Aioicho
- Kariya · 5 min walk
- 3LDK · 60 m²
- Built 1979 (46 yrs) · SRC
¥32.0M
¥376k/m²
- Saiwaicho
- Kariya · 11 min walk
- 4LDK · 85 m²
- Built 2006 (20 yrs) · RC
House
¥37.0M
¥352k/m²
- Nodacho
- Noda Shimmachi · 13 min walk
- Land 120 m² · floor 105 m²
- Built 2025 (1 yrs) · Wood
¥46.0M
¥484k/m²
- Ondacho
- Hitotsugi · 16 min walk
- Land 110 m² · floor 95 m²
- Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
¥58.0M
¥552k/m²
- Ikedacho
- Kariya · 24 min walk
- Land 150 m² · floor 105 m²
- Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Light steel
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥41.0M |
| 2008 | ¥14.0M | ¥42.0M |
| 2009 | ¥22.0M | ¥42.0M |
| 2010 | ¥15.0M | ¥40.0M |
| 2011 | ¥14.0M | ¥40.0M |
| 2012 | ¥14.0M | ¥39.0M |
| 2013 | ¥14.5M | ¥39.5M |
| 2014 | ¥15.5M | ¥37.0M |
| 2015 | ¥14.0M | ¥39.0M |
| 2016 | ¥15.0M | ¥40.0M |
| 2017 | ¥16.0M | ¥41.5M |
| 2018 | ¥20.0M | ¥41.0M |
| 2019 | ¥19.0M | ¥43.0M |
| 2020 | ¥20.0M | ¥40.0M |
| 2021 | ¥25.0M | ¥42.0M |
| 2022 | ¥24.0M | ¥43.5M |
| 2023 | ¥17.0M | ¥45.0M |
| 2024 | ¥23.0M | ¥43.0M |
| 2025 | ¥19.5M | ¥46.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥53.5M |
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House | Land |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥332k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥200k/m² | ¥351k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥293k/m² | ¥344k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥181k/m² | ¥348k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥186k/m² | ¥323k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥200k/m² | ¥338k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥200k/m² | ¥346k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥213k/m² | ¥333k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥205k/m² | ¥315k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥214k/m² | ¥350k/m² | ¥140k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥230k/m² | ¥370k/m² | ¥150k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥270k/m² | ¥365k/m² | ¥155k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥240k/m² | ¥370k/m² | ¥150k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥283k/m² | ¥362k/m² | ¥155k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥310k/m² | ¥368k/m² | ¥160k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥307k/m² | ¥386k/m² | ¥150k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥250k/m² | ¥379k/m² | ¥150k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥300k/m² | ¥390k/m² | ¥165k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥297k/m² | ¥418k/m² | ¥160k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥388k/m² | ¥180k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | – | ¥410k/m² |
| 1 | – | ¥382k/m² |
| 2 | – | ¥418k/m² |
| 30 | ¥215k/m² | – |
| 50 | – | ¥113k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 |
|---|---|---|
| 2008 | ¥200k/m² | – |
| 2009 | ¥188k/m² | ¥512k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥168k/m² | – |
| 2011 | ¥169k/m² | – |
| 2012 | ¥186k/m² | – |
| 2014 | ¥171k/m² | – |
| 2015 | ¥176k/m² | – |
| 2016 | ¥186k/m² | – |
| 2017 | ¥187k/m² | – |
| 2019 | ¥214k/m² | – |
| 2020 | ¥213k/m² | – |
| 2021 | ¥229k/m² | – |
| 2022 | ¥215k/m² | – |
| 2023 | ¥222k/m² | – |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥360k/m² | – |
| 2008 | – | ¥421k/m² | – |
| 2009 | – | ¥400k/m² | – |
| 2010 | ¥254k/m² | ¥374k/m² | – |
| 2011 | – | – | ¥357k/m² |
| 2012 | – | – | ¥352k/m² |
| 2013 | – | – | ¥358k/m² |
| 2014 | – | – | ¥347k/m² |
| 2015 | – | – | ¥356k/m² |
| 2016 | – | – | ¥364k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥181k/m² | – | ¥381k/m² |
| 2018 | – | – | ¥374k/m² |
| 2019 | – | – | ¥400k/m² |
| 2020 | – | – | ¥371k/m² |
| 2021 | – | – | ¥379k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Kariya City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kariya (刈谷) | ¥21.0M | ¥305k/m² | ¥52.0M | 14 | 73 |
| Fujimatsu (富士松) | – | – | ¥42.5M | 15 | 61 |
| Aizuma (逢妻) | – | – | ¥48.0M | 11 | 60 |
| Hitotsugi (一ツ木) | – | – | ¥43.5M | 13 | 58 |
| Kariyashi (刈谷市) | ¥24.0M | ¥309k/m² | ¥46.0M | 9 | 57 |
| Higashi Kariya (東刈谷) | ¥21.0M | ¥300k/m² | ¥40.0M | 9 | 38 |
| Noda Shimmachi (野田新町) | – | – | ¥39.5M | 16 | 37 |
| Ogakie (小垣江) | – | – | ¥44.0M | 12 | 31 |
| Shigehara (重原) | – | – | – | 8 | 12 |
Used condo prices by layout in Kariya City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥19.0M | 72.5 m² | 60 |
| 4LDK | ¥23.5M | 85 m² | 28 |
How much does an apartment cost in Kariya City?
The median used condo (mansion) in Kariya City sold for ¥19.5M in 2025, about ¥297k/m², based on 30 recorded sales.
How much does a house cost in Kariya City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥46.0M in 2025 across 116 sales.
Are property prices in Kariya City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +4.8% and residential land prices changed +3.2%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.