Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi
Photo: Nagoya Castle, Nagoya, Aichi · Shuken Nakamura / Unsplash

Okazaki City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥16.0M
¥233k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥37.0M
+1.1% vs 2024
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥110k/m²
0.0% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
664
#31 of 61 areas in Aichi by price per m²

What the data says

Prices are still rising, but more slowly

Growth has cooled to about 0.7% a year, down from 5.7% a year in the previous five years. This looks more like a maturing market than a turning point, and it gives buyers a bit more room to negotiate.

Lagging Aichi

Per m², condos here are 27% below the Aichi average. Ten years ago the gap was 17%, so Okazaki City has been falling behind the rest of Aichi.

Station distance barely matters

Houses 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.

A family market

89% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 16% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥12.0M and ¥27.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 1.8% between 2020 and 2025 (−1.2% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 2.6 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand. Households still grew 2.7% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

10.3% of homes were empty in 2023 (11.8% for the wider area), and 4.1% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 24.8 years of the area's median rent (¥54k a month), compared with 30 years for the wider area. That is a middle-of-the-road ratio for Japan. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 55% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (56% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +1% in the year to January 2026 and +11% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Significant flood risk

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 47% are inside the worst-case flood zone (33% with expected depths of 3 m or more). Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Okazaki City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
377,608
-1.8% since 2020
Aichi: -1.2%
Net moves in 2025
-984
-2.61 per 1,000 residents
Aichi: -0.29
Vacant homes (2023)
10.3%
4.1% empty and not for rent or sale
Aichi: 11.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥54k
per month, all rented homes
Aichi: ¥55k
Strong earthquake risk
55.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Aichi: 56.0%
Official land price 2026
¥116k/m²
+1.4% in a year · +10.9% in 5 years
Aichi: ¥109k/m²
Flood exposure
46.6%
of 103 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (33.0% 3 m or deeper)
Aichi: 40.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 103 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Aichi: 0.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Okazaki City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥12.0M

¥171k/m²

  • Daiwacho
  • Nishi Okazaki · 11 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1993 (33 yrs) · SRC
Typical2025 Q4

¥17.0M

¥213k/m²

  • Hatchokitamachi
  • Higashi Okazaki · 24 min walk
  • 3LDK · 80 m²
  • Built 1987 (38 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥29.0M

¥446k/m²

  • Koseidorinishi
  • Higashi Okazaki · 12 min walk
  • 2LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 2017 (9 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥27.0M

¥600k/m²

  • Harisaki
  • Okazaki · 16 min walk
  • Land 165 m² · floor 45 m²
  • Built 1967 (59 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥38.0M

¥362k/m²

  • Yahagicho
  • Yahagibashi · 5 min walk
  • Land 135 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 2025 (1 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥52.0M

¥433k/m²

  • Miaicho
  • Miai · 6 min walk
  • Land 190 m² · floor 120 m²
  • Built 2025 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007¥12.0M¥36.0M
2008¥13.0M¥36.0M
2009¥13.0M¥33.0M
2010¥13.0M¥32.0M
2011¥13.5M¥32.0M
2012¥12.0M¥35.0M
2013¥11.0M¥33.0M
2014¥12.0M¥33.0M
2015¥13.0M¥33.0M
2016¥13.0M¥33.0M
2017¥14.0M¥35.0M
2018¥13.0M¥35.0M
2019¥16.0M¥36.0M
2020¥18.0M¥35.0M
2021¥15.0M¥37.0M
2022¥17.0M¥36.0M
2023¥18.0M¥36.0M
2024¥18.0M¥37.0M
2025¥16.0M¥37.0M
2026 (partial)–¥37.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses carry a premium — A m² of house floor costs about 35% more than a condo here, which usually means land is scarce and houses are a premium product. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007¥157k/m²¥305k/m²¥93k/m²
2008¥180k/m²¥308k/m²¥87k/m²
2009¥185k/m²¥268k/m²¥93k/m²
2010¥180k/m²¥270k/m²¥95k/m²
2011¥185k/m²¥270k/m²¥95k/m²
2012¥169k/m²¥286k/m²¥97k/m²
2013¥163k/m²¥281k/m²¥100k/m²
2014¥175k/m²¥290k/m²¥99k/m²
2015¥171k/m²¥281k/m²¥100k/m²
2016¥186k/m²¥282k/m²¥100k/m²
2017¥187k/m²¥286k/m²¥95k/m²
2018¥186k/m²¥310k/m²¥110k/m²
2019¥218k/m²¥324k/m²¥110k/m²
2020¥240k/m²¥318k/m²¥110k/m²
2021¥213k/m²¥330k/m²¥110k/m²
2022¥213k/m²¥314k/m²¥110k/m²
2023¥224k/m²¥330k/m²¥110k/m²
2024¥241k/m²¥318k/m²¥120k/m²
2025¥233k/m²¥322k/m²¥110k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥325k/m²¥120k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)Houses bottom out at around 30 years — House prices per m² drop about 54% from new by age 30, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥381k/m²
1–¥355k/m²
2–¥392k/m²
6¥381k/m²¥295k/m²
7–¥323k/m²
8–¥322k/m²
10–¥279k/m²
11–¥245k/m²
13¥371k/m²–
15–¥270k/m²
16–¥257k/m²
17–¥220k/m²
18¥257k/m²¥239k/m²
19–¥218k/m²
20¥297k/m²¥236k/m²
21–¥257k/m²
22–¥235k/m²
23¥247k/m²¥204k/m²
24–¥143k/m²
25¥215k/m²¥160k/m²
26–¥215k/m²
27¥169k/m²¥186k/m²
28¥193k/m²¥177k/m²
29¥185k/m²¥171k/m²
30¥169k/m²¥190k/m²
31¥163k/m²¥198k/m²
32¥171k/m²¥167k/m²
33¥165k/m²¥124k/m²
34¥186k/m²¥179k/m²
35–¥108k/m²
36–¥115k/m²
37–¥141k/m²
41–¥178k/m²
42–¥123k/m²
43–¥201k/m²
44–¥133k/m²
45–¥168k/m²
46–¥238k/m²
49–¥133k/m²
50–¥109k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥157k/m²––
2008¥160k/m²––
2009¥157k/m²¥260k/m²–
2010¥153k/m²¥245k/m²–
2011¥145k/m²––
2012¥134k/m²––
2013¥134k/m²¥243k/m²–
2014¥150k/m²¥253k/m²–
2015¥136k/m²¥244k/m²–
2016¥147k/m²¥250k/m²–
2017¥153k/m²––
2018¥156k/m²––
2019¥171k/m²––
2020¥188k/m²¥250k/m²¥362k/m²
2021¥169k/m²––
2022¥171k/m²––
2023¥194k/m²––
2024¥185k/m²––
2025¥175k/m²––
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥209k/m²¥333k/m²–
2008¥210k/m²¥200k/m²¥330k/m²–
2009¥108k/m²¥180k/m²¥318k/m²–
2010¥173k/m²¥192k/m²¥307k/m²¥351k/m²
2011¥155k/m²¥170k/m²¥286k/m²¥317k/m²
2012¥150k/m²¥176k/m²–¥338k/m²
2013–¥169k/m²–¥324k/m²
2014¥126k/m²¥181k/m²¥276k/m²¥330k/m²
2015¥139k/m²¥152k/m²–¥321k/m²
2016–¥157k/m²–¥327k/m²
2017¥138k/m²¥168k/m²–¥330k/m²
2018–¥167k/m²–¥338k/m²
2019–¥192k/m²–¥360k/m²
2020–¥172k/m²¥235k/m²¥343k/m²
2021¥201k/m²¥160k/m²¥227k/m²¥349k/m²
2022¥136k/m²¥173k/m²¥221k/m²¥276k/m²
2023–¥166k/m²–¥307k/m²
2024¥150k/m²¥167k/m²¥230k/m²–
2025–¥188k/m²¥270k/m²¥322k/m²

Prices near train stations in Okazaki City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Higashi Okazaki (東岡崎)¥18.0M¥236k/m²¥35.0M19445
Okazaki (岡崎)¥17.0M¥240k/m²¥40.0M20312
Miai (美合)––¥42.0M1688
Yahagibashi (矢作橋)––¥37.0M1177
Uto(Aichi) (宇頭)––¥36.0M1847
Nishi Okazaki (西岡崎)––¥43.0M828
Motojuku(Aichi) (本宿(愛知))––¥23.0M1019

Used condo prices by layout in Okazaki City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥18.0M70 m²130
4LDK¥15.0M85 m²37
2LDK¥17.0M65 m²18

How much does an apartment cost in Okazaki City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Okazaki City sold for ¥16.0M in 2025, about ¥233k/m², based on 75 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Okazaki City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥37.0M in 2025 across 291 sales.

Are property prices in Okazaki City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed -2.8% and residential land prices changed 0.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.