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Shinjuku Ward Housing Market 2025: Studios, Students and a Big House-Price Jump

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥43.0M
¥1.4M/m² · +7.7% vs 2024
Median house price (land + building)
¥180M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥1.3M/m²
+42.9% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
1,158
#6 of 50 areas in Tokyo by price per m²

The busiest ward for sales

Shinjuku had about 1,150 recorded sales in 2025, more than any of the central wards. More than half of condo sales are studios and 1K units; the 20 m² 1K at about ¥26M is the most traded home in the ward. Condos cost about ¥1.4M per m², about 1.3 times the Tokyo average, the sixth highest of the 23 wards.

House prices jumped in 2025

The median house sold for about ¥180M in 2025, against ¥130M in 2024. This is mainly a change in what sold, not every house becoming 40% more valuable: per m², houses rose about 10%. Condo prices have risen about 5% a year for a decade, without speeding up.

A strange population picture

Shinjuku grew 3.5% between 2020 and 2025, and households grew 6.7%. Yet in 2025 it had the biggest net outflow to the rest of Japan of any ward, about 10 people per 1,000. The growth most likely comes from abroad, from students and workers who rent the ward's many small flats.

Station distance has a big premium

Condos within 5 minutes of a station sell for about 18% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. Kagurazaka and Shinjuku-Gyoemmae are the priciest of the busiest stations; Shimo-Ochiai and Ochiai-Minami-Nagasaki are the cheapest.

Rents and risks

A median condo costs about 38 years of median rent, close to the Tokyo average. Shinjuku is mostly on high ground: fewer than one in five benchmark sites is in a flood zone, one of the lowest shares among the wards. The Shinjuku Station area is an Urgent Urban Renewal Area, and its major rebuilding is under way.

Living in Shinjuku Ward: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
361,634
+3.5% since 2020
Tokyo: +1.4%
Net moves in 2025
-3,776
-10.44 per 1,000 residents
Tokyo: +4.58
Vacant homes (2023)
11.2%
0.5% empty and not for rent or sale
Tokyo: 10.9%
Median rent (2023)
¥93k
per month, all rented homes
Tokyo: ¥78k
Strong earthquake risk
49.5%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Tokyo: 52.8%
Official land price 2026
¥1.1M/m²
+10.4% in a year · +40.0% in 5 years
Tokyo: ¥407k/m²
Flood exposure
18.2%
of 77 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Tokyo: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 77 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Tokyo: 0.8%

Urban renewal zones

Areas designated by the national government for priority redevelopment, with relaxed planning rules and financial support for large projects.

  • Shinjuku Station area · 221 ha · designated 2002 · Specified zone (highest priority)

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Shinjuku Ward

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥26.0M

¥1.3M/m²

  • Kitashinjuku
  • Okubo(Tokyo) · 10 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 1986 (40 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥43.0M

¥2.1M/m²

  • Kitashinjuku
  • Higashi Nakano · 3 min walk
  • 1K · 20 m²
  • Built 2020 (6 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥84.0M

¥1.9M/m²

  • Kagurazaka
  • Iidabashi · 1 min walk
  • 2DK · 45 m²
  • Built 2001 (25 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥90.0M

¥857k/m²

  • Nakai
  • Nakai · 4 min walk
  • Land 75 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q1

¥220M

¥1.2M/m²

  • Yaraicho
  • Kagurazaka · 4 min walk
  • Land 175 m² · floor 180 m²
  • Built 1984 (42 yrs) · Light steel
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥560M

¥1.0M/m²

  • Nakaochiai
  • Nakai · 5 min walk
  • Land 240 m² · floor 540 m²
  • Built 2020 (6 yrs) · RC
Median transaction price by yearA jump driven by what sold — The median house price rose 57% between 2023 and 2025. Per m², prices rose only 17%, so most of the jump comes from larger or higher-end properties changing hands, not from the same homes getting that much more expensive.A sharp recent rise — The median condo price rose 26% between 2023 and 2025. Prices per m² rose 17%, so most of it is a real increase, with the rest coming from larger homes selling.2026 so far: treat with caution — The 2026 figure (shaded) is 122% above 2025, but it covers only part of the year and 43 house sales so far. Early-year numbers are often revised and are easily skewed by a few large deals.
¥0¥100M¥200M¥300M¥400M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥23.0M¥85.0M
2006¥21.0M¥76.0M
2007¥23.0M¥120M
2008¥22.5M¥77.0M
2009¥20.0M¥63.0M
2010¥23.0M¥64.0M
2011¥20.0M¥67.0M
2012¥21.0M¥70.0M
2013¥22.0M¥64.0M
2014¥23.0M¥72.0M
2015¥23.0M¥83.0M
2016¥24.0M¥85.0M
2017¥26.0M¥110M
2018¥28.0M¥95.0M
2019¥28.0M¥93.0M
2020¥31.0M¥85.5M
2021¥32.0M¥88.0M
2022¥33.0M¥120M
2023¥34.0M¥115M
2024¥39.0M¥130M
2025¥43.0M¥180M
2026 (partial)¥43.0M¥400M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 24% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥655k/m²¥521k/m²¥720k/m²
2006¥662k/m²¥556k/m²¥700k/m²
2007¥730k/m²¥654k/m²¥740k/m²
2008¥750k/m²¥622k/m²¥730k/m²
2009¥675k/m²¥508k/m²¥580k/m²
2010¥743k/m²¥533k/m²¥620k/m²
2011¥733k/m²¥552k/m²¥610k/m²
2012¥700k/m²¥548k/m²¥610k/m²
2013¥708k/m²¥553k/m²¥620k/m²
2014¥800k/m²¥571k/m²¥630k/m²
2015¥882k/m²¥630k/m²¥690k/m²
2016¥909k/m²¥659k/m²¥760k/m²
2017¥950k/m²¥674k/m²¥830k/m²
2018¥1.0M/m²¥747k/m²¥850k/m²
2019¥1.1M/m²¥725k/m²¥760k/m²
2020¥1.1M/m²¥772k/m²¥910k/m²
2021¥1.1M/m²¥834k/m²¥995k/m²
2022¥1.2M/m²¥800k/m²¥970k/m²
2023¥1.2M/m²¥911k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2024¥1.3M/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.1M/m²
2025¥1.4M/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.3M/m²
2026 (partial)¥1.5M/m²¥1.4M/m²–
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 26 years old and half by around 50. Prices keep falling by roughly 1.8% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.Houses bottom out at around 18 years — House prices per m² drop about 25% from new by age 18, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M¥2.0M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥1.6M/m²¥1.1M/m²
1¥2.0M/m²¥1.3M/m²
2¥1.7M/m²¥1.1M/m²
3¥1.5M/m²–
4¥1.5M/m²¥1.1M/m²
5¥1.5M/m²–
6¥1.5M/m²¥1.1M/m²
7¥1.5M/m²¥913k/m²
8¥1.4M/m²¥954k/m²
9¥1.4M/m²¥878k/m²
10¥1.4M/m²–
11¥1.4M/m²–
12¥1.4M/m²¥959k/m²
13¥1.3M/m²¥955k/m²
14¥1.3M/m²¥1.1M/m²
15¥1.3M/m²–
16¥1.3M/m²–
17¥1.3M/m²–
18¥1.3M/m²¥838k/m²
19¥1.3M/m²¥835k/m²
20¥1.3M/m²–
21¥1.2M/m²–
22¥1.2M/m²–
23¥1.2M/m²¥824k/m²
24¥1.2M/m²–
25¥1.2M/m²–
26¥1.1M/m²–
27¥1.1M/m²¥849k/m²
28¥1.1M/m²¥848k/m²
29¥1.0M/m²–
30¥1.2M/m²¥1.1M/m²
31¥1.1M/m²¥786k/m²
32¥1.0M/m²¥746k/m²
33¥850k/m²¥626k/m²
34¥929k/m²¥800k/m²
35¥933k/m²¥840k/m²
36¥867k/m²¥750k/m²
37¥850k/m²–
38¥876k/m²–
39¥933k/m²¥694k/m²
40¥950k/m²¥500k/m²
41¥914k/m²¥934k/m²
42¥800k/m²¥643k/m²
43¥867k/m²¥643k/m²
44¥878k/m²¥692k/m²
45¥852k/m²¥786k/m²
46¥950k/m²¥788k/m²
47¥920k/m²¥690k/m²
48¥775k/m²–
49¥620k/m²¥728k/m²
50¥750k/m²¥776k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodOlder buildings are keeping up — Older pre-1981 buildings have actually risen faster (5.3% a year) than 2000s buildings (3.5%), usually a sign that land value is driving prices. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 20% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M¥2.0M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥415k/m²¥565k/m²¥1.0M/m²–
2006¥467k/m²¥600k/m²¥920k/m²–
2007¥507k/m²¥667k/m²¥1.0M/m²–
2008¥545k/m²¥700k/m²¥963k/m²–
2009¥463k/m²¥615k/m²¥900k/m²–
2010¥487k/m²¥625k/m²¥954k/m²–
2011¥478k/m²¥600k/m²¥854k/m²–
2012¥440k/m²¥587k/m²¥850k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2013¥467k/m²¥640k/m²¥867k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2014¥530k/m²¥650k/m²¥900k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2015¥540k/m²¥716k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2016¥600k/m²¥800k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2017¥650k/m²¥833k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2018¥690k/m²¥800k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2019¥691k/m²¥840k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.2M/m²
2020¥733k/m²¥937k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.3M/m²
2021¥700k/m²¥933k/m²¥1.2M/m²¥1.3M/m²
2022¥781k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.2M/m²¥1.4M/m²
2023¥862k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥1.3M/m²¥1.4M/m²
2024¥862k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.3M/m²¥1.6M/m²
2025¥933k/m²¥1.2M/m²¥1.4M/m²¥1.6M/m²
2026 (partial)–¥1.2M/m²¥1.5M/m²¥1.9M/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005¥460k/m²¥480k/m²¥653k/m²–
2006¥347k/m²¥516k/m²¥703k/m²–
2007–¥574k/m²¥773k/m²–
2008–¥545k/m²¥670k/m²–
2009¥394k/m²¥421k/m²¥646k/m²–
2010¥356k/m²¥461k/m²¥608k/m²–
2011¥369k/m²¥479k/m²¥627k/m²¥688k/m²
2012¥484k/m²¥441k/m²–¥674k/m²
2013¥462k/m²¥494k/m²–¥631k/m²
2014¥370k/m²¥485k/m²¥651k/m²¥691k/m²
2015¥533k/m²¥511k/m²–¥730k/m²
2016¥500k/m²¥595k/m²–¥815k/m²
2017¥485k/m²¥612k/m²¥741k/m²¥909k/m²
2018¥674k/m²¥624k/m²–¥937k/m²
2019¥541k/m²¥667k/m²–¥879k/m²
2020¥586k/m²¥660k/m²–¥900k/m²
2021¥622k/m²¥694k/m²¥847k/m²¥893k/m²
2022¥651k/m²¥702k/m²¥800k/m²–
2023¥737k/m²¥700k/m²–¥1.1M/m²
2024¥788k/m²¥1.0M/m²¥775k/m²–
2025¥842k/m²¥1.0M/m²–¥1.1M/m²

Prices near train stations in Shinjuku Ward

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Waseda(TokyoMetro) (早稲田(メトロ))¥33.0M¥1.3M/m²¥165M6192
Shinjuku Gyoemmae (新宿御苑前)¥48.0M¥1.4M/m²–6185
Okubo(Tokyo) (大久保(東京))¥33.5M¥1.2M/m²¥150M5179
Higashi Shinjuku (東新宿)¥35.0M¥1.3M/m²¥96.0M4170
Takadanobaba (高田馬場)¥34.0M¥1.2M/m²¥140M7162
Shimo Ochiai(Tokyo) (下落合(東京))¥34.5M¥1.1M/m²¥115M4152
Ushigome Yanagicho (牛込柳町)¥43.0M¥1.4M/m²¥89.0M4146
Nishi Shinjuku Gochome (西新宿五丁目)¥36.0M¥1.4M/m²–4139
Kagurazaka (神楽坂)¥59.0M¥1.5M/m²¥240M5138
Ochiai Minami Nagasaki (落合南長崎)¥27.0M¥1.1M/m²¥89.0M6130
Edogawabashi (江戸川橋)¥42.0M¥1.4M/m²¥315M4127
Akebonobashi (曙橋)¥44.0M¥1.3M/m²¥190M4127
Yotsuya Sanchome (四谷三丁目)¥70.0M¥1.8M/m²¥190M4126
Wakamatsu Kawada (若松河田)¥40.5M¥1.4M/m²¥120M4119
Nishi Shinjuku (西新宿)¥44.0M¥1.4M/m²–6101

Used condo prices by layout in Shinjuku Ward

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥26.0M20 m²1041
2LDK¥84.0M55 m²380
1LDK¥52.5M40 m²338
3LDK¥100M70 m²273
1DK¥41.0M30 m²151
2DK¥35.0M40 m²69
1R¥15.0M15 m²53
Open floor¥33.5M32.5 m²28

How much does an apartment cost in Shinjuku Ward?

The median used condo (mansion) in Shinjuku Ward sold for ¥43.0M in 2025, about ¥1.4M/m², based on 873 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Shinjuku Ward?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥180M in 2025 across 199 sales.

Are property prices in Shinjuku Ward going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +27.3% and residential land prices changed +42.9%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.