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Kita Ward Housing Market 2025: Affordable, Popular, and Partly on the Floodplain

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥36.0M
¥1.0M/m² · +13.0% vs 2024
Median house price (land + building)
¥64.0M
+4.8% vs 2024
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥650k/m²
+20.4% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
843
#17 of 50 areas in Tokyo by price per m²

People are moving in

Kita, around Akabane and Oji, is one of the most popular wards for movers: in 2025 it had a net inflow from the rest of Japan of about 8.7 per 1,000 residents, third among the 23 wards. Population grew 3.7% between 2020 and 2025.

Below the Tokyo average

Condos cost about ¥1.0M per m², about 0.9 times the Tokyo average and 16th among the wards. The median condo sold for about ¥36M. Prices per m² rose about 5.4% a year over the past five years, a little slower than before. Benchmark residential land rose 11% in the past year.

Family homes are common

The most traded home is a 25 m² 1K at about ¥25M, but 3LDKs at about ¥57M come second, and a quarter of condo sales are family-sized. Akabane, Oji and Higashi-Jujo are the busiest stations; Kita-Akabane is the cheapest.

Station distance matters a lot

Condos within 5 minutes of a station sell for about 24% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away, one of the biggest gaps in the wards.

Flood risk in the east

About two-thirds of Kita's benchmark sites are in the worst-case flood zone, and more than a third are in zones of 3 m or deeper. They are in the lowlands along the Arakawa river, such as around Akabane-Iwabuchi and Shimo; the hills near Oji and Tabata are higher. Earthquake probability (about 63%) is above the ward average. A median condo costs about 39 years of median rent, the Tokyo average.

Living in Kita Ward: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
368,290
+3.7% since 2020
Tokyo: +1.4%
Net moves in 2025
+3,199
+8.69 per 1,000 residents
Tokyo: +4.58
Vacant homes (2023)
11.9%
2.0% empty and not for rent or sale
Tokyo: 10.9%
Median rent (2023)
¥77k
per month, all rented homes
Tokyo: ¥78k
Strong earthquake risk
63.2%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Tokyo: 52.8%
Official land price 2026
¥632k/m²
+11.3% in a year · +37.5% in 5 years
Tokyo: ¥407k/m²
Flood exposure
66.7%
of 54 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (37.0% 3 m or deeper)
Tokyo: 42.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 54 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Tokyo: 0.8%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Kita Ward

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥26.0M

¥1.0M/m²

  • Kishimachi
  • Oji(Tokyo) · 3 min walk
  • 1K · 25 m²
  • Built 2010 (16 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q1

¥36.0M

¥1.4M/m²

  • Akabane
  • Akabane · 6 min walk
  • 1DK · 25 m²
  • Built 2021 (5 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥68.0M

¥1.4M/m²

  • Higashitabata
  • Tabata(Tokyo) · 3 min walk
  • 2LDK · 50 m²
  • Built 2019 (7 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥40.0M

¥471k/m²

  • Sakaecho
  • Kajiwara · 3 min walk
  • Land 45 m² · floor 85 m²
  • Built 1993 (33 yrs) · Steel
Typical2026 Q1

¥62.0M

¥729k/m²

  • Akabanekita
  • Kita Akabane · 9 min walk
  • Land 65 m² · floor 85 m²
  • Built 2025 (1 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥130M

¥867k/m²

  • Tabata
  • Tabata(Tokyo) · 6 min walk
  • Land 260 m² · floor 150 m²
  • Built 1999 (26 yrs)
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M¥80.0M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2005¥12.0M¥45.0M
2006¥22.0M¥42.0M
2007¥24.0M¥49.0M
2008¥25.0M¥44.0M
2009¥24.0M¥42.0M
2010¥24.0M¥40.0M
2011¥23.5M¥40.0M
2012¥26.0M¥41.0M
2013¥23.0M¥38.0M
2014¥25.0M¥41.0M
2015¥27.0M¥43.0M
2016¥27.0M¥47.0M
2017¥27.0M¥50.0M
2018¥28.0M¥50.0M
2019¥29.0M¥51.0M
2020¥28.0M¥52.0M
2021¥29.5M¥52.0M
2022¥28.0M¥60.0M
2023¥31.0M¥63.0M
2024¥32.0M¥61.0M
2025¥36.0M¥64.0M
2026 (partial)¥35.5M¥67.5M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 32% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2005¥457k/m²¥415k/m²¥375k/m²
2006¥624k/m²¥421k/m²¥360k/m²
2007¥840k/m²¥442k/m²¥450k/m²
2008¥583k/m²¥445k/m²¥405k/m²
2009¥492k/m²¥460k/m²¥340k/m²
2010¥533k/m²¥429k/m²¥360k/m²
2011¥531k/m²¥400k/m²¥380k/m²
2012¥500k/m²¥427k/m²¥340k/m²
2013¥517k/m²¥422k/m²¥370k/m²
2014¥538k/m²¥413k/m²¥390k/m²
2015¥571k/m²¥461k/m²¥400k/m²
2016¥662k/m²¥506k/m²¥420k/m²
2017¥720k/m²¥540k/m²¥480k/m²
2018¥760k/m²¥500k/m²¥480k/m²
2019¥754k/m²¥501k/m²¥550k/m²
2020¥750k/m²¥552k/m²¥540k/m²
2021¥835k/m²¥560k/m²¥550k/m²
2022¥886k/m²¥629k/m²¥575k/m²
2023¥923k/m²¥667k/m²¥600k/m²
2024¥920k/m²¥649k/m²¥650k/m²
2025¥1.0M/m²¥680k/m²¥650k/m²
2026 (partial)¥1.1M/m²¥713k/m²¥660k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 20 years old. Prices keep falling by roughly 1.6% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.Houses bottom out at around 29 years — House prices per m² drop about 33% from new by age 29, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0¥1.2M/m²¥719k/m²
1¥1.2M/m²¥691k/m²
2¥1.2M/m²¥803k/m²
3¥1.1M/m²¥751k/m²
4¥1.1M/m²¥675k/m²
5¥1.1M/m²–
6¥1.1M/m²¥629k/m²
7¥1.0M/m²¥697k/m²
8¥1.0M/m²–
9¥992k/m²–
10¥1.0M/m²–
11¥1.0M/m²–
12¥1.0M/m²–
13¥933k/m²–
14¥920k/m²–
15¥928k/m²–
16¥954k/m²–
17¥920k/m²¥635k/m²
18¥886k/m²¥623k/m²
19¥875k/m²–
20¥793k/m²–
21¥780k/m²–
22¥750k/m²–
23¥733k/m²–
24¥838k/m²–
25¥777k/m²–
26¥727k/m²–
27¥808k/m²¥482k/m²
28¥800k/m²–
29¥723k/m²¥517k/m²
30¥800k/m²–
31¥742k/m²¥411k/m²
32¥800k/m²¥452k/m²
33¥727k/m²¥564k/m²
34¥620k/m²¥497k/m²
35¥633k/m²–
36¥656k/m²¥421k/m²
37¥600k/m²¥343k/m²
38¥612k/m²–
39¥695k/m²¥475k/m²
40¥523k/m²–
41¥623k/m²–
42¥554k/m²¥402k/m²
43¥554k/m²¥349k/m²
44¥633k/m²–
46¥581k/m²–
47¥500k/m²¥277k/m²
48¥470k/m²¥500k/m²
49¥667k/m²¥407k/m²
50¥545k/m²¥379k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥500k¥1.0M¥1.5M20052008201120142017202020232026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005–¥455k/m²––
2006–¥455k/m²¥950k/m²–
2007–¥471k/m²¥1.0M/m²–
2008¥391k/m²¥473k/m²¥960k/m²–
2009–¥441k/m²¥867k/m²–
2010–¥450k/m²¥750k/m²–
2011–¥480k/m²¥592k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2012–¥431k/m²¥550k/m²¥760k/m²
2013¥342k/m²¥425k/m²¥582k/m²¥920k/m²
2014–¥462k/m²¥629k/m²¥920k/m²
2015¥400k/m²¥509k/m²¥633k/m²¥957k/m²
2016¥500k/m²¥539k/m²¥771k/m²¥923k/m²
2017–¥569k/m²¥800k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2018–¥615k/m²¥800k/m²¥920k/m²
2019–¥562k/m²¥840k/m²¥940k/m²
2020¥500k/m²¥593k/m²¥836k/m²¥945k/m²
2021¥521k/m²¥622k/m²¥869k/m²¥969k/m²
2022¥471k/m²¥680k/m²¥882k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2023¥533k/m²¥733k/m²¥900k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2024¥611k/m²¥733k/m²¥920k/m²¥1.0M/m²
2025¥618k/m²¥800k/m²¥993k/m²¥1.1M/m²
2026 (partial)–¥759k/m²¥1.1M/m²¥1.2M/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k20052007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2005–¥333k/m²¥500k/m²–
2006¥277k/m²¥357k/m²¥513k/m²–
2007¥284k/m²¥362k/m²¥522k/m²–
2008–¥360k/m²¥554k/m²–
2009–¥322k/m²¥510k/m²–
2010¥327k/m²¥338k/m²¥509k/m²–
2011¥287k/m²¥266k/m²–¥488k/m²
2012–¥280k/m²–¥471k/m²
2013¥261k/m²¥275k/m²–¥474k/m²
2014¥292k/m²¥313k/m²–¥500k/m²
2015¥246k/m²¥343k/m²–¥523k/m²
2016–¥331k/m²¥492k/m²¥567k/m²
2017¥359k/m²¥417k/m²–¥585k/m²
2018¥306k/m²¥396k/m²–¥657k/m²
2019–¥411k/m²–¥622k/m²
2020–¥385k/m²–¥617k/m²
2021¥289k/m²¥476k/m²–¥591k/m²
2022¥375k/m²¥452k/m²––
2023–¥476k/m²––
2024¥385k/m²¥422k/m²–¥707k/m²
2025¥447k/m²¥493k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Kita Ward

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Oji(Tokyo) (王子)¥32.0M¥980k/m²¥69.5M8280
Akabane (赤羽)¥33.0M¥960k/m²¥70.0M6208
Higashi Jujo (東十条)¥27.0M¥1.0M/m²¥64.0M6191
Oji Kamiya (王子神谷)¥43.0M¥929k/m²¥54.0M6190
Kita Akabane (北赤羽)¥45.0M¥829k/m²¥52.0M5161
Nishi Sugamo (西巣鴨)¥27.0M¥960k/m²¥57.5M6131
Tabata(Tokyo) (田端)¥30.0M¥1.1M/m²¥86.0M8130
Akabane Iwabuchi (赤羽岩淵)¥35.0M¥1.0M/m²¥54.0M398
Shimo (志茂)¥30.0M¥920k/m²¥65.0M698
Jujo(Tokyo) (十条(東京))¥38.0M¥1.1M/m²¥62.0M989
Komagome (駒込)¥35.0M¥1.1M/m²¥120M682
Itabashi (板橋)¥28.0M¥1.0M/m²¥50.0M573
Ukimafunado (浮間舟渡)¥35.0M¥672k/m²–1052
Kami Nakazato (上中里)––¥62.0M647
Nishigahara (西ケ原)¥60.0M¥969k/m²¥53.5M541

Used condo prices by layout in Kita Ward

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1K¥25.0M25 m²499
3LDK¥57.0M65 m²296
2LDK¥47.0M50 m²230
1LDK¥39.0M40 m²99
1DK¥30.5M30 m²52
2DK¥33.0M45 m²43
4LDK¥61.0M80 m²24
1R¥13.0M15 m²21

How much does an apartment cost in Kita Ward?

The median used condo (mansion) in Kita Ward sold for ¥36.0M in 2025, about ¥1.0M/m², based on 459 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Kita Ward?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥64.0M in 2025 across 237 sales.

Are property prices in Kita Ward going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +38.7% and residential land prices changed +20.4%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.