Ueda City Housing Market Report 2025
Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2
Key figures for 2025
- Median house price (land + building)
- ¥11.0M
- Residential land per m² (sales)
- ¥20k/m²
- 0.0% over 5 years
- Transactions in 2025
- 330
- #16 of 24 areas in Nagano by price per m²
What the data says
The trend has turned down
After rising earlier, house prices per m² have slipped by about 5.6% a year over the last five years. That often reflects weaker local demand, so check vacancy and population trends before buying.
Lagging Nagano
Per m², houses here are 32% below the Nagano average. Ten years ago the gap was 2%, so Ueda City has been falling behind the rest of Nagano.
Station distance barely matters
Houses 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.
Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 9% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all house sales last year were between ¥5.1M and ¥23.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 6.3% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.5% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.
Many abandoned homes
16% of homes were empty in 2023 (20.1% for the wider area), and 8.1% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow. About 3.1% of homes are second homes, which points to a resort or holiday-home market.
Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 5% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (20% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.
Official land prices are edging up
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +0% in the year to January 2026 and +0% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Some flood or landslide exposure
Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 60% are inside the worst-case flood zone (7% with expected depths of 3 m or more), 7% are in a landslide warning area. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.
Living in Ueda City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 144,350
- -6.3% since 2020
- Nagano: -4.5%
- Net moves in 2025
- -153
- -1.06 per 1,000 residents
- Nagano: -0.72
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 16.0%
- 8.1% empty and not for rent or sale
- Nagano: 20.1%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥47k
- per month, all rented homes
- Nagano: ¥49k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 4.7%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Nagano: 19.8%
- Official land price 2026
- ¥40k/m²
- +0.4% in a year · +0.2% in 5 years
- Nagano: ¥30k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 60.0%
- of 15 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (6.7% 3 m or deeper)
- Nagano: 55.7%
- Landslide exposure
- 6.7%
- of 15 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Nagano: 7.5%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Ueda City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
Condo
¥6.0M
¥120k/m²
- Tokiiri
- Ueda(Nagano)
- 3LDK · 50 m²
- Built 1991 (35 yrs) · SRC
¥15.0M
¥300k/m²
- Tokiiri
- Ueda(Nagano)
- 2LDK · 50 m²
- Built 1991 (35 yrs) · SRC
¥26.0M
¥347k/m²
- Tenjin
- Ueda(Nagano) · 9 min walk
- 3LDK · 75 m²
- Built 2003 (23 yrs) · RC
House
¥4.3M
¥34k/m²
- Yagisawa
- Yagisawa · 8 min walk
- Land 290 m² · floor 125 m²
- Built 1993 (32 yrs) · Wood
¥15.0M
¥36k/m²
- Nakanojo
- Miyoshicho · 11 min walk
- Land 670 m² · floor 420 m²
- Built 1991 (34 yrs) · Wood
¥29.0M
¥322k/m²
- Komaki
- Shinano Kokubunji · 23 min walk
- Land 420 m² · floor 90 m²
- Built 2019 (7 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥13.0M |
| 2008 | ¥12.0M |
| 2009 | ¥10.0M |
| 2010 | ¥13.5M |
| 2011 | ¥16.0M |
| 2012 | ¥14.0M |
| 2013 | ¥14.0M |
| 2014 | ¥11.0M |
| 2015 | ¥14.0M |
| 2016 | ¥14.0M |
| 2017 | ¥13.0M |
| 2018 | ¥15.0M |
| 2019 | ¥13.0M |
| 2020 | ¥16.5M |
| 2021 | ¥14.0M |
| 2022 | ¥13.0M |
| 2023 | ¥13.0M |
| 2024 | ¥13.0M |
| 2025 | ¥11.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥18.0M |
Show data table
| Year | House | Land |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥107k/m² | ¥24k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥83k/m² | ¥25k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥94k/m² | ¥23k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥104k/m² | ¥29k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥106k/m² | ¥25k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥95k/m² | ¥22k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥100k/m² | ¥21k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥100k/m² | ¥21k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥94k/m² | ¥19k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥103k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥102k/m² | ¥22k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥113k/m² | ¥17k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥102k/m² | ¥22k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥115k/m² | ¥20k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥100k/m² | ¥15k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥94k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥90k/m² | ¥18k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥82k/m² | ¥20k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥81k/m² | ¥20k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | ¥93k/m² | ¥28k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | House |
|---|---|
| 0 | ¥255k/m² |
| 1 | ¥257k/m² |
| 28 | ¥81k/m² |
| 29 | ¥78k/m² |
| 30 | ¥100k/m² |
| 31 | ¥76k/m² |
| 32 | ¥89k/m² |
| 33 | ¥53k/m² |
| 34 | ¥50k/m² |
| 35 | ¥60k/m² |
| 36 | ¥47k/m² |
| 37 | ¥102k/m² |
| 38 | ¥84k/m² |
| 39 | ¥36k/m² |
| 40 | ¥70k/m² |
| 41 | ¥48k/m² |
| 42 | ¥58k/m² |
| 43 | ¥41k/m² |
| 44 | ¥51k/m² |
| 45 | ¥67k/m² |
| 46 | ¥52k/m² |
| 48 | ¥42k/m² |
| 49 | ¥26k/m² |
| 50 | ¥40k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1971-1980 | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥100k/m² | ¥85k/m² | – | – |
| 2008 | ¥46k/m² | ¥91k/m² | ¥278k/m² | – |
| 2009 | ¥53k/m² | ¥100k/m² | – | – |
| 2010 | – | ¥96k/m² | ¥258k/m² | – |
| 2011 | – | ¥95k/m² | – | ¥250k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥73k/m² | ¥88k/m² | – | ¥282k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥63k/m² | ¥86k/m² | – | ¥257k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥67k/m² | ¥106k/m² | – | – |
| 2015 | ¥42k/m² | ¥70k/m² | – | – |
| 2016 | ¥64k/m² | ¥79k/m² | – | ¥245k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥47k/m² | ¥92k/m² | – | ¥258k/m² |
| 2018 | – | ¥68k/m² | – | ¥248k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥43k/m² | ¥84k/m² | – | ¥271k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥44k/m² | ¥81k/m² | – | ¥249k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥36k/m² | ¥75k/m² | – | – |
| 2022 | ¥39k/m² | ¥78k/m² | – | – |
| 2023 | ¥45k/m² | ¥89k/m² | – | – |
| 2024 | ¥48k/m² | ¥61k/m² | – | – |
| 2025 | ¥55k/m² | ¥68k/m² | – | – |
Prices near train stations in Ueda City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ueda(Nagano) (上田) | ¥24.0M | ¥343k/m² | ¥16.0M | 16 | 181 |
| Ooya(Nagano) (大屋) | – | – | ¥6.2M | 18 | 77 |
| Shinano Kokubunji (信濃国分寺) | – | – | ¥24.5M | 18 | 51 |
| Uedahara (上田原) | – | – | ¥12.0M | 15 | 48 |
| Shiroshita(Nagano) (城下(長野)) | – | – | ¥16.0M | 10 | 21 |
| Akasakaue (赤坂上) | – | – | ¥14.0M | 14 | 21 |
| Shimonogo (下之郷) | – | – | ¥2.8M | 22 | 17 |
| Miyoshicho (三好町) | – | – | ¥19.0M | 8 | 17 |
| Naka Shioda (中塩田) | – | – | ¥26.5M | 8 | 14 |
| Nishi Ueda (西上田) | – | – | ¥11.5M | 16 | 14 |
| Shiodamachi (塩田町) | – | – | ¥6.9M | 15 | 13 |
| Maita(Nagano) (舞田) | – | – | ¥5.2M | 10 | 12 |
| Bessho Onsen (別所温泉) | – | – | ¥4.1M | 7 | 10 |
| Daigaku Mae(Nagano) (大学前(長野)) | – | – | ¥13.0M | 6 | 10 |
Used condo prices by layout in Ueda City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥26.0M | 75 m² | 11 |
How much does a house cost in Ueda City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥11.0M in 2025 across 162 sales.
Are property prices in Ueda City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed 0.0%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.