Matsumoto Castle, Matsumoto, Nagano
Photo: Matsumoto Castle, Matsumoto, Nagano · Nakaharu Line / Unsplash

Karuizawa Housing Market 2025: Japan's Second-Home Capital

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median house price (land + building)
¥46.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥37k/m²
+94.7% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
313
#1 of 24 areas in Nagano by price per m²

Seven in ten homes are second homes

Karuizawa is a mountain resort town about an hour from Tokyo by Shinkansen. It has about 18,000 residents but about 18,000 second homes, so about 70% of its homes are empty most of the year. Almost all sales are houses and land.

House prices have doubled

The median house sold for about ¥46M in 2025, against ¥28M in 2015. House prices per m² have risen about 12% a year over the past five years, after almost no growth in the five years before. Houses now cost about 3.4 times the Nagano average per m², up from 2.2 times ten years ago. The pandemic, remote work and buyers from Tokyo and abroad drove the jump.

Land is booming

Benchmark residential land rose 12.1% in the past year and 125% over ten years, the third biggest ten-year rise of any city or town in Japan, after central Nagoya and Fukuoka's Hakata Ward. Land sold in transactions almost doubled in five years.

Cooling activity

Sales fell 21% in 2025, as high prices met fewer buyers. Population fell 3.8% between 2020 and 2025, but more people moved in from the rest of Japan than left in 2025.

Areas

Naka-Karuizawa and Karuizawa Station areas are the busiest. Unusually, houses far from stations sell for more per m² than those close to them, because the best villas are in the forest.

Risks

Earthquake probability is very low (about 1%). Mount Asama, an active volcano, is close to the town; check the volcano hazard map. A few benchmark sites are in flood or landslide zones near streams.

Living in Karuizawa Town, Kitasaku County: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
18,465
-3.8% since 2020
Nagano: -4.5%
Net moves in 2025
+92
+4.98 per 1,000 residents
Nagano: -0.72
Vacant homes (2023)
70.4%
6.0% empty and not for rent or sale
Nagano: 20.1%
Median rent (2023)
¥58k
per month, all rented homes
Nagano: ¥49k
Strong earthquake risk
1.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Nagano: 19.8%
Official land price 2026
¥35k/m²
+12.1% in a year · +55.7% in 5 years
Nagano: ¥30k/m²
Flood exposure
37.5%
of 8 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (12.5% 3 m or deeper)
Nagano: 55.7%
Landslide exposure
12.5%
of 8 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Nagano: 7.5%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Karuizawa Town, Kitasaku County

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥16.0M

¥213k/m²

  • Oaza Hotchi
  • Karuizawa
  • Land 700 m² · floor 75 m²
  • Built 2006 (19 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q1

¥45.0M

¥450k/m²

  • Oaza Nagakura
  • Naka Karuizawa
  • Land 1200 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 1978 (48 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥95.0M

¥792k/m²

  • Oaza Karuizawa
  • Karuizawa
  • Land 1800 m² · floor 120 m²
  • Built 2013 (13 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007¥21.5M
2008¥21.5M
2009¥15.5M
2010¥19.5M
2011¥26.0M
2012¥20.0M
2013¥27.0M
2014¥24.0M
2015¥28.0M
2016¥22.0M
2017¥25.0M
2018¥27.0M
2019¥21.5M
2020¥30.0M
2021¥32.0M
2022¥33.0M
2023¥45.0M
2024¥41.0M
2025¥46.0M
2026 (partial)¥44.5M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007¥250k/m²¥19k/m²
2008¥209k/m²¥15k/m²
2009¥193k/m²¥15k/m²
2010¥189k/m²¥16k/m²
2011¥200k/m²¥16k/m²
2012¥211k/m²¥14k/m²
2013¥245k/m²¥14k/m²
2014¥227k/m²¥18k/m²
2015¥200k/m²¥17k/m²
2016¥200k/m²¥16k/m²
2017¥248k/m²¥16k/m²
2018¥233k/m²¥16k/m²
2019¥216k/m²¥14k/m²
2020¥251k/m²¥19k/m²
2021¥312k/m²¥20k/m²
2022¥306k/m²¥25k/m²
2023¥407k/m²¥23k/m²
2024¥400k/m²¥34k/m²
2025¥408k/m²¥37k/m²
2026 (partial)¥420k/m²¥38k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)Houses bottom out at around 16 years — House prices per m² drop about 34% from new by age 16, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k¥800k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥608k/m²
1¥597k/m²
2¥622k/m²
6¥637k/m²
11¥507k/m²
13¥441k/m²
14¥392k/m²
16¥462k/m²
17¥400k/m²
19¥336k/m²
20¥293k/m²
22¥347k/m²
25¥383k/m²
30¥278k/m²
31¥190k/m²
32¥200k/m²
33¥240k/m²
34¥199k/m²
35¥211k/m²
36¥227k/m²
40¥224k/m²
42¥225k/m²
43¥235k/m²
44¥86k/m²
45¥140k/m²
47¥212k/m²
48¥180k/m²
49¥100k/m²
50¥220k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥246k/m²––
2008¥143k/m²¥218k/m²¥309k/m²–
2009–¥157k/m²––
2010–¥169k/m²¥271k/m²–
2011–¥170k/m²¥283k/m²–
2012–¥176k/m²¥267k/m²–
2013–¥187k/m²¥293k/m²–
2014–¥185k/m²––
2015¥138k/m²¥152k/m²¥292k/m²–
2016¥133k/m²¥188k/m²––
2017–¥184k/m²¥332k/m²¥376k/m²
2018–¥187k/m²¥300k/m²¥316k/m²
2019–¥169k/m²¥261k/m²–
2020¥140k/m²¥215k/m²¥363k/m²¥427k/m²
2021¥150k/m²¥221k/m²¥410k/m²¥400k/m²
2022¥188k/m²¥224k/m²––
2023¥190k/m²¥295k/m²¥480k/m²–
2024–¥235k/m²¥506k/m²–
2025¥240k/m²¥304k/m²¥449k/m²–

Prices near train stations in Karuizawa Town, Kitasaku County

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Naka Karuizawa (中軽井沢)––¥43.0M16206
Karuizawa (軽井沢)––¥45.0M20146
Shinano Oiwake (信濃追分)––¥46.0M2194

How much does a house cost in Karuizawa Town, Kitasaku County?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥46.0M in 2025 across 150 sales.

Are property prices in Karuizawa Town, Kitasaku County going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +94.7%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.