Shinano Town, Kamiminochi County Housing Market Report 2025
Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2
Key figures for 2025
- Residential land per m² (sales)
- ¥3k/m²
- Transactions in 2025
- 39
What the data says
A shrinking population
The population fell 10.9% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.5% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 19.1 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand.
Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 8% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (20% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.
Living in Shinano Town, Kamiminochi County: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 6,898
- -10.9% since 2020
- Nagano: -4.5%
- Net moves in 2025
- -132
- -19.14 per 1,000 residents
- Nagano: -0.72
- Strong earthquake risk
- 8.0%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Nagano: 19.8%
- Official land price 2026
- ¥8k/m²
- -0.9% in a year · – in 5 years
- Nagano: ¥30k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 0.0%
- of 3 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Nagano: 55.7%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 3 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Nagano: 7.5%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Shinano Town, Kamiminochi County
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
House
¥2.5M
¥56k/m²
- Oaza Oi
- Kurohime
- Land 1800 m² · floor 45 m²
- Built 1962 (63 yrs) · Wood
¥3.0M
¥33k/m²
- Oaza Nojiri
- Kurohime
- Land 450 m² · floor 90 m²
- Built 1979 (46 yrs) · Wood
¥12.0M
¥126k/m²
- Oaza Nojiri
- Kurohime
- Land 460 m² · floor 95 m²
- Built 1974 (52 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | House |
|---|---|
| 2018 | – |
| 2021 | – |
| 2024 | ¥4.8M |
| 2025 | – |
Show data table
| Year | House | Land |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | – | ¥3k/m² |
| 2021 | – | ¥520/m² |
| 2024 | ¥21k/m² | – |
| 2025 | – | ¥3k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Shinano Town, Kamiminochi County
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurohime (黒姫) | – | – | ¥4.0M | 24 | 41 |
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.