Matsuyama Castle, Ehime
Photo: Matsuyama Castle, Ehime · Tuan P. / Unsplash

Shikokuchuo City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median house price (land + building)
¥17.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥21k/m²
+75.0% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
150
#4 of 10 areas in Ehime by price per m²

What the data says

Price growth is speeding up

House values per m² have risen about 3.2% a year over the past five years, faster than the 5.4% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.

Outperforming Ehime

Per m², houses here are 17% below the Ehime average. The discount has shrunk from 25% ten years ago, so Shikokuchuo City is catching up with its surroundings.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 21% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥6.0M and ¥27.8M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 6.8% between 2020 and 2025 (−5.6% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 11.7 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand.

Many abandoned homes

18.4% of homes were empty in 2023 (19.8% for the wider area), and 9.4% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 52% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (55% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are still falling

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed 0% in the year to January 2026 and -3% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 33% are inside the worst-case flood zone, 8% are in a tsunami inundation zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Shikokuchuo City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
77,151
-6.8% since 2020
Ehime: -5.6%
Net moves in 2025
-901
-11.68 per 1,000 residents
Ehime: -4.52
Vacant homes (2023)
18.4%
9.4% empty and not for rent or sale
Ehime: 19.8%
Median rent (2023)
¥36k
per month, all rented homes
Ehime: ¥45k
Strong earthquake risk
52.4%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Ehime: 55.1%
Official land price 2026
¥54k/m²
-0.3% in a year · -2.9% in 5 years
Ehime: ¥41k/m²
Flood exposure
33.3%
of 12 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Ehime: 58.8%
Tsunami exposure
8.3%
of 12 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Ehime: 24.6%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 12 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Ehime: 4.6%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Median transaction price by yearA jump driven by what sold — The median house price rose 104% between 2023 and 2025. Per m², prices rose only 26%, so most of the jump comes from larger or higher-end properties changing hands, not from the same homes getting that much more expensive. With only 74 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007¥23.0M
2008¥19.0M
2009¥13.0M
2010¥13.0M
2011¥10.3M
2012¥20.0M
2013¥16.0M
2014¥17.5M
2015¥15.0M
2016¥16.0M
2017¥17.5M
2018¥17.0M
2019¥15.0M
2020¥11.5M
2021¥12.0M
2022¥14.0M
2023¥8.3M
2024¥11.0M
2025¥17.0M
2026 (partial)–
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥50k¥100k¥150k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007¥136k/m²¥41k/m²
2008¥150k/m²¥44k/m²
2009¥98k/m²¥35k/m²
2010¥72k/m²¥39k/m²
2011¥76k/m²¥33k/m²
2012¥117k/m²¥39k/m²
2013¥88k/m²¥18k/m²
2014¥76k/m²¥33k/m²
2015¥92k/m²¥25k/m²
2016¥77k/m²¥26k/m²
2017¥74k/m²¥19k/m²
2018¥67k/m²¥21k/m²
2019¥63k/m²¥18k/m²
2020¥65k/m²¥12k/m²
2021¥102k/m²¥16k/m²
2022¥75k/m²¥17k/m²
2023¥64k/m²¥21k/m²
2024¥68k/m²¥21k/m²
2025¥81k/m²¥21k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥15k/m²

Prices near train stations in Shikokuchuo City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Kawanoe (川之江)––¥12.5M1870
Iyo Mishima (伊予三島)––¥20.0M2066
Iyo Doi (伊予土居)––¥2.4M1514
Iyo Sangawa (伊予寒川)––¥13.0M2313

How much does a house cost in Shikokuchuo City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥17.0M in 2025 across 74 sales.

Are property prices in Shikokuchuo City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +75.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.