Shinkyo Bridge, Nikko, Tochigi
Photo: Shinkyo Bridge, Nikko, Tochigi · Roméo A. / Unsplash

Nasushiobara City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median house price (land + building)
¥13.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥11k/m²
+43.8% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
382
#13 of 17 areas in Tochigi by price per m²

What the data says

Price growth is speeding up

House values per m² have risen about 3.9% a year over the past five years, faster than the 1.3% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.

Outperforming Tochigi

Per m², houses here are 14% below the Tochigi average. The discount has shrunk from 31% ten years ago, so Nasushiobara City is catching up with its surroundings.

Station distance barely matters

Houses 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 22% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥5.7M and ¥23.5M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 2.3% between 2020 and 2025 (−3.5% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 3.9% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

18.4% of homes were empty in 2023 (16.9% for the wider area), and 6.2% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm. About 6.2% of homes are second homes, which points to a resort or holiday-home market.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 8% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (17% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Official land prices are still falling

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed -1% in the year to January 2026 and -7% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 17% are inside the worst-case flood zone (8% with expected depths of 3 m or more), 8% are in a landslide warning area. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Nasushiobara City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
112,562
-2.3% since 2020
Tochigi: -3.5%
Net moves in 2025
+6
+0.05 per 1,000 residents
Tochigi: -1.08
Vacant homes (2023)
18.4%
6.2% empty and not for rent or sale
Tochigi: 16.9%
Median rent (2023)
¥46k
per month, all rented homes
Tochigi: ¥48k
Strong earthquake risk
8.2%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Tochigi: 16.5%
Official land price 2026
¥20k/m²
-1.2% in a year · -6.7% in 5 years
Tochigi: ¥29k/m²
Flood exposure
16.7%
of 12 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (8.3% 3 m or deeper)
Tochigi: 31.1%
Landslide exposure
8.3%
of 12 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Tochigi: 0.7%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Nasushiobara City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥2.3M

¥35k/m²

  • Shiobara
  • Nishi Nasuno
  • 2LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1992 (33 yrs) · SRC
Typical2026 Q1

¥3.5M

¥100k/m²

  • Shiobara
  • Nishi Nasuno
  • 1DK · 35 m²
  • Built 1995 (31 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥4.5M

¥82k/m²

  • Nishiasahicho
  • Nishi Nasuno · 6 min walk
  • 3LDK · 55 m²
  • Built 1995 (31 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥4.3M

¥72k/m²

  • Shimotano
  • Nishi Nasuno
  • Land 380 m² · floor 60 m²
  • Built 1995 (30 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q2

¥11.0M

¥110k/m²

  • Kamiyokobayashi
  • Nishi Nasuno
  • Land 360 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 1998 (28 yrs)
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥24.0M

¥240k/m²

  • Miyacho
  • Kuroiso · 7 min walk
  • Land 180 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥5.0M¥10.0M¥15.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007–¥13.0M
2008–¥11.5M
2009–¥12.0M
2010–¥13.0M
2011–¥11.0M
2012–¥13.0M
2013–¥13.0M
2014–¥10.0M
2015–¥12.0M
2016–¥13.5M
2017–¥14.0M
2018–¥12.0M
2019–¥10.0M
2020¥1.9M¥13.0M
2021¥2.4M¥13.0M
2022¥2.9M¥13.0M
2023–¥11.0M
2024–¥13.0M
2025–¥13.0M
2026 (partial)–¥11.5M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥50k¥100k¥150k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007–¥118k/m²¥14k/m²
2008–¥101k/m²¥15k/m²
2009–¥106k/m²¥15k/m²
2010–¥100k/m²¥18k/m²
2011–¥70k/m²¥14k/m²
2012–¥95k/m²¥14k/m²
2013–¥98k/m²¥14k/m²
2014–¥94k/m²¥13k/m²
2015–¥106k/m²¥12k/m²
2016–¥110k/m²¥13k/m²
2017–¥106k/m²¥13k/m²
2018–¥103k/m²¥12k/m²
2019–¥88k/m²¥9k/m²
2020¥67k/m²¥100k/m²¥7k/m²
2021¥67k/m²¥114k/m²¥10k/m²
2022¥80k/m²¥117k/m²¥9k/m²
2023–¥92k/m²¥10k/m²
2024–¥112k/m²¥9k/m²
2025–¥116k/m²¥11k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥127k/m²¥8k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)Houses bottom out at around 29 years — House prices per m² drop about 73% from new by age 29, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥243k/m²
1–¥207k/m²
15–¥130k/m²
18–¥122k/m²
19–¥108k/m²
21–¥73k/m²
23–¥89k/m²
24–¥93k/m²
26¥80k/m²¥71k/m²
27¥94k/m²¥82k/m²
28–¥82k/m²
29¥42k/m²¥63k/m²
30¥48k/m²¥66k/m²
31–¥64k/m²
32–¥80k/m²
33–¥54k/m²
34–¥78k/m²
35–¥58k/m²
36–¥63k/m²
37–¥66k/m²
38–¥48k/m²
39–¥62k/m²
40–¥31k/m²
42–¥52k/m²
45–¥32k/m²
47–¥47k/m²
49–¥46k/m²
50–¥21k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥98k/m²¥208k/m²–
2008–¥81k/m²¥200k/m²–
2009–¥87k/m²¥200k/m²–
2010–¥80k/m²¥196k/m²–
2011–¥58k/m²––
2012–¥71k/m²–¥218k/m²
2013–¥67k/m²¥126k/m²¥204k/m²
2014–¥66k/m²–¥196k/m²
2015–¥67k/m²–¥204k/m²
2016–¥57k/m²–¥204k/m²
2017–¥67k/m²–¥200k/m²
2018–¥58k/m²–¥196k/m²
2019–¥59k/m²–¥213k/m²
2020–¥72k/m²¥108k/m²¥209k/m²
2021–¥56k/m²¥107k/m²¥191k/m²
2022–¥77k/m²––
2023¥22k/m²¥61k/m²¥100k/m²–
2024–¥66k/m²––
2025–¥74k/m²¥129k/m²–

Prices near train stations in Nasushiobara City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Nishi Nasuno (西那須野)¥2.9M¥71k/m²¥13.0M19247
Kuroiso (黒磯)––¥10.0M14160
Nasushiobara (那須塩原)––¥23.5M1377
Nozaki(Tochigi) (野崎(栃木))––¥9.7M2014

Used condo prices by layout in Nasushiobara City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
1LDK¥3.0M50 m²13

How much does a house cost in Nasushiobara City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥13.0M in 2025 across 155 sales.

Are property prices in Nasushiobara City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +43.8%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.