Kurashiki City Housing Market Report 2025
Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2
Key figures for 2025
- Median used condo price
- ¥18.0M
- ¥260k/m²
- Median house price (land + building)
- ¥21.0M
- +2.0% vs 2024
- Residential land per m² (sales)
- ¥48k/m²
- +23.1% over 5 years
- Transactions in 2025
- 887
- #2 of 14 areas in Okayama by price per m²
What the data says
Steady, predictable growth
Condo prices per m² have climbed about 2.3% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.
Lagging Okayama
Per m², condos here are 5% below the Okayama average. Ten years ago the gap was 10%, so Kurashiki City has been falling behind the rest of Okayama.
Station distance barely matters
Condos 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.
A family market
63% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.
Sales are thinning out
Transactions are down about 11% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥10.4M and ¥25.5M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 2.6% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.2% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 1.9% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.
Typical vacancy
13.6% of homes were empty in 2023 (16.4% for the wider area), and 5.1% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.
Buying vs renting
A median used condo costs about 30.1 years of the area's median rent (¥50k a month), compared with 35.2 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.
Moderate earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 38% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (34% for the wider area). Post-1981 buildings are designed for this level of shaking, but check ground conditions and insurance.
Official land prices are edging up
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +1% in the year to January 2026 and +4% over five years. They are still 38% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Significant flood risk
Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 68% are inside the worst-case flood zone (24% with expected depths of 3 m or more), 17% are in a tsunami inundation zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.
Living in Kurashiki City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 462,135
- -2.6% since 2020
- Okayama: -4.2%
- Net moves in 2025
- -809
- -1.75 per 1,000 residents
- Okayama: -3.09
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 13.6%
- 5.1% empty and not for rent or sale
- Okayama: 16.4%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥50k
- per month, all rented homes
- Okayama: ¥50k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 38.3%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Okayama: 33.5%
- Official land price 2026
- ¥43k/m²
- +1.1% in a year · +4.4% in 5 years
- Okayama: ¥37k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 68.3%
- of 104 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (24.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Okayama: 69.1%
- Tsunami exposure
- 17.3%
- of 104 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
- Okayama: 13.7%
- Landslide exposure
- 3.8%
- of 104 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Okayama: 5.8%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Kurashiki City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
Condo
¥9.5M
¥136k/m²
- Oimatsucho
- Kurashiki · 20 min walk
- 3LDK · 70 m²
- Built 1997 (28 yrs) · RC
¥20.0M
¥286k/m²
- Oimatsucho
- Kurashiki · 20 min walk
- 3LDK · 70 m²
- Built 1997 (29 yrs) · RC
¥31.0M
¥326k/m²
- Inarimachi
- Kurashiki · 14 min walk
- 3LDK · 95 m²
- Built 2008 (18 yrs) · RC
House
¥7.0M
¥33k/m²
- Nakase
- Mizushima · 13 min walk
- Land 520 m² · floor 210 m²
- Built 1968 (58 yrs) · Wood
¥24.0M
¥253k/m²
- Tamashimanagao
- Shin Kurashiki · 23 min walk
- Land 155 m² · floor 95 m²
- Built 2019 (7 yrs) · Wood
¥41.0M
¥410k/m²
- Chayamachi
- Chayamachi · 19 min walk
- Land 155 m² · floor 100 m²
- Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥20.0M |
| 2008 | ¥10.5M | ¥18.0M |
| 2009 | ¥8.8M | ¥18.0M |
| 2010 | ¥6.6M | ¥18.0M |
| 2011 | ¥12.0M | ¥18.5M |
| 2012 | ¥12.5M | ¥19.0M |
| 2013 | ¥12.0M | ¥21.0M |
| 2014 | ¥15.0M | ¥18.0M |
| 2015 | ¥16.0M | ¥22.0M |
| 2016 | ¥10.5M | ¥20.0M |
| 2017 | ¥19.0M | ¥21.0M |
| 2018 | ¥17.0M | ¥20.0M |
| 2019 | ¥14.5M | ¥20.0M |
| 2020 | ¥17.0M | ¥21.0M |
| 2021 | ¥24.0M | ¥24.0M |
| 2022 | ¥20.0M | ¥23.0M |
| 2023 | ¥22.0M | ¥23.0M |
| 2024 | ¥17.5M | ¥21.0M |
| 2025 | ¥18.0M | ¥21.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥26.0M |
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House | Land |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | – | ¥145k/m² | ¥51k/m² |
| 2008 | ¥206k/m² | ¥150k/m² | ¥45k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥164k/m² | ¥149k/m² | ¥45k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥132k/m² | ¥129k/m² | ¥41k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥193k/m² | ¥144k/m² | ¥40k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥183k/m² | ¥125k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥200k/m² | ¥131k/m² | ¥42k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥222k/m² | ¥130k/m² | ¥42k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥235k/m² | ¥157k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥180k/m² | ¥162k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥247k/m² | ¥176k/m² | ¥43k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥252k/m² | ¥161k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥245k/m² | ¥180k/m² | ¥42k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥245k/m² | ¥181k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥328k/m² | ¥200k/m² | ¥46k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥300k/m² | ¥180k/m² | ¥39k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥293k/m² | ¥180k/m² | ¥42k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥289k/m² | ¥167k/m² | ¥45k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥260k/m² | ¥170k/m² | ¥48k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥182k/m² | ¥47k/m² |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | – | ¥317k/m² |
| 1 | – | ¥310k/m² |
| 2 | – | ¥317k/m² |
| 3 | – | ¥295k/m² |
| 4 | – | ¥235k/m² |
| 5 | – | ¥204k/m² |
| 6 | ¥371k/m² | ¥247k/m² |
| 7 | – | ¥271k/m² |
| 8 | – | ¥267k/m² |
| 9 | – | ¥224k/m² |
| 11 | – | ¥207k/m² |
| 12 | – | ¥176k/m² |
| 13 | – | ¥212k/m² |
| 14 | – | ¥192k/m² |
| 15 | – | ¥225k/m² |
| 16 | – | ¥183k/m² |
| 17 | – | ¥200k/m² |
| 18 | – | ¥173k/m² |
| 19 | – | ¥157k/m² |
| 20 | – | ¥213k/m² |
| 21 | – | ¥162k/m² |
| 22 | – | ¥153k/m² |
| 23 | – | ¥139k/m² |
| 24 | – | ¥148k/m² |
| 25 | – | ¥94k/m² |
| 26 | – | ¥159k/m² |
| 27 | ¥276k/m² | ¥129k/m² |
| 28 | – | ¥108k/m² |
| 29 | – | ¥83k/m² |
| 30 | – | ¥140k/m² |
| 31 | ¥206k/m² | ¥130k/m² |
| 32 | ¥233k/m² | ¥107k/m² |
| 33 | ¥244k/m² | ¥125k/m² |
| 34 | ¥182k/m² | ¥96k/m² |
| 35 | – | ¥97k/m² |
| 36 | – | ¥100k/m² |
| 37 | – | ¥66k/m² |
| 38 | – | ¥84k/m² |
| 39 | – | ¥57k/m² |
| 40 | – | ¥74k/m² |
| 41 | – | ¥97k/m² |
| 42 | – | ¥107k/m² |
| 43 | – | ¥98k/m² |
| 44 | – | ¥73k/m² |
| 45 | – | ¥75k/m² |
| 46 | – | ¥84k/m² |
| 47 | – | ¥75k/m² |
| 48 | – | ¥60k/m² |
| 49 | – | ¥86k/m² |
| 50 | – | ¥56k/m² |
Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.
Show data table
| Year | 1971-1980 | 1981-2000 | 2001-2010 | 2011-2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | ¥100k/m² | ¥135k/m² | ¥262k/m² | – |
| 2008 | ¥100k/m² | ¥123k/m² | ¥253k/m² | – |
| 2009 | ¥98k/m² | ¥121k/m² | ¥267k/m² | – |
| 2010 | ¥78k/m² | ¥115k/m² | ¥245k/m² | ¥263k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥85k/m² | ¥115k/m² | – | ¥256k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥73k/m² | ¥110k/m² | – | ¥291k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥83k/m² | ¥111k/m² | ¥189k/m² | ¥282k/m² |
| 2014 | ¥91k/m² | ¥102k/m² | ¥185k/m² | ¥280k/m² |
| 2015 | ¥72k/m² | ¥103k/m² | ¥183k/m² | ¥282k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥75k/m² | ¥96k/m² | ¥180k/m² | ¥270k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥72k/m² | ¥105k/m² | ¥183k/m² | ¥267k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥71k/m² | ¥101k/m² | ¥150k/m² | ¥288k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥70k/m² | ¥106k/m² | – | ¥280k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥56k/m² | ¥103k/m² | ¥180k/m² | ¥273k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥68k/m² | ¥120k/m² | ¥208k/m² | ¥263k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥88k/m² | ¥93k/m² | ¥172k/m² | ¥242k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥98k/m² | ¥109k/m² | ¥175k/m² | ¥242k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥68k/m² | ¥126k/m² | ¥162k/m² | ¥239k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥62k/m² | ¥109k/m² | ¥184k/m² | ¥264k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥123k/m² | – | – |
Prices near train stations in Kurashiki City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurashiki (倉敷) | ¥21.0M | ¥296k/m² | ¥27.0M | 18 | 383 |
| Shin Kurashiki (新倉敷) | – | – | ¥27.0M | 18 | 135 |
| Kojima (児島) | – | – | ¥8.0M | 15 | 105 |
| Chayamachi (茶屋町) | – | – | ¥21.0M | 12 | 99 |
| Nakasho (中庄) | ¥15.0M | ¥300k/m² | ¥18.0M | 14 | 99 |
| Nishiachi (西阿知) | – | – | ¥29.0M | 18 | 94 |
| Yayoi (弥生) | – | – | ¥19.0M | 13 | 71 |
| Nishi Tomii (西富井) | – | – | ¥33.0M | 16 | 67 |
| Mizushima (水島) | – | – | ¥20.0M | 19 | 50 |
| Fukui(Okayama) (福井(岡山)) | – | – | ¥32.5M | 12 | 47 |
| Tokiwa(Okayama) (常盤(岡山)) | – | – | ¥25.0M | 11 | 42 |
| Kyujo Mae(Okayama) (球場前(岡山)) | – | – | ¥29.5M | 13 | 40 |
| Sakae(Okayama) (栄(岡山)) | – | – | ¥25.0M | 14 | 40 |
| Urada(Okayama) (浦田(岡山)) | – | – | ¥14.0M | 21 | 38 |
| Konko (金光) | – | – | ¥6.5M | – | 35 |
Used condo prices by layout in Kurashiki City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥23.0M | 70 m² | 67 |
| 2LDK | ¥17.0M | 60 m² | 27 |
| 4LDK | ¥25.0M | 80 m² | 15 |
How much does an apartment cost in Kurashiki City?
The median used condo (mansion) in Kurashiki City sold for ¥18.0M in 2025, about ¥260k/m², based on 47 recorded sales.
How much does a house cost in Kurashiki City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥21.0M in 2025 across 454 sales.
Are property prices in Kurashiki City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +5.9% and residential land prices changed +23.1%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.