Kurashiki Bikan Historical Quarter, Okayama
Photo: Kurashiki Bikan Historical Quarter, Okayama · Vicky Ng / Unsplash

Higashi Ward, Okayama City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median house price (land + building)
¥16.5M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥52k/m²
+92.6% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
132
#6 of 14 areas in Okayama by price per m²

What the data says

Steady, predictable growth

House prices per m² have climbed about 3.2% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.

Outperforming Okayama

Per m², houses here are priced close to the Okayama average. The premium has grown from 21% ten years ago, so Higashi Ward, Okayama City has been outperforming its surroundings.

Station distance barely matters

Houses 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 18% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥8.1M and ¥25.8M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 4.8% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.2% for the wider area). More people moved out than in during 2025 (about 2.3 per 1,000 residents), which weakens long-term housing demand. Households still grew 0.6% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Many abandoned homes

15% of homes were empty in 2023 (16.4% for the wider area), and 8.8% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.

Moderate earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 48% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (34% for the wider area). Post-1981 buildings are designed for this level of shaking, but check ground conditions and insurance.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +0% in the year to January 2026 and 0% over five years. They are still 36% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Significant flood risk

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 91% are inside the worst-case flood zone (56% with expected depths of 3 m or more), 22% are in a tsunami inundation zone, 17% are in a landslide warning area. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Higashi Ward, Okayama City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
88,651
-4.8% since 2020
Okayama: -4.2%
Net moves in 2025
-206
-2.32 per 1,000 residents
Okayama: -3.09
Vacant homes (2023)
15.0%
8.8% empty and not for rent or sale
Okayama: 16.4%
Median rent (2023)
¥52k
per month, all rented homes
Okayama: ¥50k
Strong earthquake risk
47.9%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Okayama: 33.5%
Official land price 2026
¥31k/m²
+0.2% in a year · -0.3% in 5 years
Okayama: ¥37k/m²
Flood exposure
91.3%
of 23 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (56.5% 3 m or deeper)
Okayama: 69.1%
Tsunami exposure
21.7%
of 23 benchmark sites in a tsunami inundation zone
Okayama: 13.7%
Landslide exposure
17.4%
of 23 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Okayama: 5.8%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Higashi Ward, Okayama City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥6.0M

¥80k/m²

  • Kurogane
  • Joto(Okayama) · 21 min walk
  • Land 160 m² · floor 75 m²
  • Built 1976 (50 yrs) · Light steel
Typical2025 Q3

¥16.0M

¥152k/m²

  • Saidaijikawaguchi
  • Saidaiji
  • Land 160 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 1995 (30 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥27.0M

¥123k/m²

  • Setochoshimo
  • Seto · 9 min walk
  • Land 490 m² · floor 220 m²
  • Built 2003 (22 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by yearA sharp recent rise — The median house price rose 27% between 2023 and 2025. Prices per m² rose 22% too, so this is a genuine like-for-like increase, not just bigger homes selling. With only 78 house sales in 2025, a handful of expensive deals can move the median a lot.
¥0¥5.0M¥10.0M¥15.0M¥20.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouse
2007¥13.0M
2008¥13.0M
2009¥11.0M
2010¥16.5M
2011¥14.0M
2012¥11.0M
2013¥13.0M
2014¥15.0M
2015¥11.0M
2016¥15.0M
2017¥15.0M
2018¥13.0M
2019¥10.0M
2020¥15.0M
2021¥14.0M
2022¥16.0M
2023¥13.0M
2024¥17.0M
2025¥16.5M
2026 (partial)¥13.0M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥50k¥100k¥150k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2007¥119k/m²¥22k/m²
2008¥117k/m²¥35k/m²
2009¥96k/m²¥28k/m²
2010¥133k/m²¥30k/m²
2011¥118k/m²¥23k/m²
2012¥94k/m²¥31k/m²
2013¥111k/m²¥21k/m²
2014¥113k/m²¥30k/m²
2015¥78k/m²¥34k/m²
2016¥119k/m²¥30k/m²
2017¥100k/m²¥32k/m²
2018¥128k/m²¥31k/m²
2019¥98k/m²¥33k/m²
2020¥128k/m²¥27k/m²
2021¥111k/m²¥33k/m²
2022¥142k/m²¥35k/m²
2023¥109k/m²¥42k/m²
2024¥132k/m²¥41k/m²
2025¥133k/m²¥52k/m²
2026 (partial)¥104k/m²¥13k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥262k/m²
1¥302k/m²
35¥73k/m²
44¥42k/m²
48¥45k/m²
50¥42k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002011-2020
2007–¥123k/m²–
2008¥80k/m²¥127k/m²–
2009¥83k/m²¥86k/m²–
2010–¥114k/m²–
2011–¥123k/m²–
2012–¥100k/m²–
2013–¥113k/m²–
2014–¥117k/m²–
2015–¥114k/m²–
2016–¥104k/m²¥234k/m²
2017–¥86k/m²–
2018––¥250k/m²
2020¥83k/m²¥125k/m²¥238k/m²
2021¥66k/m²––
2023–¥93k/m²–
2024–¥105k/m²–
2025–¥97k/m²–

Prices near train stations in Higashi Ward, Okayama City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Saidaiji (西大寺)––¥13.0M1666
Odara (大多羅)––¥18.0M1851
Joto(Okayama) (上道(岡山))––¥15.5M1450
Seto (瀬戸)––¥22.0M1432
Mantomi (万富)––¥6.3M1013

How much does a house cost in Higashi Ward, Okayama City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥16.5M in 2025 across 78 sales.

Are property prices in Higashi Ward, Okayama City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +92.6%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.