Odori Park, Sapporo, Hokkaido
Photo: Odori Park, Sapporo, Hokkaido · Lucas Cheng / Unsplash

Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥17.0M
¥245k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥42.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥130k/m²
+30.0% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
495
#7 of 48 areas in Hokkaido by price per m²

What the data says

Prices are still rising, but more slowly

Growth has cooled to about 2.9% a year, down from 5.8% a year in the previous five years. This looks more like a maturing market than a turning point, and it gives buyers a bit more room to negotiate.

Moving with Hokkaido

Per m², condos here are priced close to the Hokkaido average. That position has barely changed in ten years, so it moves with the wider market.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 15% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. The penalty for a longer walk is mild, so it is worth widening your search radius.

A family market

69% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 14% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥9.4M and ¥29.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A growing population

The population grew 2.5% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.6% for the wider area). More people moved in than out in 2025, a net gain of about 11.2 per 1,000 residents, so demand for homes is being topped up by newcomers.

Few abandoned homes

13.6% of homes were empty in 2023 (15.6% for the wider area), and 1.2% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 27.8 years of the area's median rent (¥51k a month), compared with 30.7 years for the wider area. That is a middle-of-the-road ratio for Japan. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 2% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (11% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +2% in the year to January 2026 and +42% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 27% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
230,960
+2.5% since 2020
Hokkaido: -4.6%
Net moves in 2025
+2,595
+11.24 per 1,000 residents
Hokkaido: -1.04
Vacant homes (2023)
13.6%
1.2% empty and not for rent or sale
Hokkaido: 15.6%
Median rent (2023)
¥51k
per month, all rented homes
Hokkaido: ¥46k
Strong earthquake risk
2.0%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Hokkaido: 10.5%
Official land price 2026
¥151k/m²
+1.8% in a year · +41.8% in 5 years
Hokkaido: ¥30k/m²
Flood exposure
27.3%
of 44 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Hokkaido: 51.8%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 44 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Hokkaido: 0.6%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥9.2M

¥204k/m²

  • Nakanoshima1jo
  • Sumikawa · 20 min walk
  • 2LDK · 45 m²
  • Built 1991 (34 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥20.0M

¥235k/m²

  • Nakanoshima2jo
  • Nakanoshima(Hokkaido) · 4 min walk
  • 3LDK · 85 m²
  • Built 1990 (36 yrs) · SRC
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥31.0M

¥443k/m²

  • Hiragishi3jo
  • Hiragishi(SapporoCitySubway) · 8 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1995 (31 yrs)

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥23.0M

¥242k/m²

  • Nishioka4jo
  • Fukuzumi · 28 min walk
  • Land 170 m² · floor 95 m²
  • Built 1986 (40 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q1

¥40.0M

¥364k/m²

  • Nishioka5jo
  • Makomanai
  • Land 180 m² · floor 110 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q3

¥98.0M

¥169k/m²

  • Nishioka5jo
  • Fukuzumi · 14 min walk
  • Land 230 m² · floor 580 m²
  • Built 2008 (17 yrs) · RC
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥20.0M¥40.0M¥60.0M20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2006¥9.5M¥30.5M
2007¥8.9M¥30.0M
2008¥9.0M¥29.0M
2009¥11.0M¥26.0M
2010¥8.7M¥28.0M
2011¥9.0M¥29.0M
2012¥11.0M¥29.0M
2013¥12.0M¥30.0M
2014¥9.5M¥28.0M
2015¥12.0M¥32.0M
2016¥14.0M¥33.0M
2017¥13.0M¥31.0M
2018¥12.5M¥32.0M
2019¥14.0M¥31.0M
2020¥15.0M¥35.0M
2021¥13.0M¥38.0M
2022¥18.0M¥40.0M
2023¥17.0M¥41.0M
2024¥16.0M¥38.0M
2025¥17.0M¥42.0M
2026 (partial)¥21.0M¥41.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 10% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2006¥138k/m²¥148k/m²¥93k/m²
2007¥131k/m²¥143k/m²¥100k/m²
2008¥129k/m²¥153k/m²¥84k/m²
2009¥143k/m²¥152k/m²¥75k/m²
2010¥125k/m²¥170k/m²¥81k/m²
2011¥126k/m²¥153k/m²¥78k/m²
2012¥144k/m²¥143k/m²¥75k/m²
2013¥153k/m²¥153k/m²¥79k/m²
2014¥143k/m²¥128k/m²¥74k/m²
2015¥163k/m²¥164k/m²¥89k/m²
2016¥183k/m²¥150k/m²¥84k/m²
2017¥187k/m²¥168k/m²¥95k/m²
2018¥187k/m²¥159k/m²¥87k/m²
2019¥200k/m²¥203k/m²¥98k/m²
2020¥205k/m²¥227k/m²¥100k/m²
2021¥198k/m²¥254k/m²¥110k/m²
2022¥247k/m²¥210k/m²¥140k/m²
2023¥245k/m²¥227k/m²¥130k/m²
2024¥224k/m²¥206k/m²¥130k/m²
2025¥245k/m²¥217k/m²¥130k/m²
2026 (partial)¥295k/m²¥196k/m²¥130k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 14 years old and half by around 26. Prices keep falling by roughly 4.2% a year even after 25 years, so older condos here are cheap for a reason. Check the repair fund and rebuild plans.Houses bottom out at around 14 years — House prices per m² drop about 47% from new by age 14, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥379k/m²
1¥577k/m²¥372k/m²
3¥493k/m²–
5–¥300k/m²
6–¥225k/m²
7–¥231k/m²
8–¥286k/m²
9–¥246k/m²
10–¥237k/m²
11–¥226k/m²
14¥344k/m²¥198k/m²
15¥317k/m²–
16¥335k/m²¥200k/m²
17¥379k/m²¥172k/m²
18¥333k/m²¥205k/m²
19¥324k/m²–
20¥346k/m²–
21¥338k/m²–
22¥300k/m²¥214k/m²
23¥333k/m²¥192k/m²
24¥331k/m²¥174k/m²
25¥294k/m²–
26¥273k/m²¥147k/m²
27¥273k/m²¥124k/m²
28¥284k/m²¥142k/m²
29¥241k/m²¥127k/m²
30¥257k/m²¥141k/m²
31¥214k/m²¥127k/m²
32¥156k/m²¥106k/m²
33¥171k/m²¥104k/m²
34¥181k/m²¥154k/m²
35¥188k/m²¥135k/m²
36¥212k/m²¥122k/m²
37¥169k/m²¥125k/m²
38¥165k/m²¥104k/m²
39¥196k/m²¥160k/m²
40¥154k/m²¥101k/m²
41¥149k/m²¥133k/m²
42¥153k/m²–
43¥138k/m²–
44¥150k/m²¥128k/m²
45¥131k/m²¥142k/m²
46¥80k/m²¥189k/m²
47¥139k/m²¥115k/m²
48¥100k/m²–
49¥70k/m²–
50¥95k/m²¥183k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction periodBuilding age matters less than location — Over the last decade, pre-1981 condos have appreciated at about the same pace as 2000s buildings (around 2.6% a year), so in this market location matters more than building age. Pre-1981 buildings, built before the current earthquake standard, trade about 55% below 1980s–90s buildings.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-2010
2006¥86k/m²¥142k/m²–
2007¥77k/m²¥138k/m²¥242k/m²
2008¥67k/m²¥143k/m²–
2009¥64k/m²¥133k/m²¥233k/m²
2010¥70k/m²¥133k/m²¥213k/m²
2011¥68k/m²¥147k/m²¥225k/m²
2012¥69k/m²¥143k/m²¥222k/m²
2013¥67k/m²¥161k/m²¥250k/m²
2014¥79k/m²¥152k/m²¥267k/m²
2015¥95k/m²¥152k/m²¥265k/m²
2016¥96k/m²¥175k/m²¥288k/m²
2017¥109k/m²¥189k/m²¥289k/m²
2018¥105k/m²¥187k/m²¥280k/m²
2019¥105k/m²¥200k/m²¥276k/m²
2020¥113k/m²¥211k/m²¥300k/m²
2021¥131k/m²¥200k/m²¥315k/m²
2022¥134k/m²¥227k/m²¥341k/m²
2023¥133k/m²¥243k/m²¥317k/m²
2024¥116k/m²¥222k/m²¥326k/m²
2025¥113k/m²¥252k/m²¥359k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥277k/m²–
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006¥122k/m²¥121k/m²¥254k/m²–
2007¥118k/m²¥116k/m²¥240k/m²–
2008¥110k/m²¥116k/m²¥217k/m²–
2009¥87k/m²¥125k/m²¥229k/m²–
2010¥114k/m²¥104k/m²¥236k/m²–
2011¥110k/m²¥96k/m²¥207k/m²¥251k/m²
2012¥107k/m²¥106k/m²–¥235k/m²
2013¥86k/m²¥107k/m²¥157k/m²¥261k/m²
2014¥81k/m²¥97k/m²–¥252k/m²
2015¥114k/m²¥110k/m²¥159k/m²¥264k/m²
2016¥93k/m²¥122k/m²¥171k/m²¥298k/m²
2017¥119k/m²¥114k/m²¥195k/m²¥247k/m²
2018¥105k/m²¥110k/m²¥171k/m²¥287k/m²
2019¥127k/m²¥115k/m²¥176k/m²¥286k/m²
2020¥109k/m²¥127k/m²¥144k/m²¥300k/m²
2021¥146k/m²¥125k/m²¥177k/m²¥300k/m²
2022¥144k/m²¥114k/m²¥194k/m²¥225k/m²
2023–¥159k/m²¥186k/m²¥263k/m²
2024¥137k/m²¥133k/m²¥205k/m²–
2025¥183k/m²¥127k/m²¥218k/m²¥248k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥153k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Fukuzumi (福住)¥24.0M¥297k/m²¥35.0M13200
Minami Hiragishi (南平岸)¥14.0M¥216k/m²¥43.5M11190
Tsukisamu Chuo (月寒中央)¥19.0M¥252k/m²¥39.0M9135
Hiragishi(SapporoCitySubway) (平岸(札幌市営))¥16.0M¥243k/m²¥67.0M6115
Nakanoshima(Hokkaido) (中の島)¥9.4M¥160k/m²¥83.0M4102
Sumikawa (澄川)¥6.7M¥138k/m²¥22.5M1681
Misono (美園)¥23.0M¥284k/m²¥49.0M778
Gakuen Mae(Sapporo) (学園前(札幌))¥19.5M¥273k/m²¥52.0M872
Toyohira Koen (豊平公園)¥25.0M¥314k/m²¥70.0M662
Jieitai Mae (自衛隊前)––¥19.0M2632
Nango Juhatchome (南郷18丁目)––¥35.5M1321
Kikusui (菊水)––¥67.0M716
Nango Nana Chome (南郷7丁目)––¥47.5M1116
Shiroishi(SapporoCitySubway) (白石(札幌市営))¥22.0M¥313k/m²–914

Used condo prices by layout in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥20.0M75 m²301
2LDK¥13.0M60 m²105
4LDK¥25.0M90 m²103
1LDK¥14.0M50 m²23
1DK¥2.6M25 m²22
1K¥2.8M20 m²16
2DK¥3.8M45 m²16

How much does an apartment cost in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City sold for ¥17.0M in 2025, about ¥245k/m², based on 224 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥42.0M in 2025 across 174 sales.

Are property prices in Toyohira Ward, Sapporo City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +19.3% and residential land prices changed +30.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.