Odori Park, Sapporo, Hokkaido
Photo: Odori Park, Sapporo, Hokkaido · Lucas Cheng / Unsplash

Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥19.0M
¥271k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥32.5M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥110k/m²
+39.2% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
230
#5 of 48 areas in Hokkaido by price per m²

What the data says

Price growth is speeding up

Condo values per m² have risen about 6% a year over the past five years, faster than the 1.8% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.

Moving with Hokkaido

Per m², condos here are 13% above the Hokkaido average. That position has barely changed in ten years, so it moves with the wider market.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 32% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

85% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 13% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥15.0M and ¥29.5M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 2.5% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.6% for the wider area). More people moved in than out in 2025, a net gain of about 2 per 1,000 residents, so demand for homes is being topped up by newcomers. Households still grew 2.1% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Few abandoned homes

10.4% of homes were empty in 2023 (15.6% for the wider area), and 1.9% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 33.2 years of the area's median rent (¥48k a month), compared with 30.7 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 4% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (11% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +1% in the year to January 2026 and +38% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 14% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
122,003
-2.5% since 2020
Hokkaido: -4.6%
Net moves in 2025
+248
+2.03 per 1,000 residents
Hokkaido: -1.04
Vacant homes (2023)
10.4%
1.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Hokkaido: 15.6%
Median rent (2023)
¥48k
per month, all rented homes
Hokkaido: ¥46k
Strong earthquake risk
4.2%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Hokkaido: 10.5%
Official land price 2026
¥107k/m²
+0.7% in a year · +37.5% in 5 years
Hokkaido: ¥30k/m²
Flood exposure
14.3%
of 35 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Hokkaido: 51.8%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 35 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Hokkaido: 0.6%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥14.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Atsubetsukita1jo
  • Shinrinkoen(Hokkaido) · 20 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1991 (35 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q1

¥21.0M

¥323k/m²

  • Atsubetsuhigashi4jo
  • Shin Sapporo(SapporoCitySubway) · 14 min walk
  • 3LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1982 (44 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥30.0M

¥429k/m²

  • Atsubetsuchuo1jo
  • Hibarigaoka(Hokkaido) · 6 min walk
  • 3LDK · 70 m²
  • Built 1997 (28 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q2

¥23.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Atsubetsukita4jo
  • Shinrinkoen(Hokkaido) · 11 min walk
  • Land 195 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 1990 (36 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q4

¥33.0M

¥314k/m²

  • Kaminopporo2jo
  • Hibarigaoka(Hokkaido) · 23 min walk
  • Land 190 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 1987 (38 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2025 Q4

¥46.0M

¥307k/m²

  • Atsubetsuchuo1jo
  • Shin Sapporo(SapporoCitySubway) · 7 min walk
  • Land 200 m² · floor 150 m²
  • Built 1992 (33 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2006¥12.0M¥31.0M
2007¥11.0M¥26.0M
2008¥11.0M¥22.5M
2009¥11.0M¥24.0M
2010¥11.0M¥23.0M
2011¥12.0M¥25.5M
2012¥11.0M¥20.0M
2013¥11.0M¥25.0M
2014¥14.0M¥21.0M
2015¥16.0M¥23.0M
2016¥15.0M¥27.0M
2017¥15.0M¥26.0M
2018¥15.0M¥29.5M
2019¥16.5M¥21.0M
2020¥16.0M¥29.5M
2021¥20.0M¥33.0M
2022¥20.5M¥34.0M
2023¥23.0M¥35.0M
2024¥23.0M¥27.0M
2025¥19.0M¥32.5M
2026 (partial)¥21.0M–
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 25% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2006¥160k/m²¥230k/m²¥68k/m²
2007¥153k/m²¥182k/m²¥61k/m²
2008¥143k/m²¥167k/m²¥54k/m²
2009¥147k/m²¥171k/m²¥58k/m²
2010¥146k/m²¥152k/m²¥58k/m²
2011¥155k/m²¥158k/m²¥51k/m²
2012¥143k/m²¥144k/m²¥59k/m²
2013¥150k/m²¥143k/m²¥60k/m²
2014¥178k/m²¥133k/m²¥57k/m²
2015¥200k/m²¥156k/m²¥57k/m²
2016¥200k/m²¥161k/m²¥58k/m²
2017¥200k/m²¥184k/m²¥60k/m²
2018¥200k/m²¥183k/m²¥75k/m²
2019¥213k/m²¥150k/m²¥76k/m²
2020¥200k/m²¥209k/m²¥79k/m²
2021¥253k/m²¥223k/m²¥90k/m²
2022¥262k/m²¥237k/m²¥100k/m²
2023¥284k/m²¥224k/m²¥98k/m²
2024¥282k/m²¥208k/m²¥110k/m²
2025¥271k/m²¥209k/m²¥110k/m²
2026 (partial)¥310k/m²–¥94k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥371k/m²
1–¥343k/m²
21–¥224k/m²
22–¥208k/m²
23¥284k/m²–
24¥276k/m²–
25¥254k/m²–
26¥267k/m²–
27¥271k/m²–
28¥282k/m²–
29¥229k/m²–
30¥271k/m²¥177k/m²
31¥239k/m²–
32¥253k/m²–
33¥267k/m²–
34¥245k/m²–
35¥233k/m²¥133k/m²
36¥217k/m²¥174k/m²
37¥200k/m²¥163k/m²
38¥185k/m²¥155k/m²
39¥214k/m²¥180k/m²
41¥153k/m²–
50–¥188k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k20062008201020122014201620182020202220242026

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-2010
2006¥160k/m²–
2007¥152k/m²–
2008¥142k/m²–
2009¥136k/m²–
2010¥140k/m²–
2011¥141k/m²–
2012¥135k/m²–
2013¥148k/m²–
2014¥171k/m²–
2015¥184k/m²¥290k/m²
2016¥183k/m²¥277k/m²
2017¥200k/m²–
2018¥171k/m²–
2019¥186k/m²–
2020¥200k/m²–
2021¥240k/m²–
2022¥240k/m²–
2023¥263k/m²–
2024¥261k/m²–
2025¥224k/m²–
2026 (partial)¥275k/m²–
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2006200820102012201420162018202020222024

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2006–¥164k/m²¥273k/m²–
2007–¥162k/m²¥273k/m²–
2008¥150k/m²¥130k/m²¥277k/m²–
2009–¥140k/m²¥275k/m²–
2010–¥123k/m²¥272k/m²–
2011–¥136k/m²–¥261k/m²
2012–¥140k/m²––
2013–¥124k/m²–¥278k/m²
2014–¥125k/m²––
2015–¥140k/m²–¥294k/m²
2016–¥132k/m²–¥309k/m²
2017–¥138k/m²–¥302k/m²
2018–¥131k/m²–¥304k/m²
2019–¥144k/m²–¥330k/m²
2020–¥154k/m²–¥320k/m²
2021–¥139k/m²––
2022–¥211k/m²––
2023–¥181k/m²––
2024–¥159k/m²––
2025–¥170k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Shin Sapporo(SapporoCitySubway) (新さっぽろ)¥24.0M¥313k/m²¥32.5M11135
Hibarigaoka(Hokkaido) (ひばりが丘(北海道))¥24.5M¥302k/m²¥33.0M6106
Oyachi(Hokkaido) (大谷地)¥20.5M¥277k/m²¥38.0M691
Shinrinkoen(Hokkaido) (森林公園(北海道))¥19.0M¥231k/m²¥29.0M874
Atsubetsu (厚別)¥23.0M¥282k/m²¥28.0M1164

Used condo prices by layout in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥23.0M75 m²133
4LDK¥23.0M85 m²73
2LDK¥22.0M70 m²29

How much does an apartment cost in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City sold for ¥19.0M in 2025, about ¥271k/m², based on 79 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥32.5M in 2025 across 68 sales.

Are property prices in Atsubetsu Ward, Sapporo City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +35.7% and residential land prices changed +39.2%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.