Kawagoe, Saitama
Photo: Kawagoe, Saitama · note thanun / Unsplash

Tsurugashima City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥14.0M
¥228k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥22.0M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥64k/m²
-7.2% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
170
#30 of 61 areas in Saitama by price per m²

What the data says

Steady, predictable growth

Condo prices per m² have climbed about 6.4% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.

Outperforming Saitama

Per m², condos here are 39% below the Saitama average. The discount has shrunk from 46% ten years ago, so Tsurugashima City is catching up with its surroundings.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 78% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

62% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥7.0M and ¥24.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A growing population

The population grew 0.8% between 2020 and 2025 (−0.8% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.

Few abandoned homes

6.8% of homes were empty in 2023 (9.3% for the wider area), and 1.9% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. Most empty homes here are rentals between tenants, not abandoned houses, a sign of a healthy market.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 20.3 years of the area's median rent (¥58k a month), compared with 33.5 years for the wider area. That is a middle-of-the-road ratio for Japan. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

Moderate earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 37% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (52% for the wider area). Post-1981 buildings are designed for this level of shaking, but check ground conditions and insurance.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +1% in the year to January 2026 and +5% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Little exposure to flooding

Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.

Living in Tsurugashima City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
70,693
+0.8% since 2020
Saitama: -0.8%
Net moves in 2025
+114
+1.61 per 1,000 residents
Saitama: +3.08
Vacant homes (2023)
6.8%
1.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Saitama: 9.3%
Median rent (2023)
¥58k
per month, all rented homes
Saitama: ¥62k
Strong earthquake risk
36.7%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Saitama: 52.1%
Official land price 2026
¥94k/m²
+0.7% in a year · +5.3% in 5 years
Saitama: ¥122k/m²
Flood exposure
0.0%
of 13 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Saitama: 45.4%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 13 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Saitama: 0.2%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Tsurugashima City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2025 Q3

¥5.5M

¥85k/m²

  • Fujimi
  • Wakaba · 13 min walk
  • 3LDK · 65 m²
  • Built 1980 (45 yrs) · RC
Typical2025 Q4

¥12.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Oaza Fujigane
  • Wakaba · 14 min walk
  • 3LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 1999 (26 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥21.0M

¥350k/m²

  • Oaza Fujigane
  • Wakaba · 9 min walk
  • 3LDK · 60 m²
  • Built 1996 (30 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2025 Q3

¥9.0M

¥86k/m²

  • Minamicho
  • Tsurugashima · 24 min walk
  • Land 135 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 1989 (36 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q4

¥22.0M

¥220k/m²

  • Oaza Otagaya
  • Tsurugashima
  • Land 320 m² · floor 100 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs)
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥38.0M

¥362k/m²

  • Oaza Kamihiroya
  • Tsurugashima · 11 min walk
  • Land 155 m² · floor 105 m²
  • Built 2026 (0 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007¥20.0M¥27.0M
2008¥9.7M¥26.0M
2009¥7.9M¥19.0M
2010¥6.4M¥22.0M
2011¥8.5M¥19.0M
2012¥7.0M¥18.0M
2013¥8.4M¥16.0M
2014¥6.8M¥18.5M
2015¥9.1M¥21.0M
2016¥8.3M¥19.5M
2017¥7.5M¥23.0M
2018¥18.0M¥25.0M
2019¥12.5M¥22.5M
2020¥8.7M¥24.0M
2021¥9.1M¥25.0M
2022¥12.5M¥24.0M
2023¥15.0M¥26.0M
2024¥16.0M¥23.0M
2025¥14.0M¥22.0M
2026 (partial)–¥25.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 20% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007¥247k/m²¥253k/m²¥91k/m²
2008¥157k/m²¥242k/m²¥70k/m²
2009¥132k/m²¥188k/m²¥89k/m²
2010¥121k/m²¥210k/m²¥80k/m²
2011¥155k/m²¥171k/m²¥80k/m²
2012¥127k/m²¥147k/m²¥82k/m²
2013¥145k/m²¥153k/m²¥68k/m²
2014¥125k/m²¥180k/m²¥65k/m²
2015¥154k/m²¥205k/m²¥53k/m²
2016¥129k/m²¥176k/m²¥63k/m²
2017¥153k/m²¥190k/m²¥74k/m²
2018¥277k/m²¥216k/m²¥71k/m²
2019¥193k/m²¥174k/m²¥60k/m²
2020¥165k/m²¥200k/m²¥69k/m²
2021¥167k/m²¥240k/m²¥61k/m²
2022¥203k/m²¥228k/m²¥70k/m²
2023¥255k/m²¥250k/m²¥23k/m²
2024¥260k/m²¥212k/m²¥42k/m²
2025¥228k/m²¥176k/m²¥64k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥195k/m²¥54k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥305k/m²
1–¥273k/m²
32¥186k/m²–
33¥167k/m²–
36–¥136k/m²
37–¥141k/m²
50–¥89k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥181k/m²¥300k/m²–
2008¥181k/m²¥284k/m²–
2009¥155k/m²––
2010¥127k/m²¥257k/m²–
2011¥129k/m²––
2012¥138k/m²–¥218k/m²
2013––¥229k/m²
2014¥150k/m²–¥230k/m²
2015––¥238k/m²
2016¥138k/m²–¥267k/m²
2017¥129k/m²–¥256k/m²
2018¥131k/m²–¥274k/m²
2019––¥258k/m²
2020––¥265k/m²
2021¥117k/m²––
2023¥137k/m²––
2024¥124k/m²––
2025¥146k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Tsurugashima City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Wakaba (若葉)¥17.0M¥278k/m²¥27.0M14112
Tsurugashima (鶴ケ島)¥11.5M¥200k/m²¥24.5M14106
Sakado(Saitama) (坂戸(埼玉))¥7.0M¥160k/m²¥22.0M1655
Ippommatsu(Saitama) (一本松(埼玉))––¥21.0M637

Used condo prices by layout in Tsurugashima City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥16.5M65 m²40
2LDK¥15.0M60 m²17

How much does an apartment cost in Tsurugashima City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Tsurugashima City sold for ¥14.0M in 2025, about ¥228k/m², based on 30 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Tsurugashima City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥22.0M in 2025 across 82 sales.

Are property prices in Tsurugashima City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +38.7% and residential land prices changed -7.2%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.