Fukuoka City
Photo: Fukuoka City · Johanna / Unsplash

Shime Town, Kasuya County Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median house price (land + building)
¥37.5M
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥100k/m²
+22.0% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
57
#11 of 49 areas in Fukuoka by price per m²

What the data says

Steady, predictable growth

House prices per m² have climbed about 5.8% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.

Outperforming Fukuoka

Per m², houses here are 41% above the Fukuoka average. The premium has grown from 13% ten years ago, so Shime Town, Kasuya County has been outperforming its surroundings.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all house sales last year were between ¥23.8M and ¥43.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 2.1% between 2020 and 2025 (−1% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025. Households still grew 4% as people live in smaller households, which supports demand for smaller homes even as the population shrinks.

Typical vacancy

7.2% of homes were empty in 2023 (12.4% for the wider area), and 3.9% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.

Lower earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 12% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (7% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.

Official land prices are rising fast

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +5% in the year to January 2026 and +29% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 50% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Shime Town, Kasuya County: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
45,407
-2.1% since 2020
Fukuoka: -1.0%
Net moves in 2025
-55
-1.21 per 1,000 residents
Fukuoka: +1.01
Vacant homes (2023)
7.2%
3.9% empty and not for rent or sale
Fukuoka: 12.4%
Median rent (2023)
¥60k
per month, all rented homes
Fukuoka: ¥51k
Strong earthquake risk
12.1%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Fukuoka: 6.6%
Official land price 2026
¥94k/m²
+5.3% in a year · +28.9% in 5 years
Fukuoka: ¥75k/m²
Flood exposure
50.0%
of 6 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Fukuoka: 34.9%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 6 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Fukuoka: 4.4%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Shime Town, Kasuya County

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

House

Lower-priced2025 Q4

¥33.0M

¥244k/m²

  • Oji
  • Fukuoka Airport
  • Land 470 m² · floor 135 m²
  • Built 1977 (48 yrs) · Wood
Typical2025 Q3

¥41.0M

¥283k/m²

  • Minamizato
  • Fukuoka Airport · 29 min walk
  • Land 370 m² · floor 145 m²
  • Built 2012 (13 yrs) · Steel
Higher-priced2026 Q1

¥81.0M

¥85k/m²

  • Minamizato
  • Fukuoka Airport · 25 min walk
  • Land 530 m² · floor 950 m²
  • Built 1987 (39 yrs) · Steel
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M¥40.0M2006200820102012201420162018202020222024
Show data table
YearHouse
2006¥26.0M
2007¥27.0M
2008¥20.0M
2009¥17.5M
2010¥15.5M
2011¥24.0M
2012¥23.0M
2013¥25.0M
2014¥26.0M
2015¥25.5M
2016¥25.0M
2017¥27.5M
2018¥32.0M
2019¥32.5M
2020¥29.0M
2021¥31.5M
2022¥24.5M
2023¥35.0M
2024¥38.0M
2025¥37.5M
Median price per m² by year
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2006200820102012201420162018202020222024
Show data table
YearHouseLand
2006¥229k/m²¥60k/m²
2007¥219k/m²¥55k/m²
2008¥175k/m²¥62k/m²
2009¥158k/m²¥54k/m²
2010¥150k/m²–
2011¥240k/m²¥52k/m²
2012¥200k/m²¥53k/m²
2013¥200k/m²¥49k/m²
2014¥167k/m²¥56k/m²
2015¥217k/m²¥50k/m²
2016¥221k/m²¥55k/m²
2017¥242k/m²¥70k/m²
2018¥286k/m²¥79k/m²
2019¥225k/m²¥78k/m²
2020¥250k/m²¥82k/m²
2021¥273k/m²¥82k/m²
2022¥210k/m²–
2023¥265k/m²¥95k/m²
2024¥309k/m²–
2025¥320k/m²¥100k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)House
0¥371k/m²
50¥188k/m²
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k200720092011201320152017

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year2001-20102011-2020
2007¥250k/m²–
2018–¥317k/m²

Prices near train stations in Shime Town, Kasuya County

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Fukuoka Airport (福岡空港)––¥35.5M2180

How much does a house cost in Shime Town, Kasuya County?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥37.5M in 2025 across 36 sales.

Are property prices in Shime Town, Kasuya County going up?

Over the five years to 2025, residential land prices changed +22.0%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.