Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City Housing Market Report 2025
Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2
Key figures for 2025
- Median used condo price
- ¥12.0M
- ¥185k/m²
- Median house price (land + building)
- ¥29.0M
- Residential land per m² (sales)
- ¥110k/m²
- +17.0% over 5 years
- Transactions in 2025
- 124
- #28 of 49 areas in Fukuoka by price per m²
What the data says
Steady, predictable growth
Condo prices per m² have climbed about 0.7% a year, roughly in line with the previous five years. There is no sign of overheating or a sudden slowdown.
Lagging Fukuoka
Per m², condos here are 52% below the Fukuoka average. Ten years ago the gap was 34%, so Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City has been falling behind the rest of Fukuoka.
Station distance barely matters
Condos 11–15 minutes from a station sell for similar or higher prices than those near one, which usually means buyers here drive or value quiet residential streets.
A family market
80% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.
What a typical purchase costs
Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥6.5M and ¥20.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.
A shrinking population
The population fell 6% between 2020 and 2025 (−1% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.
Typical vacancy
14.8% of homes were empty in 2023 (12.4% for the wider area), and 5.3% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. The level of abandoned homes is around the national norm.
Buying vs renting
A median used condo costs about 23.4 years of the area's median rent (¥43k a month), compared with 29.3 years for the wider area. That is a middle-of-the-road ratio for Japan. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.
Lower earthquake risk
The government's seismic model gives a 2% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (7% for the wider area). This is low by Japanese standards, although no part of Japan is free of earthquake risk.
Official land prices are rising fast
On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +3% in the year to January 2026 and +14% over five years. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.
Little exposure to flooding
Very few of the official benchmark sites here fall in flood, tsunami or landslide zones, so most typical neighbourhoods are outside mapped hazard areas.
Living in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City: people, homes and risks
- Population 2025
- 54,060
- -6.0% since 2020
- Fukuoka: -1.0%
- Net moves in 2025
- +24
- +0.44 per 1,000 residents
- Fukuoka: +1.01
- Vacant homes (2023)
- 14.8%
- 5.3% empty and not for rent or sale
- Fukuoka: 12.4%
- Median rent (2023)
- ¥43k
- per month, all rented homes
- Fukuoka: ¥51k
- Strong earthquake risk
- 1.8%
- chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
- Fukuoka: 6.6%
- Official land price 2026
- ¥88k/m²
- +3.3% in a year · +13.8% in 5 years
- Fukuoka: ¥75k/m²
- Flood exposure
- 0.0%
- of 14 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
- Fukuoka: 34.9%
- Landslide exposure
- 0.0%
- of 14 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
- Fukuoka: 4.4%
Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗
Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.
Example sales in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City
Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.
Condo
¥6.5M
¥81k/m²
- Minamitorihatamachi
- Tobata · 4 min walk
- 2LDK · 80 m²
- Built 1991 (35 yrs) · SRC
¥10.0M
¥125k/m²
- Ichieda
- Tobata
- 3LDK · 80 m²
- Built 1996 (29 yrs) · RC
¥20.0M
¥250k/m²
- Ichieda
- Tobata
- 4LDK · 80 m²
- Built 1991 (35 yrs) · RC
House
¥8.0M
¥29k/m²
- Motomiyamachi
- Tobata · 10 min walk
- Land 95 m² · floor 280 m²
- Built 1977 (49 yrs) · Steel
¥25.0M
¥89k/m²
- Motomiyamachi
- Tobata · 11 min walk
- Land 200 m² · floor 280 m²
- Built 1996 (30 yrs) · Wood
¥42.0M
¥382k/m²
- Sakaigawa
- Kyushukodaimae · 14 min walk
- Land 155 m² · floor 110 m²
- Built 2025 (1 yrs) · Wood
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House |
|---|---|---|
| 2006 | – | ¥19.5M |
| 2007 | – | ¥18.0M |
| 2008 | – | ¥19.0M |
| 2009 | ¥12.0M | ¥15.0M |
| 2010 | ¥11.0M | ¥19.0M |
| 2011 | ¥11.0M | ¥26.5M |
| 2012 | ¥9.7M | ¥26.0M |
| 2013 | ¥7.8M | ¥24.0M |
| 2014 | – | ¥21.5M |
| 2015 | – | ¥28.0M |
| 2016 | ¥15.5M | ¥25.0M |
| 2017 | ¥11.0M | ¥18.0M |
| 2018 | ¥14.0M | ¥20.0M |
| 2019 | ¥11.0M | ¥29.0M |
| 2020 | ¥15.0M | ¥26.5M |
| 2021 | ¥12.0M | ¥22.0M |
| 2022 | ¥11.5M | ¥24.0M |
| 2023 | ¥12.0M | ¥17.0M |
| 2024 | ¥15.0M | ¥27.0M |
| 2025 | ¥12.0M | ¥29.0M |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥29.0M |
Show data table
| Year | Condo | House | Land |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | – | ¥136k/m² | ¥82k/m² |
| 2007 | – | ¥109k/m² | ¥87k/m² |
| 2008 | – | ¥138k/m² | ¥72k/m² |
| 2009 | ¥171k/m² | ¥105k/m² | ¥63k/m² |
| 2010 | ¥161k/m² | ¥128k/m² | ¥86k/m² |
| 2011 | ¥157k/m² | ¥118k/m² | ¥73k/m² |
| 2012 | ¥145k/m² | ¥122k/m² | ¥76k/m² |
| 2013 | ¥130k/m² | ¥172k/m² | ¥86k/m² |
| 2014 | – | ¥176k/m² | ¥57k/m² |
| 2015 | – | ¥153k/m² | ¥61k/m² |
| 2016 | ¥200k/m² | ¥145k/m² | ¥81k/m² |
| 2017 | ¥159k/m² | ¥132k/m² | ¥73k/m² |
| 2018 | ¥200k/m² | ¥144k/m² | ¥66k/m² |
| 2019 | ¥169k/m² | ¥192k/m² | ¥89k/m² |
| 2020 | ¥213k/m² | ¥179k/m² | ¥94k/m² |
| 2021 | ¥185k/m² | ¥160k/m² | ¥79k/m² |
| 2022 | ¥192k/m² | ¥151k/m² | ¥96k/m² |
| 2023 | ¥183k/m² | ¥126k/m² | ¥100k/m² |
| 2024 | ¥212k/m² | ¥228k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2025 | ¥185k/m² | ¥184k/m² | ¥110k/m² |
| 2026 (partial) | – | ¥136k/m² | – |
Show data table
| Building age (years) | House |
|---|---|
| 0 | ¥349k/m² |
| 1 | ¥324k/m² |
| 50 | ¥43k/m² |
Prices near train stations in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City
Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.
| Station | Median used condo price | Condo price per m² | Median house price (land + building) | Walk (min) | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobata (戸畑) | ¥12.0M | ¥185k/m² | ¥20.0M | 10 | 142 |
| Kyushukodaimae (九州工大前) | ¥14.0M | ¥183k/m² | ¥31.5M | 11 | 83 |
| Edamitsu (枝光) | – | – | – | 24 | 10 |
Used condo prices by layout in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City
Sales from 2023–2025.
| Layout | Median used condo price | Typical size | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3LDK | ¥15.0M | 70 m² | 45 |
| 4LDK | ¥19.5M | 82.5 m² | 22 |
| 2LDK | ¥10.3M | 62.5 m² | 10 |
How much does an apartment cost in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City?
The median used condo (mansion) in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City sold for ¥12.0M in 2025, about ¥185k/m², based on 33 recorded sales.
How much does a house cost in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City?
The median house sale, including the land, was ¥29.0M in 2025 across 61 sales.
Are property prices in Tobata Ward, Kitakyushu City going up?
Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed -13.5% and residential land prices changed +17.0%.
About this data
Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.
Information only, not investment advice.