Nara
Photo: Nara · Timo Volz / Unsplash

Nara City Housing Market Report 2025

Data updated 2026-11-10 · Source: MLIT transaction price survey, 2005 Q3–2026 Q2

Key figures for 2025

Median used condo price
¥21.0M
¥300k/m²
Median house price (land + building)
¥27.0M
+9.5% vs 2024
Residential land per m² (sales)
¥97k/m²
+12.8% over 5 years
Transactions in 2025
683
#1 of 14 areas in Nara by price per m²

What the data says

Price growth is speeding up

Condo values per m² have risen about 7.6% a year over the past five years, faster than the 1.3% a year of the five years before. Buyers waiting for a dip have so far been paying more each year, and that has not yet changed.

Outperforming Nara

Per m², condos here are 17% above the Nara average. The premium has grown from 5% ten years ago, so Nara City has been outperforming its surroundings.

Being near a station is worth a lot

Condos within a 5-minute walk of a station sell for about 56% more per m² than those 11–15 minutes away. If budget is tight, a longer walk is the quickest way to cut the price.

A family market

79% of recent condo sales have three or more bedrooms. Demand comes mainly from owner-occupier families, which tends to make prices steadier but rental yields lower.

Sales are thinning out

Transactions are down about 12% on the previous three years. Fewer sales mean less choice and slower resale, so allow more time to sell later.

What a typical purchase costs

Half of all condo sales last year were between ¥14.0M and ¥35.0M. Listings outside that range are either unusual properties or worth a closer look.

A shrinking population

The population fell 4.6% between 2020 and 2025 (−4.2% for the wider area). Moves in and out roughly balanced in 2025.

Many abandoned homes

17% of homes were empty in 2023 (14.6% for the wider area), and 8.1% were empty without being for rent, for sale or used as second homes. That is a high share of truly abandoned homes (akiya), a sign of weak demand. Cheap houses are easy to find, but resale can be slow.

Buying vs renting

A median used condo costs about 30.5 years of the area's median rent (¥57k a month), compared with 30.1 years for the wider area. Prices are high relative to rents, so rental yields are thin and buyers are paying for expected growth. Rents here cover all rented homes, so treat this as a rough guide.

High earthquake risk

The government's seismic model gives a 64% chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or stronger in the next 30 years (48% for the wider area). Check the building's earthquake standard (post-1981, ideally post-2000 for wooden houses) and consider earthquake insurance.

Official land prices are edging up

On the government's fixed benchmark sites, which are valued the same way every year, residential land prices changed +1% in the year to January 2026 and +5% over five years. They are still 68% below their 1991 bubble-era level. Because these sites don't change, this is the cleanest measure of land value trends.

Some flood or landslide exposure

Of the official land-price benchmark sites here, which sit in typical neighbourhoods, 8% are inside the worst-case flood zone. Most worst-case flood zones are shallow (under 0.5 m) at the edges, so depth matters as much as the share. Check the hazard map for any specific address before buying.

Living in Nara City: people, homes and risks

Population 2025
338,416
-4.6% since 2020
Nara: -4.2%
Net moves in 2025
-78
-0.23 per 1,000 residents
Nara: -0.84
Vacant homes (2023)
17.0%
8.1% empty and not for rent or sale
Nara: 14.6%
Median rent (2023)
¥57k
per month, all rented homes
Nara: ¥53k
Strong earthquake risk
64.3%
chance of shaking of intensity 6-lower or more within 30 years
Nara: 47.5%
Official land price 2026
¥93k/m²
+1.2% in a year · +4.7% in 5 years
Nara: ¥66k/m²
Flood exposure
7.9%
of 76 benchmark sites in a worst-case flood zone (0.0% 3 m or deeper)
Nara: 32.5%
Landslide exposure
0.0%
of 76 benchmark sites in a landslide warning area
Nara: 4.9%

Check flood, landslide and tsunami zones for a specific address on the government hazard map ↗

Sources: 2025 Census (preliminary), 2025 Internal Migration Report, 2023 Housing and Land Survey (Statistics Bureau of Japan); J-SHIS seismic hazard model (NIED, 2024); Land Price Publication (MLIT). Earthquake probability is measured at the municipal center.

Example sales in Nara City

Real transactions from the last four quarters, picked near the lower (20th percentile), middle and upper (80th percentile) price points. Locations are shown at district level, as published by MLIT.

Condo

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥11.0M

¥275k/m²

  • Shijooji
  • Shin Omiya · 14 min walk
  • 1LDK · 40 m²
  • Built 2008 (18 yrs) · RC
Typical2026 Q2

¥21.0M

¥200k/m²

  • Sakyo
  • Takanohara · 24 min walk
  • 4LDK · 105 m²
  • Built 1990 (36 yrs) · RC
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥40.0M

¥533k/m²

  • Saidaijikitamachi
  • Yamato Saidaiji · 10 min walk
  • 3LDK · 75 m²
  • Built 1996 (30 yrs) · RC

House

Lower-priced2026 Q1

¥8.5M

¥74k/m²

  • Nishikitsujicho
  • Kintetsu Nara · 18 min walk
  • Land 110 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 1972 (54 yrs) · Wood
Typical2026 Q1

¥28.0M

¥170k/m²

  • Gakuendaiwacho
  • Gakuemmae(Nara) · 20 min walk
  • Land 165 m² · floor 165 m²
  • Built 1990 (36 yrs) · Wood
Higher-priced2026 Q2

¥48.0M

¥417k/m²

  • Shijooji
  • Nara · 23 min walk
  • Land 370 m² · floor 115 m²
  • Built 1972 (54 yrs) · Wood
Median transaction price by year
¥0¥10.0M¥20.0M¥30.0M2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouse
2007¥13.0M¥30.0M
2008¥13.5M¥29.0M
2009¥11.0M¥27.0M
2010¥11.0M¥28.0M
2011¥13.0M¥24.0M
2012¥13.0M¥26.0M
2013¥14.0M¥25.0M
2014¥13.0M¥25.0M
2015¥14.0M¥25.0M
2016¥14.0M¥24.0M
2017¥15.0M¥25.0M
2018¥15.0M¥25.0M
2019¥12.0M¥26.0M
2020¥13.0M¥26.0M
2021¥17.0M¥26.0M
2022¥18.0M¥26.0M
2023¥18.0M¥29.0M
2024¥19.0M¥25.0M
2025¥21.0M¥27.0M
2026 (partial)¥21.0M¥27.0M
Median price per m² by yearHouses are the better deal on space — A m² of house floor space costs about 30% less than a m² of condo, even though the house price includes land. If you need room more than convenience, a house buys considerably more space. That gap has widened over the decade as condo prices pulled ahead.
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025
Show data table
YearCondoHouseLand
2007¥185k/m²¥262k/m²¥110k/m²
2008¥180k/m²¥242k/m²¥88k/m²
2009¥157k/m²¥217k/m²¥81k/m²
2010¥169k/m²¥218k/m²¥82k/m²
2011¥185k/m²¥200k/m²¥84k/m²
2012¥186k/m²¥210k/m²¥79k/m²
2013¥188k/m²¥219k/m²¥72k/m²
2014¥175k/m²¥211k/m²¥82k/m²
2015¥200k/m²¥189k/m²¥75k/m²
2016¥200k/m²¥200k/m²¥76k/m²
2017¥215k/m²¥211k/m²¥71k/m²
2018¥213k/m²¥200k/m²¥77k/m²
2019¥200k/m²¥200k/m²¥79k/m²
2020¥200k/m²¥217k/m²¥86k/m²
2021¥246k/m²¥220k/m²¥86k/m²
2022¥243k/m²¥206k/m²¥93k/m²
2023¥266k/m²¥220k/m²¥82k/m²
2024¥277k/m²¥194k/m²¥87k/m²
2025¥300k/m²¥213k/m²¥97k/m²
2026 (partial)¥294k/m²¥179k/m²¥95k/m²
Price per m² by building age (2021–2025 sales)How condos age here — In recent sales, condos lose about a quarter of their per-m² value by around 13 years old and half by around 24. After about 25 years the decline nearly stops, so a well-maintained older condo holds its price. That makes 25–35-year-old buildings with sound repair funds a value sweet spot.Houses bottom out at around 39 years — House prices per m² drop about 63% from new by age 39, then flatten, because by then buyers are mostly paying for the land. A house older than that costs little more than its plot, a good option if you plan to renovate or rebuild.
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k05101520253035404550
Show data table
Building age (years)CondoHouse
0–¥370k/m²
1–¥353k/m²
2¥542k/m²¥373k/m²
6¥529k/m²¥314k/m²
7¥556k/m²¥356k/m²
8¥533k/m²¥317k/m²
9¥514k/m²–
10¥560k/m²–
11¥589k/m²–
12¥427k/m²–
13¥269k/m²–
14¥376k/m²–
15¥266k/m²–
16¥350k/m²–
17¥367k/m²–
18¥353k/m²–
19¥356k/m²¥198k/m²
20¥286k/m²–
21¥329k/m²¥239k/m²
22¥284k/m²¥211k/m²
23¥300k/m²¥211k/m²
24¥218k/m²¥179k/m²
25¥227k/m²¥188k/m²
26¥231k/m²¥185k/m²
27¥246k/m²¥124k/m²
28¥224k/m²¥158k/m²
29¥292k/m²¥175k/m²
30¥198k/m²¥185k/m²
31¥200k/m²¥150k/m²
32¥133k/m²¥148k/m²
33¥219k/m²¥154k/m²
34¥164k/m²¥181k/m²
35¥175k/m²¥146k/m²
36¥200k/m²¥136k/m²
37¥144k/m²¥133k/m²
38¥152k/m²¥136k/m²
39–¥114k/m²
40¥206k/m²¥150k/m²
41¥229k/m²¥137k/m²
42¥153k/m²¥63k/m²
43¥89k/m²¥87k/m²
44¥154k/m²¥86k/m²
45¥108k/m²¥102k/m²
46¥72k/m²¥100k/m²
47–¥98k/m²
48–¥136k/m²
49–¥113k/m²
50¥93k/m²¥138k/m²
Condo price per m² by construction period
¥0¥200k¥400k¥600k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007–¥173k/m²––
2008–¥159k/m²¥293k/m²–
2009¥87k/m²¥148k/m²¥271k/m²–
2010–¥138k/m²¥300k/m²–
2011¥78k/m²¥163k/m²¥303k/m²–
2012¥77k/m²¥173k/m²¥315k/m²–
2013¥74k/m²¥168k/m²¥280k/m²–
2014¥68k/m²¥169k/m²¥291k/m²–
2015¥97k/m²¥154k/m²¥287k/m²¥507k/m²
2016¥95k/m²¥173k/m²¥320k/m²–
2017–¥183k/m²¥296k/m²¥480k/m²
2018–¥175k/m²¥267k/m²¥443k/m²
2019¥91k/m²¥171k/m²¥300k/m²¥369k/m²
2020–¥171k/m²¥259k/m²¥463k/m²
2021–¥200k/m²¥289k/m²¥497k/m²
2022–¥218k/m²¥318k/m²¥529k/m²
2023¥105k/m²¥219k/m²¥355k/m²¥503k/m²
2024¥108k/m²¥227k/m²¥338k/m²¥588k/m²
2025–¥253k/m²¥389k/m²¥588k/m²
2026 (partial)–¥233k/m²––
House price per m² by construction period
¥0¥100k¥200k¥300k¥400k2007200920112013201520172019202120232025

Each line follows buildings from one construction period over time. 1981 is when Japan's current earthquake-resistance standard (shin-taishin) took effect.

Show data table
Year1971-19801981-20002001-20102011-2020
2007¥178k/m²¥186k/m²¥329k/m²–
2008¥129k/m²¥189k/m²¥330k/m²–
2009¥142k/m²¥178k/m²¥316k/m²–
2010¥133k/m²¥175k/m²¥305k/m²–
2011¥150k/m²¥168k/m²¥243k/m²¥305k/m²
2012¥128k/m²¥164k/m²–¥306k/m²
2013¥122k/m²¥151k/m²¥236k/m²¥309k/m²
2014¥129k/m²¥162k/m²¥211k/m²¥310k/m²
2015¥110k/m²¥152k/m²¥232k/m²¥326k/m²
2016¥121k/m²¥160k/m²¥214k/m²¥333k/m²
2017¥126k/m²¥148k/m²¥217k/m²¥327k/m²
2018¥108k/m²¥148k/m²–¥314k/m²
2019¥101k/m²¥122k/m²¥200k/m²¥343k/m²
2020¥97k/m²¥124k/m²¥221k/m²¥314k/m²
2021¥103k/m²¥155k/m²¥204k/m²¥345k/m²
2022¥117k/m²¥150k/m²¥250k/m²–
2023¥103k/m²¥163k/m²–¥327k/m²
2024¥102k/m²¥142k/m²––
2025¥109k/m²¥171k/m²–¥308k/m²
2026 (partial)¥74k/m²¥129k/m²––

Prices near train stations in Nara City

Sales from 2023–2025, grouped by nearest station.

StationMedian used condo priceCondo price per m²Median house price (land + building)Walk (min)Sales
Gakuemmae(Nara) (学園前(奈良))¥18.0M¥230k/m²¥33.0M15243
Nara (奈良)¥19.0M¥320k/m²¥22.0M8208
Kintetsu Nara (近鉄奈良)¥21.0M¥296k/m²¥20.0M14199
Tomio (富雄)¥18.0M¥249k/m²¥27.0M11167
Shin Omiya (新大宮)¥14.0M¥231k/m²¥31.0M8143
Yamato Saidaiji (大和西大寺)¥30.5M¥454k/m²¥29.0M12141
Ayameike (菖蒲池)¥26.0M¥312k/m²¥29.0M13111
Gakken Nara Tomigaoka (学研奈良登美ケ丘)¥35.0M¥431k/m²¥59.0M14103
Takanohara (高の原)¥19.0M¥229k/m²¥33.0M1552
Nishinokyo (西ノ京)––¥25.0M1948
Amagatsuji (尼ケ辻)––¥20.0M1226
Kyobate (京終)––¥20.5M922
Narayama (平城山)––¥31.0M421
Haibara (榛原)––¥5.2M–15
Obitoke (帯解)–––911

Used condo prices by layout in Nara City

Sales from 2023–2025.

LayoutMedian used condo priceTypical sizeSales
3LDK¥20.0M70 m²326
4LDK¥24.0M85 m²81
2LDK¥17.0M60 m²75
1LDK¥15.0M45 m²11

How much does an apartment cost in Nara City?

The median used condo (mansion) in Nara City sold for ¥21.0M in 2025, about ¥300k/m², based on 176 recorded sales.

How much does a house cost in Nara City?

The median house sale, including the land, was ¥27.0M in 2025 across 337 sales.

Are property prices in Nara City going up?

Over the five years to 2025, condo prices per m² changed +50.0% and residential land prices changed +12.8%.

About this data

Figures are medians of real transactions reported to Japan's Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) through its quarterly price survey. House prices per m² divide the total price (land and building) by the floor area. Medians based on fewer than 20 sales are not shown. The latest quarters are preliminary and are revised as more survey responses arrive.

Information only, not investment advice.